Slovenia | Economic Forecasts | 2016-2020 Outlook

Overview Actual Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 2020
GDP Growth Rate 1.00 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.6 percent [+]
Unemployment Rate 10.30 10.2 9.8 10 9.7 8.5 percent [+]
Inflation Rate 0.60 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 2 percent [+]
Interest Rate 0.00 0 0 0 0 0.5 percent [+]
Balance of Trade 173.43 94.67 89.85 90.15 90.23 90.21 EUR Million [+]
Government Debt to GDP 83.20 86.92 88.64 90.37 92.1 106 percent [+]
MARKETS Actual Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 2020
Currency 1.06 1.05 1.04 1.03 1.02 0.85 [+]
Stock Market 703.87 699 692 684 677 565 points [+]
Government Bond 10y 1.04 1.04 1.05 1.06 1.07 1.24 percent [+]
GDP Actual Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 2020
GDP Growth Rate 1.00 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.6 percent [+]
GDP Annual Growth Rate 2.70 2.5 3.6 2.6 2.8 2.1 percent [+]
GDP 42.75 44.45 45.82 47.2 43.57 56.58 USD Billion [+]
GDP Constant Prices 9393.30 9631 9695 9752 9805 10513 EUR Million [+]
Gross National Product 20725.35 27100 21900 16700 17000 17600 EUR Million [+]
Gross Fixed Capital Formation 1701.60 1618 1760 1639 1615 1105 EUR Million [+]
GDP per capita 23895.79 24204 24306 24408 24510 25924 USD [+]
GDP per capita PPP 28941.87 29321 29448 29574 29701 31577 USD [+]
GDP From Agriculture 225.40 155 134 155 155 152 EUR Million [+]
GDP From Construction 369.10 357 304 346 374 323 EUR Million [+]
GDP From Manufacturing 1934.30 1840 1803 1956 1849 1890 EUR Million [+]
GDP From Public Administration 1425.20 1475 1454 1435 1450 1493 EUR Million [+]
GDP From Services 1853.20 1690 1688 1688 1688 1688 EUR Million [+]
LABOUR Actual Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 2020
Unemployment Rate 10.30 10.2 9.8 10 9.7 8.5 percent [+]
Employed Persons 824438.00 828577 830843 833275 834957 842099 [+]
Unemployed Persons 95125.00 93840 95033 95472 95293 95297 [+]
Long Term Unemployment Rate 4.30 4.23 4.2 4.17 4.17 4.16 percent [+]
Youth Unemployment Rate 13.50 13.81 13.73 13.75 13.74 13.75 percent [+]
Labour Costs 103.20 103 103 104 104 107 Index Points [+]
Job Vacancies 8419.00 9770 9446 9451 9463 9463 [+]
Wages 1558.00 1563 1562 1562 1562 1562 EUR/Month [+]
Wages in Manufacturing 1501.00 1544 1540 1538 1535 1770 EUR/Month [+]
Wage Growth 2.08 2.18 2.26 2.35 2.43 2.98 percent [+]
Minimum Wages 790.73 791 791 791 791 810 EUR/Month [+]
Population 2.06 2.06 2.06 2.06 2.06 2.06 Million [+]
Retirement Age Women 64.33 64.33 64.33 64.33 64.33 64.33 [+]
Retirement Age Men 64.33 64.33 64.33 64.33 64.33 64.33 [+]
Employment Change 0.60 0.53 0.48 0.49 0.51 0.51 percent [+]
Employment Rate 66.20 65.7 65.03 66.32 66.92 66.11 percent [+]
Full Time Employment 822.50 828 812 826 839 835 Thousand [+]
Productivity 108.10 102 99.38 108 113 104 Index Points [+]
Labor Force Participation Rate 56.70 56.61 56.06 56.52 56.92 56.59 percent [+]
Part Time Employment 84.70 85.84 85.51 85.41 85.41 85.45 Thousand [+]
