United States Business Inventories  Forecast 2016-2020

Business Inventories in the United States is expected to be 0.20 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Business Inventories in the United States to stand at 0.32 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the United States Business Inventories is projected to trend around 0.20 percent in 2020, according to our econometric models.

United States Business Inventories
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Forecast Actual Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020 Unit
Business Inventories 0.3 0.2 0.1 -0.8 0.32 0.2 percent
United States Business Inventories Forecasts are projected using an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model calibrated using our analysts expectations. We model the past behaviour of United States Business Inventories using vast amounts of historical data and we adjust the coefficients of the econometric model by taking into account our analysts assessments and future expectations. The forecast for - United States Business Inventories - was last predicted on Sunday, April 30, 2017.
United States Business Last Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
Business Confidence 57.2 53.1 52.4 51.5 52 52
Services PMI 52.5 53.6 52.4 52.7 52.9 54.8
Non Manufacturing PMI 55.2 57.3 57.5 55.83 57.2 55.82
Manufacturing PMI 52.8 53.7 53.8 53 52.7 53
Composite Pmi 52.7 53.8 53.8 52 52.4 55.1
Industrial Production 1.5 1.5 2 3 2.4 1.1
Industrial Production Mom 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.2
Manufacturing Production 0.8 1.8 2.1 2 0.91 1.9
Capacity Utilization 76.1 75.8 75.9 76 76.51 78
Durable Goods Orders 0.7 0.4 0.3 -1.2 0.32 0.4
Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense 0.1 0.36 0.28 0.33 0.32 0.31
Durable Goods Orders Ex Transportation -0.2 -0.1 0.2 0.1 0.27 0.1
Factory Orders Ex Transportation 0.4 0.48 0.33 0.29 0.28 0.27
New Orders 476493 480664 482258 482847 483069 483207
Factory Orders 1 -0.1 0.4 -0.5 0.27 0.2
Business Inventories 0.3 0.2 0.1 -0.8 0.32 0.2
Changes in Inventories 10.3 69.32 37.84 70.07 32.44 72.03
Wholesale Inventories -0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.14 0.2
Bankruptcies 23591 23120 22994 22746 22761 22830
Corporate Profits 1611 1630 1632 1634 1635 1635
NFIB Business Optimism Index 105 106 101 95 94 97
NY Empire State Manufacturing Index 5.2 12 9 8 7 5
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index 22 16 12 9 8 6.3
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index 20 10 6 4 3 3
Ism New York Index 56.5 53.75 54.38 54.32 54.23 54.28
Chicago Fed National Activity Index 0.08 0.13 0.09 0.05 0.2 0.05
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index 16.8 15 14.3 14 15 2
Chicago Pmi 58.3 57.4 55 54 53 58.12
Total Vehicle Sales 16.62 19 15 14 18 18.7
Car Production 3.13 3.92 3.86 3.61 3.89 4.04
Car Registrations 502 585 559 541 545 544
Crude Oil Stocks Change -3.64 1.5 1 -0.5 0.3 0.1
Natural Gas Stocks Change 74 64.78 64.78 64.78 64.78 64.78
Gasoline Stocks Change 3369 22.8 22.64 22.64 22.64 22.64
Leading Economic Index 182 183 184 185 186 190
Small Business Sentiment 51.67 54.03 52.71 52.53 53.49 54.76
Steel Production 7003 6320 6400 6470 6824 7150
Mining Production 2.9 3.37 3.63 2 3.76 1
Competitiveness Index 5.7 5.7 5.7 5.7 5.73 5.69
Competitiveness Rank 3 3 3 3 3 3
Ease of Doing Business 8 7 7 7 6 6
Corruption Index 74 75.5 75.5 75.5 75.5 75.5
Corruption Rank 18 16 16 16 16 16