united kingdom - National Statistics
Markets Last Previous Average Trend Unit Reference Frequency
Currency 1.52 1.56 2.00 Trend May/2013 Monthly
Government Bond 10Y 1.88 1.67 7.49 Trend Percent May/2013 Monthly
Stock Market 6723.06 6430.12 4052.31 Trend Index points May/2013 Monthly
GDP Last Previous Average Trend Unit Reference Frequency
GDP per capita 28032.79 27321.13 18760.97 Trend USD Dec/2011 Yearly
GDP per capita PPP 36510.78 35686.58 22031.53 Trend USD Dec/2011 Yearly
GDP Growth Rate 0.30 -0.30 0.62 Trend Percent Mar/2013 Quarterly
GDP Annual Growth Rate 0.60 0.20 2.55 Trend Percent Mar/2013 Quarterly
Gross National Product 389809.00 387668.00 127452.05 Trend GBP Million Nov/2012 Quarterly
GDP 2431.59 2246.08 892.22 Trend USD Billion Dec/2011 Yearly
Labour Last Previous Average Trend Unit Reference Frequency
Population 62.64 62.25 57.19 Trend Million Dec/2011 Yearly
Unemployment Rate 7.80 7.90 7.26 Trend Percent Mar/2013 Monthly
Employed Persons 32102.00 32098.00 28072.97 Trend Thousand Persons Nov/2012 Quarterly
Job Vacancies 503.00 499.00 565.48 Trend Thousand Mar/2013 Monthly
Labour Costs 105.20 104.70 49.39 Trend Index Points Nov/2012 Quarterly
Productivity 100.60 101.40 67.68 Trend Index Points Nov/2012 Quarterly
Unemployed Persons 1520.80 1528.10 1603.00 Trend Thousand Persons Apr/2013 Monthly
Wages 463.00 466.00 402.48 Trend GBP Mar/2013 Monthly
Wages in Manufacturing 545.00 547.00 462.29 Trend GBP Mar/2013 Monthly
Prices Last Previous Average Trend Unit Reference Frequency
Core Inflation Rate 0.30 0.40 0.62 Trend Percent Aug/2012 Monthly
Inflation Rate 2.80 2.80 2.81 Trend Percent Mar/2013 Monthly
Consumer Price Index (CPI) 125.60 125.20 93.72 Trend Index Points Mar/2013 Monthly
Core Consumer Prices 120.81 120.39 101.04 Trend Index Points Mar/2013 Monthly
Export Prices 118.50 118.30 69.47 Trend Index Points Mar/2013 Monthly
GDP Deflator 107.32 106.85 46.68 Trend Index Points Nov/2012 Quarterly
Import Prices 118.40 118.20 69.57 Trend Index Points Mar/2013 Monthly
Money Last Previous Average Trend Unit Reference Frequency
Interest Rate 0.50 0.50 8.21 Trend Percent May/2013 Monthly
Foreign Exchange Reserves 101237.89 103392.50 57709.24 Trend USD Million Apr/2013 Monthly
Interbank Rate 1.00 1.00 7.42 Trend Percent Apr/2013 Monthly
Loans to Private Sector 2281480.00 2309764.00 683081.96 Trend GBP Million Mar/2013 Quarterly
Money Supply M0 64935.00 64538.00 23857.68 Trend GBP Million Apr/2013 Monthly
Money Supply M1 1180925.00 1179744.00 512248.77 Trend GBP Million Mar/2013 MONTHLY
Money Supply M2 1354341.00 1352831.00 593554.15 Trend GBP Million Mar/2013 Monthly
Money Supply M3 2359591.00 2366793.00 1098032.77 Trend GBP Million Mar/2013 Monthly
Trade Last Previous Average Trend Unit Reference Frequency
Current Account to GDP -3.70 -1.30 -1.58 Trend Percent Dec/2012 Yearly
Current Account -14037.00 -15074.00 -2157.03 Trend GBP Million Dec/2012 Quarterly
Balance of Trade -3130.00 -3391.00 -1214.41 Trend GBP Million Mar/2013 Monthly
Exports 41316.00 39936.00 20061.77 Trend GBP Million Mar/2013 Monthly
Imports 44446.00 43327.00 21271.91 Trend GBP Million Mar/2013 Monthly
External Debt -544025.00 -317437.00 -78876.25 Trend GBP Million Dec/2012 Quarterly
Terms of Trade 100.10 100.10 97.63 Trend Index Points Mar/2013 Monthly
Government Last Previous Average Trend Unit Reference Frequency
Government Debt To GDP 90.70 86.40 47.67 Trend Percent Dec/2012 Yearly
Credit Rating 97.96 Trend
Government External Debt -544025.00 -317437.00 -78876.25 Trend GBP Million Dec/2012 Quarterly
Government Spending 84010.00 84118.00 55295.17 Trend GBP Million Nov/2012 Quarterly
Government Budget -6.30 -7.80 -3.66 Trend Percent of GDP Dec/2012 Yearly
Business Last Previous Average Trend Unit Reference Frequency
Business Confidence 16.70 12.80 2.86 Trend Jun/2013 Quarterly
Industrial Production -1.40 -2.50 1.63 Trend Percent Mar/2013 Monthly
Bankruptcies 3619.00 3834.00 3312.08 Trend Companies Mar/2013 Quarterly
Capacity Utilization 59.00 53.00 58.43 Trend Percent May/2013 Quarterly
Car Registrations 163357.00 394806.00 147586.57 Trend Cars Apr/2013 Monthly
Changes in Inventories 992.00 2155.00 561.41 Trend GBP Million Nov/2012 Quarterly
Housing Index 28130.00 22360.00 35301.60 Trend Feb/2013 QUARTERLY
New Orders 11215.63 10847.43 15552.63 Trend GBP Million Nov/2012 Quarterly
Consumer Last Previous Average Trend Unit Reference Frequency
Retail Sales MoM -0.70 2.10 0.24 Trend Percent Mar/2013 Monthly
Retail Sales YoY -0.50 2.50 2.61 Trend Percent Mar/2013 Monthly
Consumer Confidence -27.00 -26.00 -9.63 Trend Apr/2013 Monthly
Bank Lending Rate 1.50 1.50 7.85 Trend Percent May/2013 Monthly
Consumer Spending 229089.00 227451.00 124155.61 Trend GBP Million Nov/2012 Quarterly
Disposable Personal Income 239192.00 239527.00 128020.38 Trend GBP Million Nov/2012 Quarterly
Personal Savings 6.70 7.90 6.44 Trend Percent Nov/2012 Quarterly


