Kyrgyzstan | Economic Forecasts | 2016-2020 Outlook

Overview Actual Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 2020
Unemployment Rate 2.20 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.5 2.9 percent [+]
Inflation Rate -0.20 -0.3 2.5 2.9 3.5 5 percent [+]
Interest Rate 5.50 5.5 5 5 5 6 percent [+]
Balance of Trade -184.40 -189 -191 -191 -215 -192 USD Million [+]
Government Debt to GDP 55.20 57.85 58.05 58.25 58.44 63.75 percent [+]
MARKETS Actual Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 2020
Currency 69.07 69.79 70.48 71.17 71.86 82.92 [+]
GDP Actual Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 2020
GDP Annual Growth Rate 2.00 -1.5 -1 -0.5 0.3 5.2 percent [+]
GDP 6.57 6 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.8 USD Billion [+]
GDP Constant Prices 423635.50 476719 484659 492600 500540 622237 KGS Million [+]
Gross Fixed Capital Formation 29797.10 32705 26135 26125 26414 28880 KGS Million [+]
GDP per capita 1017.15 990 970 970 970 1068 USD [+]
GDP per capita PPP 3224.88 3100 3050 3050 3050 3441 USD [+]
LABOUR Actual Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 2020
Unemployment Rate 2.20 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.5 2.9 percent [+]
Unemployed Persons 56.70 58.9 58 58 57.58 57.59 Thousand [+]
Minimum Wages 940.00 940 940 940 940 940 KGS/Month [+]
Population 5.89 5.97 5.99 6.01 6.02 6.21 Million [+]
Wages 14015.00 18300 14200 14200 14039 21700 KGS/Month [+]
Wages In Manufacturing 13145.00 15000 13800 13800 13800 17400 KGS/Month [+]
Employed Persons 526849.00 526518 526522 526529 526533 526534 [+]
PRICES Actual Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 2020
Inflation Rate -0.20 -0.3 2.5 2.9 3.5 5 percent [+]
Core Inflation Rate 0.40 0.02 -0.2 -0.3 -0.34 -0.37 percent [+]
Producer Prices 149.20 151 152 154 156 175 Index Points [+]
Producer Prices Change 4.50 3.8 5.8 5.8 3.57 4.7 percent [+]
Inflation Rate Mom 0.40 0.54 0.6 0.6 0.61 0.61 percent [+]
Food Inflation -6.10 -5.05 -5.06 -4.93 -4.91 -4.89 percent [+]
GDP Deflator 103.40 103 103 103 103 103 Index Points [+]
Consumer Price Index Cpi 243.30 244 244 244 244 244 Index Points [+]
MONEY Actual Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 2020
Interest Rate 5.50 5.5 5 5 5 6 percent [+]
Money Supply M0 64901.70 55400 57700 57700 75807 64900 KGS Million [+]
Foreign Exchange Reserves 1979.00 2080 2120 2200 2500 4200 USD Million [+]
Deposit Interest Rate 2.70 5.13 4.17 3.21 2.25 -0.15 percent [+]
Money Supply M1 90545.90 77800 74600 74600 103401 84400 KGS Million [+]
Money Supply M2 106670.50 84800 87100 87100 87100 94600 KGS Million [+]
TRADE Actual Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 2020
Balance of Trade -184.40 -189 -191 -191 -215 -192 USD Million [+]
Exports 167.00 80 94 94 121 220 USD Million [+]
Imports 351.40 269 285 285 340 412 USD Million [+]
Current Account -291.50 -119 -209 -192 -216 -209 USD Million [+]
Current Account to GDP -14.80 -4.07 -4.86 -5.64 -6.43 -25.77 percent [+]
Gold Reserves 4.47 4.54 4.61 4.67 4.72 5.13 Tonnes [+]
Remittances 205.30 155 153 178 179 210 USD Million [+]
Tourist Arrivals 1265.10 1208 1212 1217 1222 1225 Thousand [+]
Foreign Direct Investment 122.50 351 171 188 46.85 174 USD Million [+]
External Debt 8080.70 8244 8340 8470 8581 10073 KGS Million [+]
Terrorism Index 1.45 1.27 1.26 1.25 1.23 1.2 [+]
Crude Oil Production 1.00 1 1 1 1 1 BBL/D/1K [+]
GOVERNMENT Actual Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 2020
Government Debt to GDP 55.20 57.85 58.05 58.25 58.44 63.75 percent [+]
Government Budget -1.50 -2.28 -2.08 -1.89 -1.69 -2.28 percent of GDP [+]
Government Revenues 91796832.90 118000000 25600000 25600000 63505186 144000000 KGS Thousand [+]
Government Debt 3734.47 3757 3774 3856 3898 4496 USD Million [+]
Fiscal Expenditure 108621054.00 58031451 57043959 67272397 64214753 63761430 KGS Thousand [+]
Military Expenditure 261.30 265 268 270 272 300 USD Million [+]
Government Spending 38590.10 39508 39530 39527 39527 39527 KGS Million [+]
Government Budget Value -16750938.00 -7691816 -3519943 -2629059 -2634592 -2742156 KGS Thousand [+]
BUSINESS Actual Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 2020
Industrial Production 38.50 13.14 -16.79 -10.78 7.79 2.86 percent [+]
Manufacturing Production 48.10 22.42 5.76 3.11 11.52 5.26 percent [+]
Mining Production 11.60 9.52 5.05 3.21 1.98 2.26 percent [+]
Leading Economic Index 2.70 2.2 2 2.3 2.5 6.4 percent [+]
Ease of Doing Business 75.00 71.77 72.17 72.36 72.56 71.08 [+]
Corruption Index 28.00 28.7 28.84 28.97 29.11 30.58 Points [+]
Corruption Rank 123.00 119 115 112 109 77 [+]
Changes In Inventories 1680.00 -3 -915 747 1408 550 KGS Million [+]
Competitiveness Index 3.75 3.84 3.84 3.84 3.84 3.73 Points [+]
Competitiveness Rank 108.00 103 104 106 107 124 [+]
CONSUMER Actual Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 2020
Retail Sales Yoy 11.90 9.5 4.7 4.7 14.05 10.5 percent [+]
Consumer Confidence 19.50 17.02 14.44 12.67 10.15 -1.72 [+]
Consumer Spending 92791.00 97487 87500 98151 104247 95644 KGS Million [+]
HOUSING Actual Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 2020
Housing Starts 547.00 747 738 714 704 679 [+]
TAXES Actual Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 2020
Sales Tax Rate 12.00 12 12 12 12 12 percent [+]





Economic Forecasts for Kyrgyzstan including a long-term outlook for the next decades, plus medium-term expectations for the next four quarters and short-term market predictions for the next release affecting the Kyrgyzstan economy. 12/5/2016