Slovenia | Economic Forecasts | 2016-2020 Outlook

Overview Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
GDP Growth Rate 1.20 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.4 percent [+]
Unemployment Rate 10.80 10.4 10.3 10.1 9.8 8.5 percent [+]
Inflation Rate 2.20 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 2 percent [+]
Interest Rate 0.00 0 0 0 0 0.5 percent [+]
Balance of Trade 18.80 41.11 48.51 49.89 50.09 50.13 EUR Million [+]
Government Debt to GDP 83.20 88.8 88.17 87.55 86.92 106 percent [+]
MARKETS Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Currency 1.06 1.04 1.03 1.02 1.01 0.84 [+]
Stock Market 791.04 783 775 767 752 633 points [+]
Government Bond 10y 1.03 1.04 1.05 1.06 1.07 1.24 percent [+]
GDP Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
GDP Growth Rate 1.20 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.4 percent [+]
GDP Annual Growth Rate 2.60 3.6 2.6 2.8 2.8 2.1 percent [+]
GDP 42.77 45.82 47.2 43.19 51.56 56.58 USD Billion [+]
GDP Constant Prices 9517.70 9696 9754 9807 9859 10521 EUR Million [+]
Gross National Product 20725.35 27100 21900 16700 17000 17600 EUR Million [+]
Gross Fixed Capital Formation 1693.50 1618 1760 1639 1615 1105 EUR Million [+]
GDP per capita 23778.56 23730 23888 24046 24204 25924 USD [+]
GDP per capita PPP 28799.85 28540 28801 29061 29321 31577 USD [+]
GDP From Agriculture 204.10 136 157 157 157 156 EUR Million [+]
GDP From Construction 392.70 304 346 374 339 323 EUR Million [+]
GDP From Manufacturing 1782.70 1803 1956 1849 1865 1890 EUR Million [+]
GDP From Public Administration 1460.10 1454 1435 1450 1479 1493 EUR Million [+]
GDP From Services 1897.10 1688 1688 1688 1688 1688 EUR Million [+]
LABOUR Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Unemployment Rate 10.80 10.4 10.3 10.1 9.8 8.5 percent [+]
Employed Persons 824485.00 824978 826805 827369 828279 830935 [+]
Unemployed Persons 99615.00 104038 103308 102333 102474 102589 [+]
Long Term Unemployment Rate 3.90 3.92 3.82 3.8 3.81 3.76 percent [+]
Youth Unemployment Rate 16.80 13.73 13.75 13.74 13.75 13.75 percent [+]
Labour Costs 103.20 103 104 104 104 107 Index Points [+]
Job Vacancies 10140.00 8757 9061 9053 9042 9042 [+]
Wages 1654.00 1615 1616 1616 1616 1616 EUR/Month [+]
Wages in Manufacturing 1644.00 1620 1604 1602 1602 1602 EUR/Month [+]
Wage Growth 3.68 2.8 2.52 2.44 2.42 2.41 percent [+]
Minimum Wages 804.96 787 787 787 795 810 EUR/Month [+]
Population 2.06 2.06 2.06 2.06 2.06 2.06 Million [+]
Retirement Age Women 64.33 64.33 64.33 64.33 64.33 64.33 [+]
Retirement Age Men 65.00 64.91 65.05 65.18 65.32 66.75 [+]
Employment Change 0.50 0.45 0.46 0.49 0.48 0.48 percent [+]
Employment Rate 66.40 65.03 66.32 66.92 65.92 66.11 percent [+]
Full Time Employment 824.40 804 819 823 816 817 Thousand [+]
Productivity 111.90 99.38 108 113 103 104 Index Points [+]
Labor Force Participation Rate 56.70 55.8 56.29 56.44 56.12 56.16 percent [+]
Part Time Employment 83.30 83.86 83.93 83.94 83.9 83.92 Thousand [+]
PRICES Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Inflation Rate 2.20 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 2 percent [+]
Harmonised Consumer Prices 100.79 101 101 101 102 104 Index Points [+]
Consumer Price Index CPI 100.64 101 101 101 101 103 Index Points [+]
Core Consumer Prices 99.70 100 100 100 100 100 Index Points [+]
Core Inflation Rate 0.71 0.73 0.72 0.71 0.71 0.71 percent [+]
GDP Deflator 100.40 101 101 101 100 100 Index Points [+]
Producer Prices 104.50 105 107 109 111 126 Index Points [+]
Export Prices 97.90 99.43 101 101 102 101 Index Points [+]
Import Prices 96.70 99.56 101 102 103 102 Index Points [+]
Cpi Transportation 98.61 98.54 98.6 98.61 98.6 98.6 Index Points [+]
Food Inflation 3.60 3.69 4.02 4.08 4.08 4.09 percent [+]
Producer Prices Change 1.30 0.9 1.2 1.4 1.6 2.7 percent [+]
Inflation Rate Mom 1.00 0.46 -0.19 0.14 0.02 0.05 percent [+]
MONEY Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Interest Rate 0.00 0 0 0 0 0.5 percent [+]
