Bangladesh | Economic Forecasts | 2016-2020 Outlook

Overview Actual Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 2020
GDP Growth Rate 7.05 6.7 6.8 6.8 6.8 6.8 percent [+]
Unemployment Rate 4.30 4.2 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.8 percent [+]
Inflation Rate 5.57 5.7 5.6 6.3 5.1 4.8 percent [+]
Interest Rate 6.75 6.75 6.75 6.5 6.5 6 percent [+]
Balance of Trade -51.80 -61.75 -61.6 -61.21 -61.25 -61.26 BDT Billion [+]
Government Debt to GDP 27.30 27.37 27.24 27.11 26.98 27.02 percent [+]
MARKETS Actual Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 2020
Currency 79.47 79.51 80.29 81.08 81.87 94.46 [+]
Stock Market 4823.02 4630 4580 4530 4490 3740 points [+]
GDP Actual Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 2020
GDP Growth Rate 7.05 6.7 6.8 6.8 6.8 6.8 percent [+]
GDP Annual Growth Rate 7.05 7.05 6.8 6.7 6.8 6.8 percent [+]
GDP 195.08 220 245 245 245 305 USD Billion [+]
GDP Constant Prices 8830.54 8831 9431 9431 9431 11489 BDT Billion [+]
Gross National Product 9350.98 9351 9940 9940 9940 11906 BDT Billion [+]
Gross Fixed Capital Formation 2829687.00 2829687 3084359 3084359 3084359 3874448 BDT Million [+]
GDP per capita 972.88 1027 1041 1056 1071 1291 USD [+]
GDP per capita PPP 3136.60 3298 3342 3387 3432 4091 USD [+]
GDP From Agriculture 9896.80 9897 10094 10094 10094 10807 BDT Million [+]
GDP From Construction 6172.90 6173 6728 6728 6728 8634 BDT Million [+]
GDP From Manufacturing 17600.10 17600 19448 19448 19448 26085 BDT Million [+]
GDP From Mining 1489.30 1489 1638 1638 1638 2141 BDT Million [+]
GDP From Public Administration 3197.10 3197 3549 3549 3549 4672 BDT Million [+]
GDP From Services 7784.00 7784 8041 8041 8041 8863 BDT Million [+]
GDP From Transport 9636.10 9636 10311 10311 10311 12572 BDT Million [+]
GDP From Utilities 224585.00 219794 232748 239224 245701 309050 BDT Million [+]
LABOUR Actual Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 2020
Unemployment Rate 4.30 4.2 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.8 percent [+]
Employed Persons 54.10 63 65 67 67 74 Million [+]
Wages 7388.40 8500 8900 8900 8900 10300 BDT/Month [+]
Wages in Manufacturing 243.00 249 259 269 272 260 Index Points [+]
Population 157.90 160 161 161 162 169 Million [+]
Retirement Age Men 59.00 59 59 59 59 59 [+]
Retirement Age Women 59.00 59 59 59 59 59 [+]
PRICES Actual Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 2020
Inflation Rate 5.57 5.7 5.6 6.3 5.1 4.8 percent [+]
Consumer Price Index CPI 231.85 234 236 240 243 281 Index Points [+]
GDP Deflator 174.42 139 142 145 149 158 percent [+]
Producer Prices 2180.00 2138 2138 2138 2138 2138 Index Points [+]
Export Prices 182.34 181 180 180 180 177 Index Points [+]
Import Prices 211.90 206 205 204 203 197 Index Points [+]
Inflation Rate Mom 0.69 0.12 0.67 0.65 0.41 0.52 percent [+]
Food Inflation 5.56 5.85 6.02 6.04 6.05 6.05 percent [+]
Cpi Transportation 209.42 210 211 211 212 212 Index Points [+]
MONEY Actual Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 2020
Interest Rate 6.75 6.75 6.75 6.5 6.5 6 percent [+]
Interbank Rate 3.52 5.62 6.94 7.58 7.88 8.14 percent [+]
Money Supply M0 1221.24 1249 1273 1298 1323 1644 BDT Billion [+]
Money Supply M1 1983635.00 2085656 2158673 2234239 2312445 3616174 BDT Million [+]
Money Supply M2 9228.83 9608 9921 10126 10345 11378 BDT Billion [+]
