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EU BETS $146 BILLION ON GREEK BAILOUT TO AVERT CONTAGION


Published: 5/3/2010 10:51:27 AM
By:
TradingEconomics.com, Bloomebrg 

Euro-region governments are betting 110 billion euros ($146 billion) in economic medicine for Greece will be enough to inoculate the rest of their region from contagion.


Finance ministers approved the unprecedented bailout yesterday for Greece after a week that saw the country’s fiscal crisis spread to Portugal and Spain. At the same time, they refused to say how they would help other indebted nations if the need arose, calling Greece a “special case.”

The risk is that investors will shift focus to other euro nations in the absence of a clear aid plan for the 16-nation bloc’s weakest members. The extra yield investors demand to buy Portuguese debt over German bunds surged to the highest since at least 1997 and Spain’s IBEX 35 stock index fell the most in three months last week. The euro fell against the dollar today.

Greece yesterday pledged to push through 30 billion euros ($40 billion) of budget cuts, equivalent to 13 percent of gross domestic product, in return for loans at a rate of around 5 percent for three years.

The EU and the International Monetary Fund, which is co- financing the bailout, also agreed to set up a bank stabilization fund. With downgrades threatening to render Greek bonds ineligible for collateral for its loans, the European Central Bank today said it will accept all Greek government debt when lending to banks.

European officials rushed to draw a distinction between Greece, whose misstated budget figures first roiled markets last year, and other countries.

Spain’s budget deficit was the third-highest in the euro region last year, at 11.2 percent of GDP. Portugal’s budget deficit was the fourth-biggest at 9.4 percent of output. Ireland had the highest deficit at 14.3 percent and Greece’s was 13.6 percent.

At stake is the future of the euro 11 years after fiscal policy was left in national capitals. The euro has fallen 7 percent this year as the lack of a single finance ministry made it harder for governments to agree on whether and how to rescue Greece. That in turn exacerbated a selloff in Greek bonds.

Governments first agreed to support Greece on Feb. 11 and didn’t make any concrete pledge of cash until two months later.

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Economic Indicators Table


CountryGDP Billion US$GDP GrowthInterest RateInflationUnemploymentCurrent Account
United States 142561.60%0.25%1.20%9.60%-109
Euro Area 124561.00%1.00%1.60%10.00%-25
Japan 50680.10%0.10%-0.90%5.20%1047
China 490910.30%5.31%3.30%4.20%53600
Germany 33472.20%1.00%1.20%7.60%2
France 26490.60%1.00%1.90%10.00%-3
United Kingdom 21751.20%0.50%3.10%7.80%-10
Italy 21130.40%1.00%1.80%8.50%-4393
Brazil 15721.20%10.75%4.60%7.00%-5180
Spain 14600.20%1.00%1.90%20.00%-5
Canada 13360.50%0.75%1.80%8.00%-11
India 12968.80%4.50%13.73%7.32%-13
Russia 12315.20%7.75%5.50%6.80%33318
South Korea 9291.50%2.25%2.60%3.70%5038
Australia 9251.20%4.50%3.10%5.30%-5640
Mexico 875-0.35%4.50%3.64%5.51%-1
Netherlands 7920.90%1.00%1.60%5.50%12372
Turkey 6170.10%6.50%7.58%11.00%-2997
Indonesia 5402.80%6.50%6.22%7.41%1554
Switzerland 5000.40%0.25%0.30%3.90%20
Belgium 4690.70%1.00%2.57%8.60%-1
Poland 4300.50%3.50%2.00%11.40%-1064
Sweden 4061.20%0.50%1.10%8.80%64
Austria 3850.90%1.00%1.80%3.90%1073
Norway 382-0.10%2.00%1.90%3.60%97648
Saudi Arabia 3690.60%2.00%5.51%10.50%22765
Greece 330-1.50%1.00%5.50%11.00%250
Venezuela 3149.70%17.98%30.90%8.40%7181
Denmark 3100.50%0.75%2.30%4.20%8
Argentina 3093.00%9.93%11.20%8.30%-365
South Africa 2864.60%6.50%4.20%23.20%-116132
Thailand 2643.80%1.50%3.40%1.54%681
United Arab Emirates261-2.10%1.80%11.10%20.60%82
Finland 238-0.40%1.00%1.10%8.50%1
Colombia 2311.30%3.00%2.24%12.80%-1396
Portugal 2280.20%1.00%1.80%10.60%-2057
Ireland 2272.66%1.00%-0.10%13.70%-1622
Hong Kong 2152.40%0.50%2.80%4.60%26
Israel 1951.17%1.75%2.40%7.20%1584
Malaysia 192-2.60%2.75%1.90%3.70%30449
Czech Republic 1900.80%0.75%1.90%8.70%621
Singapore 18224.00%0.03%3.10%2.30%14942
Pakistan 1672.00%13.00%12.69%5.50%-1548
Chile 1644.30%2.00%2.30%8.50%47
Hungary 1290.00%5.25%4.00%11.10%344
Peru 12711.92%2.50%1.82%7.60%267
New Zealand 1250.60%3.00%1.80%6.80%0
Luxembourg 52-2.60%1.00%2.47%5.30%1858
Slovenia 48-0.50%1.00%2.10%10.50%-79
Iceland 120.60%8.00%4.80%7.60%-27

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