Bahrain | Economic Forecasts | 2016-2020 Outlook

Overview Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
GDP Growth Rate 1.70 0.7 0.9 0.5 0.8 1 percent [+]
Unemployment Rate 3.70 4 4 4 4 4.5 percent [+]
Inflation Rate 0.40 0 0.8 1.6 3.5 2.7 percent [+]
Interest Rate 1.25 1.25 1.25 1.5 1.75 3 percent [+]
Balance of Trade 312.40 930 1093 1255 1418 710 BHD Million [+]
Government Debt to GDP 61.90 55 55 55 55 65 percent [+]
MARKETS Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Stock Market 1375.55 1340 1320 1310 1280 1080 points [+]
Currency 0.38 0.38 0.39 0.39 0.4 0.46 [+]
GDP Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
GDP Growth Rate 1.70 0.7 0.9 0.5 0.8 1 percent [+]
GDP Annual Growth Rate 3.90 3.1 3.4 3.6 3 3.8 percent [+]
GDP 31.12 33 32 33 34 37 USD Billion [+]
GDP Constant Prices 11592.00 12427 12560 12693 12827 15859 BHD Million [+]
Gross Fixed Capital Formation 2634.70 3092 2992 2893 2793 3582 BHD Million [+]
GDP per capita 22348.00 22526 22687 22849 23011 28812 USD [+]
GDP per capita PPP 43753.90 44460 44778 45097 45415 56851 USD [+]
GDP From Agriculture 34.90 30.85 32.2 33.73 35.26 62.37 BHD Million [+]
GDP From Construction 826.00 813 810 807 804 734 BHD Million [+]
GDP From Manufacturing 1699.20 1702 1722 1741 1761 1962 BDT Million [+]
GDP From Mining 2363.90 2343 2348 2354 2360 2360 BHD Million [+]
GDP From Public Administration 1478.20 1513 1517 1521 1526 1683 BHD Million [+]
GDP From Services 686.40 690 700 709 718 865 BHD Million [+]
GDP From Transport 838.60 852 860 868 877 1059 BHD Million [+]
GDP From Utilities 151.10 150 151 152 153 149 BHD Million [+]
LABOUR Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Unemployment Rate 3.70 4 4 4 4 4.5 percent [+]
Employed Persons 658600.00 664136 669638 677176 685595 775043 [+]
Population 1.42 1.4 1.42 1.45 1.47 1.64 Million [+]
PRICES Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Inflation Rate 0.40 0 0.8 1.6 3.5 2.7 percent [+]
Consumer Price Index CPI 127.50 128 128 129 129 136 Index Points [+]
GDP Deflator 101.13 100 99.37 98.73 98.09 110 Index Points [+]
Cpi Transportation 125.60 126 126 126 126 126 Index Points [+]
Food Inflation -4.20 -4.77 -3.69 -4.04 -3.98 -3.98 percent [+]
Inflation Rate Mom 0.40 0.17 0.19 0.17 0.18 0.17 percent [+]
MONEY Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Interest Rate 1.25 1.25 1.25 1.5 1.75 3 percent [+]
Interbank Rate 2.30 2.05 2.29 2.29 2.29 2.29 percent [+]
Money Supply M0 528.90 530 530 530 530 530 BHD Million [+]
Money Supply M2 10286.00 10300 10319 10338 10355 10499 BHD Million [+]
Deposit Interest Rate 1.00 0.79 0.95 1.11 1.28 1.09 percent [+]
Foreign Exchange Reserves 876.10 847 862 855 858 857 BHD Million [+]
Money Supply M3 12272.00 12322 12385 12445 12504 13086 BHD Million [+]
Reverse Repo Rate 1.00 0.86 1.11 1.17 1.2 1.22 percent [+]
Money Supply M1 3401.00 3404 3408 3406 3406 3406 BHD Million [+]
Loan Growth 2.54 2.22 2.16 2.13 2.12 2.12 percent [+]
Loans To Private Sector 4211.10 4212 4215 4213 4214 4214 BHD Million [+]
TRADE Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Balance of Trade 312.40 930 1093 1255 1418 710 BHD Million [+]
Exports 6219.20 7459 7017 6575 6134 6504 BHD Million [+]
Imports 5906.80 6523 6419 6314 6210 7638 BHD Million [+]
Current Account -282.80 98.84 115 131 147 433 BHD Million [+]
Current Account to GDP 3.30 7.09 5.29 3.48 1.68 2.32 percent [+]
Gold Reserves 4.67 4.67 4.67 4.67 4.67 4.67 Tonnes [+]
Capital Flows 363.60 -273 -72.4 128 329 -595 BHD Million [+]
Crude Oil Production 50.00 50 50 50 50 50 BBL/D/1K [+]
Foreign Direct Investment -299.70 374 269 163 57.42 375 BHD Million [+]
Terrorism Index 4.21 4.18 3.93 3.67 3.42 0.65 [+]
GOVERNMENT Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Government Debt to GDP 61.90 55 55 55 55 65 percent [+]
Government Budget -5.00 -3.91 -3.2 -2.5 -1.79 -8.34 percent of GDP [+]
Government Spending 1844.00 1844 1847 1851 1854 1880 BHD Million [+]
Government Debt 7643.40 8294 8557 8780 9036 11884 BHD Million [+]
Fiscal Expenditure 3544.60 3712 3774 3836 3898 4655 BHD Million [+]
Military Expenditure 1401.00 1453 1448 1443 1429 1369 USD Million [+]
Government Budget Value -455.10 -337 -337 -337 -337 -402 BHD Million [+]
Government Revenues 3089.50 3997 4084 4170 4257 5421 BHD Million [+]
BUSINESS Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Changes in Inventories 112.00 141 137 133 130 153 BHD Million [+]
Car Registrations 430.00 443 437 432 426 369 Hundreds [+]
Competitiveness Index 4.47 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.47 Points [+]
Competitiveness Rank 48.00 44.03 44.03 44.03 44.03 43.44 [+]
Ease of Doing Business 63.00 61.04 60.64 60.23 59.83 56.68 [+]
Corruption Index 43.00 49 48 48 47 49 Points [+]
Corruption Rank 70.00 52.11 50.79 49.47 48.16 43.74 [+]
CONSUMER Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Consumer Spending 4774.10 5016 5016 5016 5016 5507 BHD Million [+]
Consumer Credit 3596.90 3684 3749 3814 3877 4596 BHD Million [+]
Bank Lending Rate 5.50 5.49 5.49 5.49 5.49 5.49 percent [+]
HOUSING Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Housing Index 184.00 200 198 190 193 195 TENS [+]
TAXES Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Corporate Tax Rate 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 percent [+]
Personal Income Tax Rate 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 percent [+]
Social Security Rate 15.00 15 15 15 15 15 percent [+]
Social Security Rate For Companies 9.00 9 9 9 9 9 percent [+]
Social Security Rate For Employees 6.00 6 6 6 6 6 percent [+]





Economic Forecasts for Bahrain including a long-term outlook for the next decades, plus medium-term expectations for the next four quarters and short-term market predictions for the next release affecting the Bahrain economy. 3/26/2017