Money Supply M3 11047700.00 9400053 8459398 7793736 7337287 6336786 BDT Million [+]
Foreign Exchange Reserves 31370.00 32223 31984 32776 32472 33903 USD Million [+]
Loans to Private Sector 6292.73 6553 6736 6922 7108 9481 BDT Billion [+]
Deposit Interest Rate 8.20 8.96 9.15 9.34 9.53 9.48 percent [+]
TRADE Actual Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 2020
Balance of Trade -51.80 -61.75 -61.6 -61.21 -61.25 -61.26 BDT Billion [+]
Exports 218.38 200 203 204 204 204 BDT Billion [+]
Imports 270.22 260 260 260 260 260 BDT Billion [+]
Current Account 773.00 520 506 494 482 355 USD Million [+]
Current Account to GDP -0.80 0.7 0.73 0.76 0.79 0.77 percent [+]
Terms of Trade 86.05 87.17 87.34 87.51 87.68 89.27 Index Points [+]
Capital Flows 5.16 3.86 3.02 3.3 2.81 2.83 BDT Billion [+]
Remittances 1043.00 1113 1174 1200 1208 1207 USD Million [+]
Gold Reserves 13.78 13.78 13.78 13.78 13.78 13.78 Tonnes [+]
Foreign Direct Investment 1834.00 1893 1845 1796 1747 1500 USD Million [+]
External Debt 23.50 24.23 24.46 24.69 24.92 24.98 USD Billion [+]
Crude Oil Production 4.00 4 4 4 4 4 BBL/D/1K [+]
Terrorism Index 6.48 6.63 6.67 6.72 6.76 7.07 [+]
GOVERNMENT Actual Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 2020
Government Debt to GDP 27.30 27.37 27.24 27.11 26.98 27.02 percent [+]
Government Budget -4.70 -3.7 -3.65 -3.6 -3.56 -3.56 percent of GDP [+]
Government Budget Value -70623.00 -80215 -82276 -84337 -86397 -90203 BDT Billion [+]
Government Spending 478173.00 478173 523599 523599 523599 674309 BDT Billion [+]
Government Revenues 169045.00 188344 191562 194779 197996 243389 BDT Billion [+]
Fiscal Expenditure 239668.00 272264 278040 283815 289591 360667 BDT Billion [+]
Military Expenditure 2517.80 2572 2593 2614 2632 2931 USD Million [+]
BUSINESS Actual Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 2020
Manufacturing Production 15.50 12.12 8.65 11.13 11.06 11.08 percent [+]
Capacity Utilization 55.00 55 56 56 57 62 percent [+]
Mining Production 3.10 -21.17 -27.3 -30.54 -36.26 -125 percent [+]
Ease of Doing Business 176.00 168 167 167 167 158 [+]
Corruption Index 25.00 24.33 24.14 23.95 23.76 21.88 Points [+]
Corruption Rank 139.00 140 139 137 136 122 [+]
Competitiveness Index 3.80 3.71 3.71 3.71 3.7 3.62 Points [+]
Competitiveness Rank 106.00 109 109 109 109 110 [+]
Business Confidence 9.96 11 12 10 11 14 [+]
CONSUMER Actual Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 2020
Consumer Spending 5692703.00 5692703 6005802 6005802 6005802 6978832 BDT Million [+]
Disposable Personal Income 52321.01 59310 61113 62917 64720 81720 BDT THO [+]
Personal Savings 3375.80 3671 3742 3813 3884 4751 BDT Billion [+]
Private Sector Credit 6512.68 6764 6870 7007 7105 8228 BDT Billion [+]
Consumer Credit 8013.58 8322 8533 8745 8956 11610 BDT Billion [+]
HOUSING Actual Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 2020
Housing Index 1797.00 1865 1883 1901 1919 2537 Index Points [+]
TAXES Actual Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 2020
Corporate Tax Rate 25.00 25 25 25 25 25 percent [+]
Personal Income Tax Rate 30.00 30 30 30 30 30 percent [+]
Sales Tax Rate 15.00 15 15 15 15 15 percent [+]





Economic Forecasts for Bangladesh including a long-term outlook for the next decades, plus medium-term expectations for the next four quarters and short-term market predictions for the next release affecting the Bangladesh economy. 12/2/2016