Puerto Rico | Economic Forecasts | 2016-2020 Outlook

MARKETS Actual Q3/16 Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 2020
Currency 95.52 95.94 96.07 96.04 95.99 95.46 [+]
GDP Actual Q3/16 Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 2020
GDP Annual Growth Rate -0.60 -1.93 -2 -1.87 -1.74 1.25 percent [+]
GDP 103.10 103 103 102 102 106 USD Billion [+]
GDP per capita 19801.39 19900 19900 20100 20100 21900 USD [+]
GDP Per Capita Ppp 33843.61 33945 33945 34300 34300 37000 USD [+]
LABOUR Actual Q3/16 Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 2020
Unemployment Rate 11.40 12.4 11.59 11.6 11.6 11.5 percent [+]
Population 3.59 3.57 3.56 3.56 3.55 3.43 Million [+]
Government Payrolls 230.10 230 230 230 230 230 Thousand [+]
Unemployed Persons 129.00 131 131 131 131 131 Thousand [+]
Labor Force Participation Rate 40.50 40.46 40.46 40.46 40.46 40.46 percent [+]
Manufacturing Payrolls 71.90 72.1 72.09 72.09 72.09 72.09 Thousand [+]
Non Farm Payrolls 894.30 900 896 898 898 898 Thousand [+]
Employed Persons 1008.00 1012 1009 1010 1010 1010 Thousand [+]
Employment Rate 35.90 36 35.9 35.94 35.94 35.94 percent [+]
PRICES Actual Q3/16 Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 2020
Inflation Rate -0.20 0.7 1 1 1 2.8 percent [+]
Food Inflation 2.20 1.96 1.89 1.87 1.86 1.86 percent [+]
Consumer Price Index Cpi 115.20 115 115 115 115 115 Index Points [+]
MONEY Actual Q3/16 Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 2020
Banks Balance Sheet 56526.60 56659 56888 57136 57388 60804 USD Million [+]
TRADE Actual Q3/16 Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 2020
Balance of Trade 2091.50 2350 2350 2350 2350 2350 USD Million [+]
Exports 5725.90 5960 5960 5960 5960 5960 USD Million [+]
Imports 3634.40 3530 3520 3510 3520 3520 USD Million [+]
Current Account 6331.40 5873 6128 6383 6626 10046 USD Million [+]
Capital Flows -1207.00 -2900 -1370 159 271 1591 USD Million [+]
GOVERNMENT Actual Q3/16 Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 2020
Government Revenues 1324.70 1167 1022 1170 1018 1165 USD Million [+]
BUSINESS Actual Q3/16 Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 2020
Leading Economic Index -1.80 -1.96 -1.95 -1.97 -1.97 -1.97 percent [+]
Manufacturing Pmi 54.00 51.33 51.15 51.49 51.45 51.44 [+]
Ease of Doing Business 57.00 51.58 51.69 51.1 50.5 47.53 [+]
Corruption Index 63.00 60.64 60.68 60.56 60.43 59.7 Points [+]
Corruption Rank 31.00 36.17 36.89 36.5 36.12 34.78 [+]
Bankruptcies 895.00 902 974 843 888 888 companies [+]
Competitiveness Index 4.64 4.62 4.62 4.62 4.61 4.58 Points [+]
Competitiveness Rank 32.00 32.68 33.02 33.2 33.37 34.78 [+]
CONSUMER Actual Q3/16 Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 2020
Retail Sales MoM 0.76 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.06 percent [+]
Retail Sales YoY -0.80 -1.71 -1.7 -1.7 -1.7 -1.7 percent [+]
Gasoline Prices 0.60 0.58 0.59 0.59 0.59 0.59 USD/Liter [+]
HOUSING Actual Q3/16 Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 2020
Building Permits 311.00 302 302 302 302 302 [+]
Housing Index 146.77 151 144 145 144 121 Index Points [+]
TAXES Actual Q3/16 Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 2020
Personal Income Tax Rate 33.00 33 33 33 33 33 percent [+]
Corporate Tax Rate 39.00 39 39 39 39 39 percent [+]





Economic Forecasts for Puerto Rico including a long-term outlook for the next decades, plus medium-term expectations for the next four quarters and short-term market predictions for the next release affecting the Puerto Rico economy. 7/30/2016