Tajikistan | Economic Forecasts | 2016-2020 Outlook

Overview Actual Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
Unemployment Rate 2.30 2.5 2.4 2.6 2.7 2.7 percent [+]
Inflation Rate 7.30 6.5 6.2 5.8 5.5 5.2 percent [+]
Interest Rate 16.00 16 16 16 14 8 percent [+]
Balance of Trade -117.70 -167 -167 -167 -167 -167 USD Million [+]
Government Debt to GDP 35.90 42 42 42 27.81 37 percent [+]
MARKETS Actual Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
Currency 8.76 8.35 8.44 8.68 8.6 9.92 [+]
GDP Actual Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
GDP Annual Growth Rate 6.90 6.9 6.8 6.7 7 6.5 percent [+]
GDP 7.85 9.7 8.06 7.56 7.52 7.13 USD Billion [+]
GDP Constant Prices 54471.10 32894 32879 32879 32879 32879 TJS Million [+]
GDP per capita 932.90 941 948 955 958 982 USD [+]
GDP per capita PPP 2661.38 2720 2738 2756 2775 2997 USD [+]
GDP From Agriculture 22234.00 16814 19721 22628 22726 23808 TJS Million [+]
GDP From Construction 5380.40 5523 5743 5963 6103 8089 TJS Million [+]
GDP From Manufacturing 9366.90 10916 12257 13598 14573 20292 TJS Million [+]
GDP From Services 6637.00 6946 7081 7216 7350 9122 TJS Million [+]
GDP From Transport 6026.10 6178 6114 6050 6054 6095 TJS Million [+]
LABOUR Actual Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
Unemployment Rate 2.30 2.5 2.4 2.6 2.7 2.7 percent [+]
Unemployed Persons 55.70 56.16 56.41 56.22 56.41 56.27 Thousand [+]
Employed Persons 2254.90 2257 2257 2258 2258 2260 Thousand [+]
Wages 1083.70 1063 1068 1067 1068 1068 TJS/Month [+]
Population 8.70 8.77 8.83 8.89 8.89 9.48 Million [+]
Retirement Age Men 63.00 63 63 63 63 63 [+]
Retirement Age Women 58.00 58 58 58 58 58 [+]
Wages In Manufacturing 1105.40 1256 1288 1320 1351 1687 TJS/Month [+]
PRICES Actual Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
Inflation Rate 7.30 6.5 6.2 5.8 5.5 5.2 percent [+]
Consumer Price Index CPI 101.50 101 101 101 101 101 Index Points [+]
Producer Prices 100.90 101 101 101 101 101 Index Points [+]
Producer Prices Change 10.50 4.3 8.72 3.5 8.32 2.7 percent [+]
Inflation Rate Mom 1.50 0.52 0.56 0.56 0.56 0.56 percent [+]
Food Inflation 6.30 6.53 6.46 6.52 6.46 6.5 percent [+]
MONEY Actual Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
Interest Rate 16.00 16 16 16 14 8 percent [+]
Money Supply M0 7500.60 7526 7557 7564 7563 7564 TJS Thousand [+]
Money Supply M1 8541.61 8469 8492 8494 8490 8490 TJS Thousand [+]
Money Supply M2 9781.50 9596 9575 9566 9559 9555 TJS Thousand [+]
Deposit Interest Rate 4.20 4.28 4.14 4 4.04 6.46 percent [+]
TRADE Actual Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
Balance of Trade -117.70 -167 -167 -167 -167 -167 USD Million [+]
Exports 67.30 67 74.8 88 74.75 110 USD Million [+]
Imports 185.00 216 242 242 242 345 USD Million [+]
Current Account 152472.50 -90233 50322 -54537 -159432 -59319 USD Thousand [+]
Current Account to GDP -5.90 -5.86 -5.03 -4.19 -4.84 -6.63 percent [+]
Remittances 3638.00 4947 4960 4951 4958 4957 USD Thousand [+]
Gold Reserves 14.43 15.22 15.43 16.2 16.98 22.54 Tonnes [+]
Terrorism Index 3.09 1.83 1.81 1.79 1.85 1.68 [+]
Crude Oil Production 0.20 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 BBL/D/1K [+]
External Debt 2194.50 2144 2194 2243 2252 2335 USD Million [+]
GOVERNMENT Actual Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
Government Debt to GDP 35.90 42 42 42 27.81 37 percent [+]
Government Budget -1.70 -2.24 -2.63 -3.03 -3.28 -5.33 percent of GDP [+]
Government Revenues 17483.80 10206 8203 6759 5717 3088 TJS Million [+]
Military Expenditure 104.30 87.52 88.58 89.65 89.14 90.6 USD Million [+]
Government Budget Value -945.60 -717 -684 -696 -692 -693 TJS Million [+]
Government Spending 18429.90 10511 11224 11456 11361 11343 TJS Million [+]
Fiscal Expenditure 18429.90 9306 10745 10705 10446 10517 TJS Million [+]
BUSINESS Actual Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
Industrial Production 22.60 16.85 14.43 12.64 11.3 7.58 percent [+]
Ease of Doing Business 128.00 125 124 122 120 109 [+]
Corruption Index 25.00 24 24 23 23 23 Points [+]
Corruption Rank 151.00 143 144 145 146 148 [+]
Competitiveness Index 4.12 4.06 4.06 4.06 4.15 4.2 Points [+]
Competitiveness Rank 77.00 75 75 75 75 72 [+]
CONSUMER Actual Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
Retail Sales Yoy 6.40 10.29 11.49 12.69 13.72 10.56 percent [+]
TAXES Actual Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
Sales Tax Rate 20.00 20 20 20 20 20 percent [+]
Social Security Rate 26.00 26 26 26 26 26 percent [+]
Social Security Rate For Companies 25.00 25 25 25 25 25 percent [+]
Social Security Rate For Employees 1.00 1 1 1 1 1 percent [+]
Personal Income Tax Rate 13.00 13 13 13 13 13 percent [+]





Economic Forecasts for Tajikistan including a long-term outlook for the next decades, plus medium-term expectations for the next four quarters and short-term market predictions for the next release affecting the Tajikistan economy. 4/24/2017