Bahrain | Economic Forecasts | 2016-2020 Outlook

Overview Actual Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 2020
GDP Growth Rate 1.20 0.2 0.7 0.9 0.5 1 percent [+]
Unemployment Rate 3.70 3.8 4 4 4 4.5 percent [+]
Inflation Rate 1.50 2.9 3 3.2 2.9 2.7 percent [+]
Interest Rate 0.75 1 1 1.5 1.5 3 percent [+]
Balance of Trade 1513.00 2233 2218 2203 2188 2177 BHD Million [+]
Government Debt to GDP 42.00 50 55 55 55 65 percent [+]
MARKETS Actual Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 2020
Currency 0.38 0.38 0.39 0.39 0.4 0.46 [+]
Stock Market 1191.95 1130 1120 1110 1100 915 points [+]
GDP Actual Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 2020
GDP Growth Rate 1.20 0.2 0.7 0.9 0.5 1 percent [+]
GDP Annual Growth Rate 2.50 2.7 2.1 1.9 2.3 3.8 percent [+]
GDP 32.22 31 33 32 33 37 USD Billion [+]
GDP Constant Prices 11592.00 12827 13093 13359 13626 15859 BHD Million [+]
Gross Fixed Capital Formation 2634.70 2793 2842 2890 2939 3582 BHD Million [+]
GDP per capita 22384.43 23011 23257 23503 23750 28812 USD [+]
GDP per capita PPP 44182.00 45415 45901 46387 46873 56851 USD [+]
GDP From Agriculture 34.90 30.85 32.2 33.73 35.26 62.37 BHD Million [+]
GDP From Construction 826.00 804 807 810 813 734 BHD Million [+]
GDP From Manufacturing 1699.20 1761 1775 1789 1803 1962 BDT Million [+]
GDP From Mining 2363.90 2360 2360 2360 2360 2360 BHD Million [+]
GDP From Public Administration 1478.20 1526 1537 1548 1559 1683 BHD Million [+]
GDP From Services 686.40 718 730 742 754 865 BHD Million [+]
GDP From Transport 838.60 877 887 898 908 1059 BHD Million [+]
GDP From Utilities 151.10 153 153 153 154 149 BHD Million [+]
LABOUR Actual Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 2020
Unemployment Rate 3.70 3.8 4 4 4 4.5 percent [+]
Employed Persons 646840.00 653331 659148 666274 674381 770782 [+]
Population 1.37 1.37 1.37 1.37 1.38 1.38 Million [+]
PRICES Actual Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 2020
Inflation Rate 1.50 2.9 3 3.2 2.9 2.7 percent [+]
Consumer Price Index CPI 127.70 128 129 130 130 138 Index Points [+]
GDP Deflator 101.13 98.09 99 99.9 101 110 Index Points [+]
Cpi Transportation 127.10 127 127 127 127 127 Index Points [+]
Food Inflation -7.10 -2.89 -3.17 -2.71 -2.95 -2.89 percent [+]
Inflation Rate Mom -0.40 0.22 0.17 0.19 0.19 0.19 percent [+]
MONEY Actual Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 2020
Interest Rate 0.75 1 1 1.5 1.5 3 percent [+]
Interbank Rate 1.95 1.87 1.99 1.99 1.99 1.99 percent [+]
Money Supply M0 531.90 552 560 568 576 682 BHD Million [+]
Money Supply M2 10205.00 10346 10588 10703 10689 12702 BHD Million [+]
Deposit Interest Rate 1.00 1.28 1.25 1.22 1.19 1.09 percent [+]
Money Supply M3 12096.00 12096 12088 12079 12070 11958 BHD Million [+]
Money Supply M1 3492.00 3508 3564 3620 3677 4502 BHD Million [+]
Foreign Exchange Reserves 996.60 1069 1030 1040 1035 1037 BHD Million [+]
Loans To Private Sector 4195.40 4200 4197 4199 4198 4198 BHD Million [+]
TRADE Actual Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 2020
Balance of Trade 1513.00 2233 2218 2203 2188 2177 BHD Million [+]
Exports 9899.00 10466 10510 10555 10600 11878 BHD Million [+]
Imports 8386.00 7783 8094 8405 8716 9830 BHD Million [+]
Current Account 422.50 545 531 517 503 576 BHD Million [+]
Current Account to GDP 3.30 1.68 1.91 2.15 2.39 2.32 percent [+]
Gold Reserves 4.67 4.67 4.67 4.67 4.67 4.67 Tonnes [+]
Capital Flows -430.50 -546 -499 -453 -536 -590 BHD Million [+]
Crude Oil Production 50.00 50 50 50 50 50 BBL/D/1K [+]
Terrorism Index 4.21 3.42 3.17 2.92 2.67 0.65 [+]
Foreign Direct Investment 360.10 284 280 276 272 313 BHD Million [+]
GOVERNMENT Actual Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 2020
Government Debt to GDP 42.00 50 55 55 55 65 percent [+]
Government Budget -5.00 -1.79 -3.87 -5.94 -8.01 -8.34 percent of GDP [+]
Government Spending 1844.00 1854 1859 1864 1870 1880 BHD Million [+]
Government Debt 6639.90 7666 7907 8090 8348 11013 BHD Million [+]
Fiscal Expenditure 3544.60 3712 3774 3836 3898 4655 BHD Million [+]
Government Revenues 3089.50 3997 4084 4170 4257 5421 BHD Million [+]
Government Budget Value -455.10 -337 -355 -372 -390 -402 BHD Million [+]
Military Expenditure 1401.00 1453 1448 1443 1429 1369 USD Million [+]
BUSINESS Actual Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 2020
Changes in Inventories 112.00 130 131 132 132 153 BHD Million [+]
Car Registrations 430.00 426 412 399 385 369 Hundreds [+]
Competitiveness Index 4.47 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.47 Points [+]
Competitiveness Rank 48.00 44.03 44.03 44.03 44.03 43.44 [+]
Ease of Doing Business 63.00 61.45 60.64 60.23 59.83 56.68 [+]
Corruption Index 51.00 51.06 51.18 51.31 51.43 52.44 Points [+]
Corruption Rank 50.00 48.16 47.72 47.28 46.85 43.74 [+]
CONSUMER Actual Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 2020
Consumer Spending 4774.10 4677 4623 4570 4516 3506 BHD Million [+]
Consumer Credit 3578.80 3623 3689 3754 3819 4606 BHD Million [+]
Bank Lending Rate 5.50 5.49 5.49 5.49 5.49 5.49 percent [+]
HOUSING Actual Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 2020
Housing Index 184.00 191 200 198 190 195 TENS [+]
TAXES Actual Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 2020
Corporate Tax Rate 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 percent [+]
Personal Income Tax Rate 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 percent [+]
Social Security Rate 15.00 15 15 15 15 15 percent [+]
Social Security Rate For Companies 9.00 9 9 9 9 9 percent [+]
Social Security Rate For Employees 6.00 6 6 6 6 6 percent [+]





Economic Forecasts for Bahrain including a long-term outlook for the next decades, plus medium-term expectations for the next four quarters and short-term market predictions for the next release affecting the Bahrain economy. 12/10/2016