Tajikistan | Economic Forecasts | 2016-2020 Outlook

Overview Actual Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 2020
Unemployment Rate 2.30 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.7 percent [+]
Inflation Rate 6.10 6.8 7 6.5 6.2 5.2 percent [+]
Interest Rate 11.00 11 11 11 9 6.5 percent [+]
Balance of Trade -198.20 -182 -182 -182 -182 -182 USD Million [+]
Government Debt to GDP 35.90 29.39 27.81 26.24 24.66 8.87 percent [+]
MARKETS Actual Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 2020
Currency 7.88 7.96 8.04 8.12 8.2 9.46 [+]
GDP Actual Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 2020
GDP Annual Growth Rate 6.50 5.8 5.7 5.3 5.2 4.8 percent [+]
GDP 7.85 9.7 9.7 9.7 7.43 7.13 USD Billion [+]
GDP Constant Prices 37943.50 55239 10869 25097 43743 93208 TJS Million [+]
GDP per capita 917.08 941 945 949 953 1009 USD [+]
GDP per capita PPP 2616.19 2677 2693 2709 2726 2961 USD [+]
GDP From Agriculture 10696.80 11907 12430 12953 13476 26589 TJS Million [+]
GDP From Construction 4578.80 4670 4727 4784 4842 6638 TJS Million [+]
GDP From Manufacturing 5462.20 5660 5724 5788 5852 6979 TJS Million [+]
GDP From Services 6044.10 6659 6804 6949 7094 9144 TJS Million [+]
GDP From Transport 6033.10 7325 7579 7832 8086 13820 TJS Million [+]
LABOUR Actual Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 2020
Unemployment Rate 2.30 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.7 percent [+]
Unemployed Persons 53.50 53.1 53.32 53.08 53.3 53.13 Thousand [+]
Employed Persons 2249.30 2251 2251 2252 2252 2255 Thousand [+]
Wages 904.10 940 942 939 939 939 TJS/Month [+]
Population 8.48 8.66 8.7 8.74 8.79 9.35 Million [+]
Wages In Manufacturing 1105.40 1122 1122 1122 1122 1122 TJS/Month [+]
Retirement Age Men 63.00 63 63 63 63 63 [+]
Retirement Age Women 58.00 58 58 58 58 58 [+]
PRICES Actual Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 2020
Inflation Rate 6.10 6.8 7 6.5 6.2 5.2 percent [+]
Consumer Price Index CPI 100.20 100 100 100 100 100 Index Points [+]
Producer Prices 102.20 101 101 101 101 101 Index Points [+]
Inflation Rate Mom 0.20 0.5 0.48 0.47 0.47 0.47 percent [+]
Producer Prices Change 7.20 4.8 4.3 4.3 8.24 2.7 percent [+]
Food Inflation 5.40 5.55 5.56 5.55 5.56 5.55 percent [+]
MONEY Actual Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 2020
Interest Rate 11.00 11 11 11 9 6.5 percent [+]
Money Supply M0 7219.23 503985 884157 1174049 1394121 1947370 TJS Thousand [+]
Money Supply M1 8564.61 607262 1059473 1399575 1654013 2233782 TJS Thousand [+]
Money Supply M2 9827.62 800140 482783 631707 862135 580029 TJS Thousand [+]
Deposit Interest Rate 4.20 4 4.04 4.08 4.13 6.46 percent [+]
TRADE Actual Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 2020
Balance of Trade -198.20 -182 -182 -182 -182 -182 USD Million [+]
Exports 84.20 67 67 67 77.26 110 USD Million [+]
Imports 268.90 257 216 216 258 345 USD Million [+]
Current Account -198482.00 -70590 -71198 -63832 -61678 -58915 USD Thousand [+]
Current Account to GDP -5.90 -4.19 -4.84 -5.49 -6.14 -6.63 percent [+]
Remittances 3638.00 4990 4952 4947 4960 4957 USD Thousand [+]
Gold Reserves 12.33 11.79 12.02 12.01 12.05 12.05 Tonnes [+]
Terrorism Index 3.09 1.79 1.85 1.91 1.98 1.68 [+]
Crude Oil Production 0.20 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 BBL/D/1K [+]
External Debt 2194.50 2243 2252 2261 2270 2335 USD Million [+]
GOVERNMENT Actual Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 2020
Government Debt to GDP 35.90 29.39 27.81 26.24 24.66 8.87 percent [+]
Government Budget 0.80 -1.37 -1.71 -2.05 -2.39 -5.19 percent of GDP [+]
Government Revenues 12567.80 7366 7193 8382 7980 7945 TJS Million [+]
Government Budget Value -496.00 -545 -537 -538 -538 -538 TJS Million [+]
Military Expenditure 104.30 87.52 88.58 89.65 89.14 90.6 USD Million [+]
Government Spending 13063.80 7222 6845 8048 7797 7703 TJS Million [+]
Fiscal Expenditure 13063.80 6990 7059 8298 7813 7810 TJS Million [+]
BUSINESS Actual Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 2020
Industrial Production 16.70 16.22 16.51 15.3 14.42 14.82 percent [+]
Ease of Doing Business 128.00 132 131 131 130 134 [+]
Corruption Index 26.00 26.46 26.25 26.04 25.83 22.28 Points [+]
Corruption Rank 136.00 131 129 128 126 125 [+]
Competitiveness Index 4.12 4.06 4.06 4.06 4.06 4.2 Points [+]
Competitiveness Rank 77.00 80.13 80.13 80.13 80.13 86 [+]
CONSUMER Actual Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 2020
Retail Sales Yoy 5.50 7.52 7.77 8.02 8.27 9.36 percent [+]
TAXES Actual Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 2020
Sales Tax Rate 20.00 20 20 20 20 20 percent [+]
Personal Income Tax Rate 13.00 13 13 13 13 13 percent [+]
Social Security Rate 26.00 26 26 26 26 26 percent [+]
Social Security Rate For Companies 25.00 25 25 25 25 25 percent [+]
Social Security Rate For Employees 1.00 1 1 1 1 1 percent [+]





Economic Forecasts for Tajikistan including a long-term outlook for the next decades, plus medium-term expectations for the next four quarters and short-term market predictions for the next release affecting the Tajikistan economy. 12/4/2016