PRICES Actual Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 2020
Inflation Rate 0.60 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 2 percent [+]
Harmonised Consumer Prices 100.69 101 101 101 101 103 Index Points [+]
Consumer Price Index CPI 100.79 101 101 101 101 103 Index Points [+]
Core Consumer Prices 101.34 102 102 102 102 105 Index Points [+]
Core Inflation Rate 1.03 1.08 1.15 1.21 1.27 1.42 percent [+]
GDP Deflator 100.40 100 100 100 100 100 Index Points [+]
Producer Prices 103.47 104 104 104 104 105 Index Points [+]
Export Prices 97.10 98.53 99.43 101 101 101 Index Points [+]
Import Prices 95.10 97.68 99.56 101 102 102 Index Points [+]
Cpi Transportation 97.08 96.59 96.62 96.62 96.62 96.62 Index Points [+]
Food Inflation 1.30 1.02 1.05 1.06 1.06 1.06 percent [+]
Producer Prices Change -0.60 0.1 0.4 0.4 -0.23 1.8 percent [+]
Inflation Rate Mom 0.10 -0.05 0.05 0.05 0.03 0.04 percent [+]
MONEY Actual Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 2020
Interest Rate 0.00 0 0 0 0 0.5 percent [+]
Interbank Rate -0.31 -0.32 -0.34 -0.35 -0.36 -0.37 percent [+]
Money Supply M0 4729.00 4864 4789 4852 4913 5339 EUR Million [+]
Money Supply M1 14972.00 15903 16530 17166 17813 27978 EUR Million [+]
Money Supply M2 22284.00 22920 23259 23619 24003 31846 EUR Million [+]
Money Supply M3 22167.00 22545 22693 22839 22982 24799 EUR Million [+]
Foreign Exchange Reserves 204.90 203 203 203 203 203 EUR Million [+]
Banks Balance Sheet 39607.00 38534 37474 36388 35278 19109 EUR [+]
Central Bank Balance Sheet 12914.00 12977 13030 13024 13027 13026 EUR [+]
Private Debt to GDP 138.96 138 137 135 134 128 percent [+]
Loans To Private Sector 8983.00 8662 8365 8086 7823 5550 EUR Million [+]
TRADE Actual Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 2020
Balance of Trade 173.43 94.67 89.85 90.15 90.23 90.21 EUR Million [+]
Exports 2287.47 1989 2103 2092 2082 2086 EUR Million [+]
Imports 2114.04 1961 2010 1987 1997 1994 EUR Million [+]
Current Account 376.50 31.28 22.74 18.62 16.21 253 EUR Million [+]
Current Account to GDP 6.90 6.5 6.5 6.5 8.68 11.09 percent [+]
External Debt 9071.00 8243 7665 7230 6728 5241 EUR Million [+]
Terms of Trade 99.00 99.36 99.13 98.89 98.66 98.38 Index Points [+]
Capital Flows 138.60 104 105 105 105 105 EUR Million [+]
Foreign Direct Investment 14.40 91.84 95.28 94.55 94.41 94.38 EUR Million [+]
Tourist Arrivals 426699.00 139263 314471 374745 280470 308680 [+]
Gold Reserves 3.17 3.17 3.17 3.17 3.17 3.17 Tonnes [+]
Crude Oil Production 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 BBL/D/1K [+]
Terrorism Index 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 [+]
GOVERNMENT Actual Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 2020
Government Debt to GDP 83.20 86.92 88.64 90.37 92.1 106 percent [+]
Government Budget -2.90 -2.2 -2.2 -2.2 -5.06 -0.9 percent of GDP [+]
Government Budget Value 77.00 -89.69 -82.92 -79.1 -77.67 -77.02 EUR Million [+]
Government Spending 1801.20 1816 1823 1830 1836 1892 EUR Million [+]
Government Spending to GDP 48.00 47.71 47.67 47.64 47.6 47.46 percent [+]
