Kyrgyzstan | Economic Forecasts | 2016-2020 Outlook

Overview Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Unemployment Rate 2.20 2.5 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.9 percent [+]
Inflation Rate -0.50 2.5 2.9 3.5 4.2 5 percent [+]
Interest Rate 5.00 5 5 5 5 6 percent [+]
Balance of Trade -208.00 -191 -191 -212 -177 -192 USD Million [+]
Government Debt to GDP 55.20 67 67 67 67 58 percent [+]
MARKETS Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Currency 69.47 70.78 71.47 72.17 72.86 83.27 [+]
GDP Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
GDP Annual Growth Rate 3.80 -1 -0.5 0.3 1.3 5.2 percent [+]
GDP 6.57 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.8 USD Billion [+]
GDP Constant Prices 423635.50 437092 450301 463510 476719 622237 KGS Million [+]
Gross Fixed Capital Formation 29797.10 32705 26135 26125 26414 28880 KGS Million [+]
GDP per capita 1017.15 970 970 970 970 1068 USD [+]
GDP per capita PPP 3224.88 3050 3050 3050 3050 3441 USD [+]
LABOUR Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Unemployment Rate 2.20 2.5 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.9 percent [+]
Unemployed Persons 55.90 58 58 55.07 57.9 55.06 Thousand [+]
Minimum Wages 1140.00 1140 1140 1140 1140 1500 KGS/Month [+]
Population 5.89 5.9 5.93 5.95 5.97 6.21 Million [+]
Wages 14025.00 14200 14200 14060 18800 21700 KGS/Month [+]
Wages In Manufacturing 13238.00 13800 13800 13156 15200 17400 KGS/Month [+]
Employed Persons 526849.00 526522 526529 526533 526534 526534 [+]
PRICES Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Inflation Rate -0.50 2.5 2.9 3.5 4.2 5 percent [+]
Core Inflation Rate -0.20 -0.96 -1.16 -1.25 -1.28 -1.3 percent [+]
Producer Prices 145.40 144 145 145 146 152 Index Points [+]
Producer Prices Change -0.30 5.8 5.8 -8.69 2.9 4.7 percent [+]
Inflation Rate Mom 1.00 0.6 0.6 0.61 0.61 0.61 percent [+]
Food Inflation -5.00 -5.44 -5.34 -5.33 -5.32 -5.32 percent [+]
GDP Deflator 103.10 103 103 103 103 103 Index Points [+]
Consumer Price Index Cpi 248.20 248 248 248 248 248 Index Points [+]
MONEY Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Interest Rate 5.00 5 5 5 5 6 percent [+]
Money Supply M0 63767.90 57700 57700 64293 58800 64900 KGS Million [+]
Foreign Exchange Reserves 1917.87 2120 2200 2500 2700 4200 USD Million [+]
Deposit Interest Rate 2.70 8.29 7.24 6.18 5.13 -0.15 percent [+]
Money Supply M1 90476.20 74600 74600 89618 79800 84400 KGS Million [+]
Money Supply M2 107326.60 84800 87100 87100 87100 94600 KGS Million [+]
TRADE Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Balance of Trade -208.00 -191 -191 -212 -177 -192 USD Million [+]
Exports 141.90 94 94 121 102 220 USD Million [+]
Imports 349.90 285 285 342 279 412 USD Million [+]
Current Account -48.90 -142 -122 -94.41 -111 -109 USD Million [+]
Current Account to GDP -14.80 -11.24 -8.85 -6.46 -4.07 -25.77 percent [+]
Gold Reserves 4.47 4.61 4.67 4.72 4.77 5.13 Tonnes [+]
Remittances 194.30 155 179 181 128 210 USD Million [+]
Tourist Arrivals 1265.10 1192 1197 1202 1208 1225 Thousand [+]
Foreign Direct Investment 61.90 193 192 79.14 262 195 USD Million [+]
External Debt 7724.50 7935 8168 8246 8381 9668 KGS Million [+]
Terrorism Index 1.45 1.32 1.3 1.29 1.27 1.2 [+]
Crude Oil Production 1.00 1 1 1 1 1 BBL/D/1K [+]
GOVERNMENT Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Government Debt to GDP 55.20 67 67 67 67 58 percent [+]
Government Budget -1.50 -0.35 -0.99 -1.64 -2.28 -2.28 percent of GDP [+]
Government Revenues 115032749.40 25600000 25600000 73302219 129000000 144000000 KGS Thousand [+]
Government Debt 3734.47 3774 3856 3898 3954 4496 USD Million [+]
Fiscal Expenditure 131648320.80 61395698 70904276 77843736 74657514 74584456 KGS Thousand [+]
Military Expenditure 261.30 265 268 270 272 300 USD Million [+]
Government Spending 38590.10 39530 39527 39527 39527 39527 KGS Million [+]
Government Budget Value -16533482.40 -10519888 -9909256 -10088726 -10180361 -10177273 KGS Thousand [+]
BUSINESS Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Industrial Production 23.90 -12.41 -7.98 10.03 10.95 5.39 percent [+]
Manufacturing Production 32.70 5.35 3.11 11.56 5.2 5.23 percent [+]
Mining Production 39.10 21.48 20.38 20.21 20.2 20.21 percent [+]
Leading Economic Index 3.80 2 2.3 2.5 2.9 6.4 percent [+]
Ease of Doing Business 75.00 71.97 72.17 72.36 72.56 71.08 [+]
Corruption Index 28.00 28.15 28.33 28.52 28.7 30.58 Points [+]
Corruption Rank 123.00 119 115 112 109 77 [+]
Changes In Inventories 1680.00 -915 747 1408 484 550 KGS Million [+]
Competitiveness Index 3.75 3.84 3.84 3.84 3.84 3.73 Points [+]
Competitiveness Rank 108.00 112 109 106 103 124 [+]
CONSUMER Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Retail Sales Yoy 9.30 4.7 4.7 10.47 10.2 10.5 percent [+]
Consumer Confidence 19.50 14.44 12.67 10.15 7.21 -1.72 [+]
Consumer Spending 92791.00 87500 98151 104247 96377 95644 KGS Million [+]
HOUSING Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Housing Starts 546.00 647 615 599 592 586 [+]
TAXES Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Sales Tax Rate 12.00 12 12 12 12 12 percent [+]





Economic Forecasts for Kyrgyzstan including a long-term outlook for the next decades, plus medium-term expectations for the next four quarters and short-term market predictions for the next release affecting the Kyrgyzstan economy. 1/21/2017