Bangladesh | Economic Forecasts | 2016-2020 Outlook

Overview Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
GDP Growth Rate 7.05 6.8 6.8 6.8 6.8 6.8 percent [+]
Unemployment Rate 4.30 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.8 percent [+]
Inflation Rate 5.15 5.6 6.3 5.1 5.8 4.8 percent [+]
Interest Rate 6.75 6.75 6.5 6.5 6.5 6 percent [+]
Balance of Trade -113.51 -74.79 -77.23 -78.63 -78.26 -78.25 BDT Billion [+]
Government Debt to GDP 27.20 26.1 26.1 26.1 26.1 25.5 percent [+]
MARKETS Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Currency 79.45 80.5 81.29 82.08 82.87 94.7 [+]
Stock Market 5635.11 4920 4870 4820 4770 4010 points [+]
GDP Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
GDP Growth Rate 7.05 6.8 6.8 6.8 6.8 6.8 percent [+]
GDP Annual Growth Rate 7.11 7.5 7.5 7.2 7.2 6.8 percent [+]
GDP 195.08 245 245 245 245 305 USD Billion [+]
GDP Constant Prices 8830.54 9431 9431 9431 9431 11489 BDT Billion [+]
Gross National Product 9350.98 9940 9940 9940 9940 11906 BDT Billion [+]
Gross Fixed Capital Formation 2829687.00 3084359 3084359 3084359 3084359 3874448 BDT Million [+]
GDP per capita 972.88 986 1000 1013 1027 1292 USD [+]
GDP per capita PPP 3136.60 3173 3214 3256 3298 4092 USD [+]
GDP From Agriculture 9922.80 10094 10094 10094 10094 10807 BDT Million [+]
GDP From Construction 6172.90 6728 6728 6728 6728 8634 BDT Million [+]
GDP From Manufacturing 17600.10 19448 19448 19448 19448 26085 BDT Million [+]
GDP From Mining 1489.30 1638 1638 1638 1638 2141 BDT Million [+]
GDP From Public Administration 3197.10 3549 3549 3549 3549 4672 BDT Million [+]
GDP From Services 7784.00 8041 8041 8041 8041 8863 BDT Million [+]
GDP From Transport 9636.10 10311 10311 10311 10311 12572 BDT Million [+]
GDP From Utilities 224585.00 226271 232748 239224 245701 309050 BDT Million [+]
LABOUR Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Unemployment Rate 4.30 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.8 percent [+]
Employed Persons 54.10 65 67 67 67 74 Million [+]
Wages 7388.40 8900 8900 8900 8900 10300 BDT/Month [+]
Wages in Manufacturing 243.00 249 259 269 272 260 Index Points [+]
Population 159.90 161 161 162 162 168 Million [+]
Living Wage Family 16128.70 16012 15925 15860 15812 15675 BDT/Month [+]
Living Wage Individual 8927.30 8956 8933 8951 8936 8942 BDT/Month [+]
Retirement Age Men 59.00 59 59 59 59 61 [+]
Retirement Age Women 59.00 59 59 59 59 61 [+]
PRICES Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Inflation Rate 5.15 5.6 6.3 5.1 5.8 4.8 percent [+]
Consumer Price Index CPI 234.34 237 240 243 247 283 Index Points [+]
GDP Deflator 174.42 160 153 146 139 158 percent [+]
Producer Prices 2180.00 2138 2138 2138 2138 2138 Index Points [+]
Export Prices 182.34 173 176 178 181 177 Index Points [+]
Import Prices 211.90 197 200 203 206 197 Index Points [+]
Inflation Rate Mom 1.21 0.75 0.3 0.56 0.55 0.52 percent [+]
Food Inflation 6.53 6.85 7.23 7.38 7.39 7.42 percent [+]
Cpi Transportation 212.14 214 216 218 219 220 Index Points [+]
MONEY Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Interest Rate 6.75 6.75 6.5 6.5 6.5 6 percent [+]
Interbank Rate 3.54 5.54 6.83 7.47 7.79 8.08 percent [+]
Money Supply M0 1214.59 1225 1223 1222 1222 1222 BDT Billion [+]
Money Supply M1 1974514.00 1977333 1975604 1975033 1974934 1974898 BDT Million [+]