U.K. Economy Struggles to Recover
Nuno Fontes | nuno@tradingeconomics.com  |  5/15/2013 12:51:06 PM


Recent updates for the United Kingdom are showing that the road to recovery may be bumpy. In the first three months of 2013, the GDP expanded 0.3 percent quarter-on-quarter and 0.6 year-on-year. The rise was driven by the services sector growth and a bounce-back in North Sea oil and gas output.

Indeed, in April, the Services PMI index grew to an 8-month high. Additionally, the job market figures show some improvement: compared to the previous year, employment is up, unemployment and the claimant count are down, and the rate of inactivity is at its lowest since 1991. Also, in an effort to stimulate the economy, Chancellor Osborne announced several tax reductions including a corporation tax cut to 20 percent in his 2013 Budget speech. However, on the negative side, credit for companies remains scarce and businesses are putting off non-essential spending waiting for the economy to improve further. Also, consumer confidence remains gloomy. In fact, in March, retail sales contracted 0.5 percent yoy and 0.7 percent mom. To make things even worst, both Moody's and Fitch downgraded United Kingdom from its AAA credit rating, as government spending cuts and the Bank of England's quantitative easing policy failed to stimulate economic growth. 


In the first quarter of 2013, the GDP expanded 0.3 percent compared with the previous quarter. Compared with the previous year, the economy expanded 0.6%, remaining mainly flat since 2011.
 


The benchmark interest rate is set at an all-time low of 0.5 percent since March of 2009 and the asset purchases programme (through treasury bills' issuance) is at a record high of £375 billion per month. However, higher-than-expected inflation rates and concerns over the sterling make the scenario of further QE unlikely.

     

The Moody's and Fitch sovereign debt rating downgrade led the pound to plunge against both the euro and the dollar. Yet, the sterling depreciation is not a concern for the Bank of England as it is likely to make exports cheaper and spur growth.
 
In March, the unemployment rate fell to 7.8 percent. More importantly, the number of unemployed persons has declined to 2.52 billion, down 92 thousand from the same period last year.

 




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