Bangladesh | Economic Forecasts | 2016-2020 Outlook

Overview Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
GDP Growth Rate 7.05 6.8 6.8 6.8 6.8 6.8 percent [+]
Unemployment Rate 4.30 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.8 percent [+]
Inflation Rate 5.03 5.6 6.3 5.1 5.8 4.8 percent [+]
Interest Rate 6.75 6.75 6.5 6.5 6.5 6 percent [+]
Balance of Trade -89.57 -68.7 -69.11 -69.33 -69.25 -69.25 BDT Billion [+]
Government Debt to GDP 27.30 26.1 26.1 26.1 26.1 25.5 percent [+]
MARKETS Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Currency 79.34 80.5 81.29 82.08 82.87 94.7 [+]
Stock Market 5708.24 4920 4870 4820 4770 4010 points [+]
GDP Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
GDP Growth Rate 7.05 6.8 6.8 6.8 6.8 6.8 percent [+]
GDP Annual Growth Rate 7.11 7.5 7.5 7.2 7.2 6.8 percent [+]
GDP 195.08 245 245 245 245 305 USD Billion [+]
GDP Constant Prices 8830.54 9431 9431 9431 9431 11489 BDT Billion [+]
Gross National Product 9350.98 9940 9940 9940 9940 11906 BDT Billion [+]
Gross Fixed Capital Formation 2829687.00 3084359 3084359 3084359 3084359 3874448 BDT Million [+]
GDP per capita 972.88 986 1000 1013 1027 1292 USD [+]
GDP per capita PPP 3136.60 3173 3214 3256 3298 4092 USD [+]
GDP From Agriculture 9922.80 10094 10094 10094 10094 10807 BDT Million [+]
GDP From Construction 6172.90 6728 6728 6728 6728 8634 BDT Million [+]
GDP From Manufacturing 17600.10 19448 19448 19448 19448 26085 BDT Million [+]
GDP From Mining 1489.30 1638 1638 1638 1638 2141 BDT Million [+]
GDP From Public Administration 3197.10 3549 3549 3549 3549 4672 BDT Million [+]
GDP From Services 7784.00 8041 8041 8041 8041 8863 BDT Million [+]
GDP From Transport 9636.10 10311 10311 10311 10311 12572 BDT Million [+]
GDP From Utilities 224585.00 226271 232748 239224 245701 309050 BDT Million [+]
LABOUR Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Unemployment Rate 4.30 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.8 percent [+]
Employed Persons 54.10 65 67 67 67 74 Million [+]
Wages 7388.40 8900 8900 8900 8900 10300 BDT/Month [+]
Wages in Manufacturing 243.00 249 259 269 272 260 Index Points [+]
Population 159.90 161 161 162 162 168 Million [+]
Retirement Age Men 59.00 59 59 59 59 61 [+]
Retirement Age Women 59.00 59 59 59 59 61 [+]
PRICES Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Inflation Rate 5.03 5.6 6.3 5.1 5.8 4.8 percent [+]
Consumer Price Index CPI 231.53 234 237 240 243 277 Index Points [+]
GDP Deflator 174.42 160 153 146 139 158 percent [+]
Producer Prices 2180.00 2138 2138 2138 2138 2138 Index Points [+]
Export Prices 182.34 173 176 178 181 177 Index Points [+]
Import Prices 211.90 197 200 203 206 197 Index Points [+]
Inflation Rate Mom -0.29 0.79 0.63 0.37 0.6 0.52 percent [+]
Food Inflation 5.38 5.43 5.43 5.43 5.43 5.43 percent [+]
Cpi Transportation 211.61 210 210 210 210 210 Index Points [+]
MONEY Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Interest Rate 6.75 6.75 6.5 6.5 6.5 6 percent [+]
Interbank Rate 3.62 6.55 7.38 7.77 7.95 8.12 percent [+]
Money Supply M0 1234.14 1256 1256 1256 1256 1256 BDT Billion [+]
Money Supply M1 1977282.00 1980565 1979022 1978542 1978460 1978432 BDT Million [+]
Money Supply M2 9332.27 9782 10044 10306 10567 13659 BDT Billion [+]