Money Supply M2 9387.21 9722 9973 10224 10475 13441 BDT Billion [+]
Money Supply M3 11415200.00 11146341 11132514 11191803 11176271 11184741 BDT Million [+]
Foreign Exchange Reserves 32092.00 31747 32424 32041 32664 33080 USD Million [+]
Loans to Private Sector 6526.11 6785 6984 7182 7379 9711 BDT Billion [+]
Deposit Interest Rate 8.20 7.91 8.26 8.61 8.96 9.48 percent [+]
TRADE Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Balance of Trade -113.51 -74.79 -77.23 -78.63 -78.26 -78.25 BDT Billion [+]
Exports 197.39 195 195 195 195 195 BDT Billion [+]
Imports 310.90 288 289 289 289 289 BDT Billion [+]
Current Account -504.00 355 -10.87 -44.61 279 94.98 USD Million [+]
Current Account to GDP 1.70 1.5 1.37 1.24 1.11 1.15 percent [+]
Terms of Trade 86.05 86.92 87 87.08 87.17 89.27 Index Points [+]
Capital Flows 0.33 2.02 2.11 1.59 1.74 1.44 BDT Billion [+]
Remittances 958.73 917 926 922 924 925 USD Million [+]
Gold Reserves 13.78 13.78 13.78 13.78 13.78 13.78 Tonnes [+]
Foreign Direct Investment 2003.53 1917 1874 1830 1787 1643 USD Million [+]
External Debt 25.96 24.44 24.85 25.27 25.69 25.79 USD Billion [+]
Crude Oil Production 4.00 4 4 4 4 4 BBL/D/1K [+]
Terrorism Index 6.48 5.97 6.19 6.41 6.63 7.07 [+]
GOVERNMENT Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Government Debt to GDP 27.20 26.1 26.1 26.1 26.1 25.5 percent [+]
Government Budget -4.70 -4.2 -4.25 -4.3 -4.36 -4.46 percent of GDP [+]
Government Budget Value -82137.00 -71441 -72976 -74511 -76045 -81693 BDT Billion [+]
Government Spending 478173.00 523599 523599 523599 523599 674309 BDT Billion [+]
Government Revenues 182427.00 167913 178328 188743 199159 247297 BDT Billion [+]
Fiscal Expenditure 264564.00 243918 258900 273882 288863 358424 BDT Billion [+]
Military Expenditure 2517.80 2572 2593 2614 2632 2931 USD Million [+]
BUSINESS Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Manufacturing Production -12.80 8.56 10.04 10.51 10.67 10.77 percent [+]
Capacity Utilization 55.00 56 56 57 58 62 percent [+]
Ease of Doing Business 176.00 168 167 167 167 158 [+]
Corruption Index 26.00 24 24 25 25 23 Points [+]
Corruption Rank 145.00 139 139 140 140 122 [+]
Competitiveness Index 3.80 3.71 3.71 3.71 3.7 3.62 Points [+]
Competitiveness Rank 106.00 109 109 109 109 110 [+]
Business Confidence 9.96 12 10 11 12 14 [+]
Mining Production -0.90 -2.76 -3.59 -4.27 -4.81 -6.8 percent [+]
CONSUMER Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Consumer Spending 5692703.00 6005802 6005802 6005802 6005802 6978832 BDT Million [+]
Disposable Personal Income 52321.01 54993 56432 57871 59310 81720 BDT THO [+]
Personal Savings 4328.30 4071 4408 4746 5083 6774 BDT Billion [+]
Private Sector Credit 6729.27 7039 7266 7454 7665 9479 BDT Billion [+]
Consumer Credit 8189.48 8451 8645 8838 9032 11284 BDT Billion [+]
HOUSING Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Housing Index 1797.00 1799 1821 1843 1865 2537 Index Points [+]
TAXES Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Corporate Tax Rate 25.00 25 25 25 25 25 percent [+]
Personal Income Tax Rate 30.00 30 30 30 30 30 percent [+]
Sales Tax Rate 15.00 15 15 15 15 15 percent [+]





Economic Forecasts for Bangladesh including a long-term outlook for the next decades, plus medium-term expectations for the next four quarters and short-term market predictions for the next release affecting the Bangladesh economy. 2/27/2017