United States Population  Forecast 2016-2020

Population in the United States is expected to be 324.80 Million by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. In the long-term, the United States Population is projected to trend around 332.16 Million in 2020, according to our econometric models.

United States Population
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Forecast Actual Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020 Unit
Population 324 325 325 326 326 332 Million
United States Population Forecasts are projected using an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model calibrated using our analysts expectations. We model the past behaviour of United States Population using vast amounts of historical data and we adjust the coefficients of the econometric model by taking into account our analysts assessments and future expectations. The forecast for - United States Population - was last predicted on Monday, April 24, 2017.
United States Labour Last Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
Unemployment Rate 4.5 4.7 4.8 4.8 4.9 6
Non Farm Payrolls 98 145 165 160 190 170
Nonfarm Payrolls Private 89 148 151 151 151 151
Government Payrolls 9 10 11.33 13 11.57 11
Manufacturing Payrolls 11 5 8.81 10 9.57 -2
Initial Jobless Claims 244 242 242 242 242 242
Continuing Jobless Claims 1979 1955 1931 1924 1921 1920
ADP Employment Change 263 255 253 164 253 150
Employed Persons 153000 153528 153989 154398 154763 154000
Unemployed Persons 7202 7049 6879 6748 6647 6329
Average Hourly Earnings 0.2 0.21 0.18 0.2 0.21 0.22
Average Weekly Hours 34.3 34.29 34.29 34.28 34.28 34.27
Labor Force Participation Rate 63 62.96 62.95 62.96 62.96 62.96
Long Term Unemployment Rate 1.05 1 1.18 1.07 1.05 0.32
Youth Unemployment Rate 9.1 9.11 8.83 8.64 8.49 8
Labour Costs 111 112 112 113 113 117
Productivity 107 106 108 108 109 111
Job Vacancies 5592 5455 5458 5484 5508 5578
Job Offers 5743 5690 5716 5733 5744 5783
Challenger Job Cuts 43310 42194 43177 42656 42997 63500
Wages 21.9 22.25 22.45 22.72 22.79 26.5
Wages in Manufacturing 20.69 21.11 21.36 21.61 21.72 25.61
Wage Growth 4.47 4.42 4.42 4.42 4.42 4.42
Minimum Wages 7.25 7.25 7.25 7.5 7.5 7.75
Employment Cost Index 0.5 0.56 0.54 0.55 0.55 0.55
Labor Market Conditions Index 0.4 0.6 0.7 1 0.08 0.5
Population 324 325 325 326 326 332
Retirement Age Women 66 66 66 66 66 66
Retirement Age Men 66 66 66 66 66 66
Living Wage Family 1496 1633 1641 1640 1640 1640
Living Wage Individual 1408 1380 1373 1369 1366 1362
Part Time Employment 27603 27611 27608 27608 27608 27608
Full Time Employment 125507 126062 126509 126878 127184 128477
Employment Rate 60.1 60.23 60.33 60.4 60.46 60.64
Wages Low Skilled 1780 1827 1827 1827 1827 1827
Wages High Skilled 4130 3956 3950 3968 4006 3973