Government Revenues 1391.00 1310 1317 1317 1316 1317 EUR Million [+]
Government Debt 27769.85 28173 28380 28380 28523 28781 EUR Million [+]
Fiscal Expenditure 1314.00 1378 1367 1369 1368 1368 EUR Million [+]
Asylum Applications 120.00 62.84 88.03 75.61 81.3 80.06 persons [+]
Military Expenditure 488.80 488 493 498 499 503 USD Million [+]
BUSINESS Actual Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 2020
Business Confidence 7.00 9 7 7 7.28 2 [+]
Industrial Production 7.40 4.2 4.5 4 6.98 2.7 percent [+]
Industrial Production Mom 1.30 0.18 0.2 0.17 0.18 0.18 percent [+]
Manufacturing Production 8.20 6.68 6.03 5.12 4.35 2.53 percent [+]
Capacity Utilization 84.10 83.32 83.62 83.01 82.33 80.43 percent [+]
Car Registrations 5127.00 4590 4963 4603 4971 4626 Cars [+]
Changes In Inventories 0.90 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.88 EUR Million [+]
Competitiveness Index 4.39 4.29 4.29 4.29 4.29 4.42 Points [+]
Competitiveness Rank 56.00 69.53 69.53 69.53 59.54 59.57 [+]
Ease of Doing Business 30.00 31.75 31.75 31.75 31.75 31.78 [+]
Electricity Production 1294.00 1330 1326 1327 1327 1327 Gigawatt-hour [+]
Corruption Index 60.00 62.02 62.53 63.04 63.56 66.39 Points [+]
Corruption Rank 35.00 30.12 29.21 28.31 27.4 27.46 [+]
Mining Production 45.30 1.48 1.58 1.63 1.54 1.53 percent [+]
Steel Production 55.54 50.82 52.74 51.49 51.82 51.79 Thousand Tonnes [+]
CONSUMER Actual Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 2020
Consumer Confidence -11.00 -11.18 -11.13 -11.12 -11.12 -11.13 [+]
Retail Sales MoM 3.70 -0.38 -0.06 0.09 0.13 0.13 percent [+]
Retail Sales YoY 8.70 4.99 6.57 7.05 7.21 7.35 percent [+]
Consumer Spending 4877.70 4908 4945 4979 5012 5371 EUR Million [+]
Personal Savings 15.82 14.44 14.43 14.43 14.43 14.43 percent [+]
Consumer Credit 2094.00 2110 2127 2142 2156 2241 EUR Million [+]
Bank Lending Rate 2.73 2.6 2.53 2.48 2.43 2.21 percent [+]
Gasoline Prices 1.28 1.24 1.2 1.18 1.18 1.18 USD/Liter [+]
Households Debt To Income 45.45 42.89 42.24 41.58 40.93 32.9 percent [+]
HOUSING Actual Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 2020
Construction Output -9.20 -12.87 -10.88 -11.03 -11.29 -11.31 percent [+]
Housing Index 87.74 88.84 89.06 88.86 88.59 87.96 Index points [+]
Building Permits 252.00 203 222 217 216 217 [+]
Home Ownership Rate 76.20 76.21 76.21 76.21 76.21 76.21 percent [+]
TAXES Actual Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 2020
Corporate Tax Rate 17.00 17 17 19 19 19 percent [+]
Personal Income Tax Rate 50.00 50 50 45 45 45 percent [+]
Sales Tax Rate 22.00 22 22 22 22 22 percent [+]
Social Security Rate 38.20 38.2 38.2 38.2 38.2 38.2 percent [+]
Social Security Rate For Companies 16.10 16.1 16.1 16.1 16.1 16.1 percent [+]
Social Security Rate For Employees 22.10 22.1 22.1 22.1 22.1 22.1 percent [+]





Economic Forecasts for Slovenia including a long-term outlook for the next decades, plus medium-term expectations for the next four quarters and short-term market predictions for the next release affecting the Slovenia economy. 12/8/2016