Kyrgyzstan | Economic Forecasts | 2016-2020 Outlook

Overview Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Unemployment Rate 2.20 2.5 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.9 percent [+]
Inflation Rate 0.50 2.5 2.9 3.5 4.2 5 percent [+]
Interest Rate 5.00 5 5 5 5 6 percent [+]
Balance of Trade -114.40 -191 -191 -177 -177 -192 USD Million [+]
Government Debt to GDP 55.20 67 67 67 67 58 percent [+]
MARKETS Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Currency 69.11 70.78 71.47 72.17 72.86 83.27 [+]
GDP Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
GDP Annual Growth Rate 3.80 -1 -0.5 0.3 1.3 5.2 percent [+]
GDP 6.57 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.8 USD Billion [+]
GDP Constant Prices 423635.50 437092 450301 463510 476719 622237 KGS Million [+]
Gross Fixed Capital Formation 29797.10 32705 26135 26125 26414 28880 KGS Million [+]
GDP per capita 1017.15 970 970 970 970 1068 USD [+]
GDP per capita PPP 3224.88 3050 3050 3050 3050 3441 USD [+]
LABOUR Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Unemployment Rate 2.20 2.5 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.9 percent [+]
Unemployed Persons 55.60 58 58 55.35 57.9 55.34 Thousand [+]
Minimum Wages 1140.00 1140 1140 1140 1140 1500 KGS/Month [+]
Population 6.14 6.14 6.16 6.19 6.21 6.41 Million [+]
Wages 14017.00 14200 14200 14037 18800 21700 KGS/Month [+]
Wages In Manufacturing 14138.05 13800 13800 13156 15200 17400 KGS/Month [+]
Employed Persons 534122.00 526522 526529 526533 526534 526534 [+]
PRICES Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Inflation Rate 0.50 2.5 2.9 3.5 4.2 5 percent [+]
Core Inflation Rate -0.50 -0.89 -1.07 -1.15 -1.18 -1.2 percent [+]
Producer Prices 145.40 144 145 145 146 152 Index Points [+]
Producer Prices Change 0.00 5.8 5.8 -1.21 2.9 4.7 percent [+]
Inflation Rate Mom 1.00 0.68 0.62 0.61 0.61 0.61 percent [+]
Food Inflation -3.60 -2.6 -2.39 -2.18 -2.13 -2.09 percent [+]
GDP Deflator 102.60 102 102 102 102 102 Index Points [+]
Consumer Price Index Cpi 248.20 248 248 248 248 248 Index Points [+]
MONEY Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Interest Rate 5.00 5 5 5 5 6 percent [+]
Money Supply M0 63767.90 57700 57700 64293 58800 64900 KGS Million [+]
Foreign Exchange Reserves 1917.87 2120 2200 2500 2700 4200 USD Million [+]
Deposit Interest Rate 2.70 8.29 7.24 6.18 5.13 -0.15 percent [+]
Money Supply M1 89743.80 74600 74600 90280 79800 84400 KGS Million [+]
Money Supply M2 106681.00 84800 87100 87100 87100 94600 KGS Million [+]
TRADE Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Balance of Trade -114.40 -191 -191 -177 -177 -192 USD Million [+]
Exports 205.20 94 94 144 102 220 USD Million [+]
Imports 319.60 285 285 338 279 412 USD Million [+]
Current Account -48.90 -142 -122 -94.41 -111 -109 USD Million [+]
Current Account to GDP -14.80 -11.24 -8.85 -6.46 -4.07 -25.77 percent [+]
Gold Reserves 4.47 4.61 4.67 4.72 4.77 5.13 Tonnes [+]
Remittances 156.70 152 178 179 128 210 USD Million [+]
Tourist Arrivals 1265.10 1192 1197 1202 1208 1225 Thousand [+]
Foreign Direct Investment 61.90 193 192 79.14 262 195 USD Million [+]
External Debt 7862.80 8068 8254 8344 8471 9770 KGS Million [+]
Terrorism Index 1.45 1.32 1.3 1.29 1.27 1.2 [+]
Crude Oil Production 1.00 1 1 1 1 1 BBL/D/1K [+]
GOVERNMENT Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Government Debt to GDP 55.20 67 67 67 67 58 percent [+]
Government Budget -1.50 -0.35 -0.99 -1.64 -2.28 -2.28 percent of GDP [+]
Government Revenues 115032749.40 25600000 25600000 73302219 129000000 144000000 KGS Thousand [+]
Government Debt 3762.80 3846 3922 3970 4027 4628 USD Million [+]
Fiscal Expenditure 131648320.80 61395698 70904276 77843736 74657514 74584456 KGS Thousand [+]
Military Expenditure 261.30 265 268 270 272 300 USD Million [+]
Government Spending 38590.10 39530 39527 39527 39527 39527 KGS Million [+]
Government Budget Value -16533482.40 -10519888 -9909256 -10088726 -10180361 -10177273 KGS Thousand [+]
BUSINESS Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Industrial Production 33.80 16.45 6.54 4.34 4.29 4.44 percent [+]
Manufacturing Production 36.90 18.16 7.33 5.3 5.26 5.36 percent [+]
Mining Production 77.90 33.8 26.51 23.91 23.45 23.39 percent [+]
Leading Economic Index 3.80 2 2.3 2.5 2.9 6.4 percent [+]
Ease of Doing Business 75.00 71.97 72.17 72.36 72.56 71.08 [+]
Corruption Index 28.00 28 28 28 28 27 Points [+]
Corruption Rank 136.00 119 115 112 109 77 [+]
Changes In Inventories 1680.00 -915 747 1408 484 550 KGS Million [+]
Competitiveness Index 3.75 3.84 3.84 3.84 3.84 3.73 Points [+]
Competitiveness Rank 108.00 112 109 106 103 124 [+]
CONSUMER Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Retail Sales Yoy 3.90 4.7 4.7 7.37 10.2 10.5 percent [+]
Consumer Confidence 19.50 14.44 12.67 10.15 7.21 -1.72 [+]
Consumer Spending 92791.00 87500 98151 104247 96377 95644 KGS Million [+]
HOUSING Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Housing Starts 322.00 633 588 572 568 573 [+]
TAXES Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Sales Tax Rate 12.00 12 12 12 12 12 percent [+]





Economic Forecasts for Kyrgyzstan including a long-term outlook for the next decades, plus medium-term expectations for the next four quarters and short-term market predictions for the next release affecting the Kyrgyzstan economy. 2/23/2017