Tajikistan | Economic Forecasts | 2016-2020 Outlook

Overview Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Unemployment Rate 2.40 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.6 2.7 percent [+]
Inflation Rate 5.30 7 6.5 6.2 5.8 5.2 percent [+]
Interest Rate 11.00 11 11 9 9 6.5 percent [+]
Balance of Trade -196.00 -186 -187 -187 -187 -187 USD Million [+]
Government Debt to GDP 35.90 42 42 42 42 37 percent [+]
MARKETS Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Currency 7.95 8.04 8.12 8.2 8.27 9.46 [+]
GDP Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
GDP Annual Growth Rate 6.90 5.7 5.3 5.2 5.3 4.8 percent [+]
GDP 7.85 9.7 9.7 8.06 7.56 7.13 USD Billion [+]
GDP Constant Prices 54471.10 32319 32894 32879 32879 32879 TJS Million [+]
GDP per capita 932.90 936 938 940 941 1009 USD [+]
GDP per capita PPP 2661.38 2633 2648 2663 2678 2962 USD [+]
GDP From Agriculture 22234.00 13907 16814 19721 22628 23808 TJS Million [+]
GDP From Construction 5380.40 4742 4718 4694 4670 6638 TJS Million [+]
GDP From Manufacturing 9366.90 9575 10916 12257 13598 20292 TJS Million [+]
GDP From Services 6637.00 6247 6384 6521 6659 9144 TJS Million [+]
GDP From Transport 6026.10 6648 6874 7100 7326 13840 TJS Million [+]
LABOUR Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Unemployment Rate 2.40 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.6 2.7 percent [+]
Unemployed Persons 53.10 52.97 52.62 52.84 52.61 52.66 Thousand [+]
Employed Persons 2254.90 2256 2257 2257 2258 2260 Thousand [+]
Wages 1197.10 1122 1102 1108 1108 1108 TJS/Month [+]
Population 8.70 8.71 8.77 8.83 8.89 9.48 Million [+]
Wages In Manufacturing 1105.40 1122 1122 1122 1122 1122 TJS/Month [+]
Retirement Age Men 63.00 63 63 63 63 63 [+]
Retirement Age Women 58.00 58 58 58 58 58 [+]
PRICES Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Inflation Rate 5.30 7 6.5 6.2 5.8 5.2 percent [+]
Consumer Price Index CPI 100.60 101 100 100 100 100 Index Points [+]
Producer Prices 103.10 101 101 101 101 101 Index Points [+]
Inflation Rate Mom 0.60 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.49 percent [+]
Producer Prices Change 3.30 4.3 4.3 5.52 3.5 2.7 percent [+]
Food Inflation 6.80 6.99 6.99 6.99 6.99 6.99 percent [+]
MONEY Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Interest Rate 11.00 11 11 9 9 6.5 percent [+]
Money Supply M0 7384.85 7601 7641 7689 7698 7701 TJS Thousand [+]
Money Supply M1 8436.07 8506 8446 8466 8468 8464 TJS Thousand [+]
Money Supply M2 9748.40 9921 9869 9894 9897 9893 TJS Thousand [+]
Deposit Interest Rate 4.20 4.42 4.28 4.14 4 6.46 percent [+]
TRADE Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Balance of Trade -196.00 -186 -187 -187 -187 -187 USD Million [+]
Exports 89.30 67 67 77.32 88 110 USD Million [+]
Imports 285.30 216 216 266 266 345 USD Million [+]
Current Account 152472.50 -207171 -90233 50322 -54537 -59319 USD Thousand [+]
Current Account to GDP -5.90 -6.7 -5.86 -5.03 -4.19 -6.63 percent [+]
Remittances 3638.00 4952 4947 4960 4951 4957 USD Thousand [+]
Gold Reserves 12.33 12.02 12.01 12.05 12.11 12.05 Tonnes [+]
Terrorism Index 3.09 1.85 1.83 1.81 1.79 1.68 [+]
Crude Oil Production 0.20 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 BBL/D/1K [+]
External Debt 2194.50 2095 2144 2194 2243 2335 USD Million [+]
GOVERNMENT Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Government Debt to GDP 35.90 42 42 42 42 37 percent [+]
Government Budget 0.80 0.43 -0.16 -0.76 -1.37 -5.19 percent of GDP [+]
Government Revenues 15773.50 7404 8817 9709 9151 9200 TJS Million [+]
Government Budget Value -60.20 32.32 80.48 117 141 191 TJS Million [+]
Military Expenditure 104.30 87.52 88.58 89.65 89.14 90.6 USD Million [+]
Government Spending 15833.70 8392 8924 9722 9547 9476 TJS Million [+]
Fiscal Expenditure 15833.70 7444 8878 9646 9159 9202 TJS Million [+]
BUSINESS Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Industrial Production 16.00 13.56 11.81 10.55 9.65 7.43 percent [+]
Ease of Doing Business 128.00 131 131 131 130 134 [+]
Corruption Index 25.00 25 24 24 23 23 Points [+]
Corruption Rank 151.00 143 139 135 131 125 [+]
Competitiveness Index 4.12 4.06 4.06 4.06 4.06 4.2 Points [+]
Competitiveness Rank 77.00 80.13 80.13 80.13 80.13 86 [+]
CONSUMER Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Retail Sales Yoy 6.40 9.08 10.29 11.49 12.69 10.56 percent [+]
TAXES Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Sales Tax Rate 20.00 20 20 20 20 20 percent [+]
Personal Income Tax Rate 13.00 13 13 13 13 13 percent [+]
Social Security Rate 26.00 26 26 26 26 26 percent [+]
Social Security Rate For Companies 25.00 25 25 25 25 25 percent [+]
Social Security Rate For Employees 1.00 1 1 1 1 1 percent [+]





Economic Forecasts for Tajikistan including a long-term outlook for the next decades, plus medium-term expectations for the next four quarters and short-term market predictions for the next release affecting the Tajikistan economy. 2/21/2017