Canola futures have steadied near CAD 650 per tonne near two-month highs set on January 23rd, as renewed optimism around China-Canada trade thawed into a more competitive and supply-heavy outlook. While China has resumed purchases of Canadian canola following tariff reductions, demand has lagged expectations, with buying skewed toward deferred shipments rather than prompt loading. At the same time, Australia’s return to the Chinese market for the first time in several years has intensified price competition, with Australian cargoes offered at parity or slight discounts to Canadian seed, diluting Canada’s ability to quickly reclaim lost market share. This demand recovery has also coincided with a sharply looser global balance, as forecasts point to a record 2025/26 rapeseed crop and a significant rise in ending stocks, reinforcing supply pressure. Expectations of larger Canadian plantings ahead and lingering trade uncertainty tied to US tariff threats have further capped upside.
Canola rose to 646.27 CAD/T on February 3, 2026, up 0.20% from the previous day. Over the past month, Canola's price has risen 5.81%, but it is still 0.12% lower than a year ago, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. Historically, Canola reached an all time high of 1226 in May of 2022. Canola - data, forecasts, historical chart - was last updated on February 3 of 2026.
Canola rose to 646.27 CAD/T on February 3, 2026, up 0.20% from the previous day. Over the past month, Canola's price has risen 5.81%, but it is still 0.12% lower than a year ago, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. Canola is expected to trade at 656.54 CAD/MT by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at 701.72 in 12 months time.