United States Net International Investment Position  Forecast 2016-2020

External Debt in the United States is expected to be -8121829.10 USD Million by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate External Debt in the United States to stand at -8092926.13 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the United States Net International Investment Position is projected to trend around -8131045.02 USD Million in 2020, according to our econometric models.

United States Net International Investment Position
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Forecast Actual Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020 Unit
External Debt -8109652 -8121829 -8186204 -8181299 -8092926 -8131045 USD Million
United States Net International Investment Position Forecasts are projected using an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model calibrated using our analysts expectations. We model the past behaviour of United States Net International Investment Position using vast amounts of historical data and we adjust the coefficients of the econometric model by taking into account our analysts assessments and future expectations. The forecast for - United States Net International Investment Position - was last predicted on Wednesday, May 24, 2017.
United States Trade Last Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
Balance of Trade -43706 -44200 -45000 -46700 -50000 -59000
Exports 190986 193800 194000 194300 195000 200000
Imports 234692 238000 239000 241000 245000 259000
Current Account -112382 -109000 -111000 -112000 -110722 -145000
Current Account to GDP -2.6 -2.8 -2.8 -2.8 -2.7 -3
External Debt -8109652 -8121829 -8186204 -8181299 -8092926 -8131045
Terms of Trade 99.25 99.09 99.24 99.34 99.45 99.42
Capital Flows -701 -14452 359 1938 2139 -24.99
Foreign Direct Investment 22963 32283 32177 26992 29280 29549
Net Long Term Tic Flows 59767 27830 24361 24933 24968 24932
Gold Reserves 8133 8133 8133 8133 8133 8133
Crude Oil Production 9031 8930 8930 9180 8998 9150
Tourism Revenues 20828 20894 20845 20881 20855 20866
Tourist Arrivals 7958601 7693201 7711007 7718037 7715267 7714597
Terrorism Index 4.88 4.79 4.61 4.96 4.97 5.03
Weapons Sales 10484 10854 10407 9959 9785 9661