United States Balance of Trade  Forecast 2016-2020

Balance of Trade in the United States is expected to be -38500.00 USD Million by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Balance of Trade in the United States to stand at -40000.00 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the United States Balance of Trade is projected to trend around -48000.00 USD Million in 2020, according to our econometric models.

United States Balance of Trade
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Forecast Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020 Unit
Balance of Trade -48492 -38500 -38000 -40000 -40000 -48000 USD Million
United States Balance of Trade Forecasts are projected using an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model calibrated using our analysts expectations. We model the past behaviour of United States Balance of Trade using vast amounts of historical data and we adjust the coefficients of the econometric model by taking into account our analysts assessments and future expectations. The forecast for - United States Balance of Trade - was last predicted on Sunday, March 26, 2017.
United States Trade Last Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Balance of Trade -48492 -38500 -38000 -40000 -40000 -48000
Exports 192094 194124 195802 190000 196994 198000
Imports 240586 228500 229000 230000 231000 246000
Current Account -112382 -109000 -109000 -111000 -112000 -145000
Current Account to GDP -2.6 -2.8 -2.8 -2.8 -2.8 -3
External Debt -7781138 -7699252 -7561063 -7550645 -7620652 -7616720
Terms of Trade 99.82 100 100 100 101 101
Capital Flows 110442 -54447 -31085 -13552 -7644 -3505
Foreign Direct Investment 22963 27148 32283 32177 26992 29549
Net Long Term Tic Flows 6324 18971 17839 17481 17598 17620
Gold Reserves 8133 8133 8133 8133 8133 8133
Crude Oil Production 8783 8880 8930 8930 9180 9150
Terrorism Index 4.88 4.7 4.79 4.61 4.96 5.03
Tourist Arrivals 6193106 6301739 6305803 6307168 6306514 6306418
Weapons Sales 10484 10854 10407 9959 9785 9661