Money Supply M3 11110400.00 11031661 10950272 10943211 10969213 10960667 BDT Million [+]
Foreign Exchange Reserves 31370.00 31984 32776 32472 33180 33903 USD Million [+]
Loans to Private Sector 6420.11 6737 6925 7112 7298 9496 BDT Billion [+]
Deposit Interest Rate 8.20 7.91 8.26 8.61 8.96 9.48 percent [+]
TRADE Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Balance of Trade -89.57 -68.7 -69.11 -69.33 -69.25 -69.25 BDT Billion [+]
Exports 193.72 195 196 195 195 195 BDT Billion [+]
Imports 283.29 267 267 267 267 267 BDT Billion [+]
Current Account 773.00 470 467 465 462 432 USD Million [+]
Current Account to GDP -0.80 -0.5 -0.09 0.3 0.7 0.77 percent [+]
Terms of Trade 86.05 86.92 87 87.08 87.17 89.27 Index Points [+]
Capital Flows 3.15 2.31 2.58 2.01 2.27 1.99 BDT Billion [+]
Remittances 951.37 973 985 970 974 972 USD Million [+]
Gold Reserves 13.78 13.78 13.78 13.78 13.78 13.78 Tonnes [+]
Foreign Direct Investment 2003.53 1917 1874 1830 1787 1643 USD Million [+]
External Debt 25.96 24.44 24.85 25.27 25.69 25.79 USD Billion [+]
Crude Oil Production 4.00 4 4 4 4 4 BBL/D/1K [+]
Terrorism Index 6.48 5.97 6.19 6.41 6.63 7.07 [+]
GOVERNMENT Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Government Debt to GDP 27.30 26.1 26.1 26.1 26.1 25.5 percent [+]
Government Budget -4.70 -4.2 -4.25 -4.3 -4.36 -4.46 percent of GDP [+]
Government Budget Value -82137.00 -71441 -72976 -74511 -76045 -81693 BDT Billion [+]
Government Spending 478173.00 523599 523599 523599 523599 674309 BDT Billion [+]
Government Revenues 182427.00 167913 178328 188743 199159 247297 BDT Billion [+]
Fiscal Expenditure 264564.00 243918 258900 273882 288863 358424 BDT Billion [+]
Military Expenditure 2517.80 2572 2593 2614 2632 2931 USD Million [+]
BUSINESS Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Manufacturing Production 2.40 11.07 12.14 11.79 11.91 11.88 percent [+]
Capacity Utilization 55.00 56 56 57 58 62 percent [+]
Mining Production -0.05 -0.97 -1.27 -1.5 -1.66 -1.99 percent [+]
Ease of Doing Business 176.00 168 167 167 167 158 [+]
Corruption Index 25.00 23.88 24.03 24.18 24.33 21.88 Points [+]
Corruption Rank 139.00 139 139 140 140 122 [+]
Competitiveness Index 3.80 3.71 3.71 3.71 3.7 3.62 Points [+]
Competitiveness Rank 106.00 109 109 109 109 110 [+]
Business Confidence 9.96 12 10 11 12 14 [+]
CONSUMER Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Consumer Spending 5692703.00 6005802 6005802 6005802 6005802 6978832 BDT Million [+]
Disposable Personal Income 52321.01 54993 56432 57871 59310 81720 BDT THO [+]
Personal Savings 4328.30 4071 4408 4746 5083 6774 BDT Billion [+]
Private Sector Credit 6638.78 6884 7043 7154 7300 8406 BDT Billion [+]
Consumer Credit 8105.11 8423 8611 8800 8987 11174 BDT Billion [+]
HOUSING Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Housing Index 1797.00 1799 1821 1843 1865 2537 Index Points [+]
TAXES Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Corporate Tax Rate 25.00 25 25 25 25 25 percent [+]
Personal Income Tax Rate 30.00 30 30 30 30 30 percent [+]
Sales Tax Rate 15.00 15 15 15 15 15 percent [+]





Economic Forecasts for Bangladesh including a long-term outlook for the next decades, plus medium-term expectations for the next four quarters and short-term market predictions for the next release affecting the Bangladesh economy. 1/24/2017