Kyrgyzstan | Economic Forecasts | 2016-2020 Outlook

Overview Actual Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
Unemployment Rate 2.20 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.4 2.9 percent [+]
Inflation Rate 2.80 4 4.9 4.8 5.3 5.3 percent [+]
Interest Rate 5.00 5 5 5 5 6 percent [+]
Balance of Trade -111.20 -191 -157 -177 -158 -192 USD Million [+]
Government Debt to GDP 55.20 67 67 67 58.05 58 percent [+]
MARKETS Actual Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
Currency 66.98 69.2 69.88 71.94 71.25 82.21 [+]
GDP Actual Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
GDP Annual Growth Rate 3.80 4.6 3.8 3 3.6 5.2 percent [+]
GDP 6.57 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.59 6.8 USD Billion [+]
GDP Constant Prices 423635.50 445994 450150 454307 461702 566457 KGS Million [+]
Gross Fixed Capital Formation 29797.10 29142 32688 30752 20788 28462 KGS Million [+]
GDP per capita 1017.15 970 970 970 1012 982 USD [+]
GDP per capita PPP 3224.88 3050 3050 3050 3191 3441 USD [+]
LABOUR Actual Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
Unemployment Rate 2.20 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.4 2.9 percent [+]
Unemployed Persons 57.10 58 58.72 57.9 58.68 58.68 Thousand [+]
Minimum Wages 1140.00 1140 1140 1140 1220 1500 KGS/Month [+]
Population 6.14 6.16 6.19 6.21 6.23 6.41 Million [+]
Wages 14492.00 14200 14169 18800 14166 21700 KGS/Month [+]
Wages In Manufacturing 13484.00 13800 14146 15200 14497 17400 KGS/Month [+]
Employed Persons 534122.00 534390 534372 534366 534364 534365 [+]
PRICES Actual Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
Inflation Rate 2.80 4 4.9 4.8 5.3 5.3 percent [+]
Core Inflation Rate 0.90 1.52 1.81 1.92 1.95 1.98 percent [+]
Producer Prices 148.50 150 151 152 154 166 Index Points [+]
Producer Prices Change -2.10 5.8 -2.13 2.9 -2.18 4.7 percent [+]
Inflation Rate Mom 0.50 0.61 0.61 0.61 0.61 0.61 percent [+]
Food Inflation 1.80 4.32 5.01 5.35 5.45 5.52 percent [+]
GDP Deflator 98.40 98.05 97.78 97.68 97.64 97.61 Index Points [+]
Consumer Price Index Cpi 254.20 257 258 258 259 259 Index Points [+]
MONEY Actual Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
Interest Rate 5.00 5 5 5 5 6 percent [+]
Money Supply M0 65319.60 57700 63899 58800 63892 64900 KGS Million [+]
Foreign Exchange Reserves 1991.49 2200 2500 2700 1983 4200 USD Million [+]
Deposit Interest Rate 2.30 1.43 -0.12 -1.67 -2.29 -3.98 percent [+]
Money Supply M1 92181.50 74600 92634 79800 92630 84400 KGS Million [+]
Money Supply M2 110918.10 87100 87100 88900 88900 94600 KGS Million [+]
TRADE Actual Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
Balance of Trade -111.20 -191 -157 -177 -158 -192 USD Million [+]
Exports 143.80 94 135 102 135 220 USD Million [+]
Imports 255.00 285 301 279 301 412 USD Million [+]
Current Account -61.50 -130 -107 -126 -127 -122 USD Million [+]
Current Account to GDP -14.80 -8.85 -6.46 -4.07 -4.86 -25.77 percent [+]
Gold Reserves 4.58 4.73 4.8 4.87 4.93 5.41 Tonnes [+]
Remittances 121.40 167 178 128 151 210 USD Million [+]
Tourist Arrivals 1265.10 1197 1202 1208 1212 1225 Thousand [+]
Terrorism Index 1.45 1.3 1.29 1.27 1.26 1.2 [+]
Foreign Direct Investment 61.90 192 79.14 262 194 195 USD Million [+]
External Debt 7866.80 8113 8231 8348 8439 9603 KGS Million [+]
Crude Oil Production 1.00 1 1 1 1 1 BBL/D/1K [+]
GOVERNMENT Actual Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
Government Debt to GDP 55.20 67 67 67 58.05 58 percent [+]
Government Budget -1.50 -0.99 -1.64 -2.28 -2.08 -2.28 percent of GDP [+]
Government Revenues 17718193.80 25600000 69329383 129000000 64085065 144000000 KGS Thousand [+]
Government Debt 3742.70 3858 3931 3977 4011 4547 USD Million [+]
Fiscal Expenditure 18795959.80 78487881 61589291 56671301 62855823 61262592 KGS Thousand [+]
Government Spending 38590.10 39527 39527 39527 39527 39527 KGS Million [+]
Military Expenditure 261.30 265 268 270 272 300 USD Million [+]
Government Budget Value -2.88 757361 -1374101 -1973245 -1971909 -1885971 KGS Thousand [+]
BUSINESS Actual Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
Industrial Production 60.00 24.05 8.12 4.67 4.39 4.53 percent [+]
Manufacturing Production 65.20 25.27 8.69 5.45 5.22 5.32 percent [+]
Mining Production 60.00 35.32 27.95 27.12 27.18 27.22 percent [+]
Leading Economic Index 7.80 2.3 2.5 2.9 4.12 6.4 percent [+]
Ease of Doing Business 75.00 68 68 69 70 71 [+]
Corruption Index 28.00 28 28 28 28 27 Points [+]
Corruption Rank 136.00 127 133 138 138 141 [+]
Changes In Inventories 1680.00 747 1408 484 -142 550 KGS Million [+]
Competitiveness Index 3.75 3.84 3.84 3.84 3.73 3.73 Points [+]
Competitiveness Rank 108.00 109 106 103 104 124 [+]
CONSUMER Actual Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
Retail Sales Yoy 3.90 4.7 6.07 10.2 6.08 10.5 percent [+]
Consumer Confidence 27.80 35.65 39.04 40.87 42.72 68.59 [+]
Consumer Spending 92791.00 93358 94901 91533 90933 92295 KGS Million [+]
HOUSING Actual Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
Housing Starts 322.00 588 572 568 568 573 [+]
TAXES Actual Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
Sales Tax Rate 12.00 12 12 12 12 12 percent [+]





Economic Forecasts for Kyrgyzstan including a long-term outlook for the next decades, plus medium-term expectations for the next four quarters and short-term market predictions for the next release affecting the Kyrgyzstan economy. 4/25/2017