Interbank Rate -0.33 -0.34 -0.35 -0.36 -0.36 -0.38 percent [+]
Money Supply M0 4837.00 4869 4937 4998 5056 5768 EUR Million [+]
Money Supply M1 15693.00 16247 16776 17287 17781 22525 EUR Million [+]
Money Supply M2 23056.00 23372 23659 23941 24219 27220 EUR Million [+]
Money Supply M3 22992.00 23040 23038 23038 23038 23038 EUR Million [+]
Foreign Exchange Reserves 257.10 261 261 260 260 260 EUR Million [+]
Banks Balance Sheet 40178.00 39826 39615 39410 39211 37296 EUR [+]
Central Bank Balance Sheet 12924.00 13030 13024 13027 13026 13026 EUR [+]
Private Debt to GDP 138.96 138 137 135 134 128 percent [+]
Loans To Private Sector 9259.00 9162 9069 8981 8900 8258 EUR Million [+]
TRADE Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Balance of Trade 18.80 41.11 48.51 49.89 50.09 50.13 EUR Million [+]
Exports 1974.70 2144 2104 2100 2106 2105 EUR Million [+]
Imports 1955.90 2078 2032 2053 2044 2047 EUR Million [+]
Current Account 134.40 210 211 210 210 210 EUR Million [+]
Current Account to GDP 6.90 6.5 6.5 7.67 8.05 11.09 percent [+]
External Debt 42720.90 7665 7230 6728 6315 5241 EUR Million [+]
Terms of Trade 99.00 99.08 99.17 99.27 99.36 98.38 Index Points [+]
Capital Flows -190.40 203 89.44 102 100 101 EUR Million [+]
Foreign Direct Investment -38.60 95.28 94.55 94.41 94.39 94.38 EUR Million [+]
Tourist Arrivals 252296.00 335835 343785 307883 318137 321237 [+]
Gold Reserves 3.17 3.17 3.17 3.17 3.17 3.17 Tonnes [+]
Crude Oil Production 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 BBL/D/1K [+]
Terrorism Index 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 [+]
GOVERNMENT Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Government Debt to GDP 83.20 88.8 88.17 87.55 86.92 106 percent [+]
Government Budget -2.90 -2.2 -2.2 -5.09 -2.2 -0.9 percent of GDP [+]
Government Budget Value -85.00 -63.63 -64.69 -65.41 -65.63 -65.71 EUR Million [+]
Government Spending 1806.30 1823 1830 1836 1841 1892 EUR Million [+]
Government Spending to GDP 48.00 48.38 48.16 47.93 47.71 47.46 percent [+]
Government Revenues 1307.00 1323 1321 1320 1321 1321 EUR Million [+]
Government Debt 27769.85 28380 28380 28523 28531 28781 EUR Million [+]
Fiscal Expenditure 1391.00 1352 1362 1360 1360 1360 EUR Million [+]
Asylum Applications 130.00 95.27 115 105 108 107 persons [+]
Military Expenditure 488.80 488 493 498 499 503 USD Million [+]
BUSINESS Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Business Confidence 11.00 7 7 11.99 5 2 [+]
Industrial Production 10.20 4.5 4 10.47 3.6 2.7 percent [+]
Industrial Production Mom 1.30 0.4 0.22 0.18 0.18 0.19 percent [+]
Manufacturing Production 12.00 11.64 12.1 12.32 12.42 12.49 percent [+]
Capacity Utilization 84.50 83.64 83.99 83.32 82.57 80.43 percent [+]
Car Registrations 4168.00 4804 4952 4996 5012 5021 Cars [+]
Changes In Inventories 0.90 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.88 EUR Million [+]
Competitiveness Index 4.39 4.29 4.29 4.29 4.29 4.42 Points [+]
Competitiveness Rank 56.00 69.53 69.53 69.53 59.54 59.57 [+]
Ease of Doing Business 30.00 31.75 31.75 31.75 31.75 31.78 [+]
Electricity Production 1450.00 1315 1325 1323 1323 1323 Gigawatt-hour [+]
Corruption Index 60.00 59.98 60.66 61.35 62.04 66.5 Points [+]
Corruption Rank 31.00 33.82 32.59 31.35 30.12 27.46 [+]
Mining Production -22.50 2.26 2.08 1.82 1.88 1.88 percent [+]
Steel Production 52.80 51.08 50.24 49.01 49.53 49.35 Thousand Tonnes [+]
CONSUMER Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Consumer Confidence -9.00 -8.24 -7.64 -7.78 -7.86 -7.87 [+]
Retail Sales MoM 3.20 0.98 1.22 1.22 1.21 1.21 percent [+]
Retail Sales YoY 15.40 14.47 16.28 17.08 17.46 17.86 percent [+]
Consumer Spending 4927.00 4948 4983 5017 5050 5384 EUR Million [+]
Personal Savings 12.95 14.43 14.43 14.43 14.43 14.43 percent [+]
Consumer Credit 2144.00 2173 2201 2226 2248 2381 EUR Million [+]
Bank Lending Rate 2.55 2.5 2.43 2.37 2.32 2.09 percent [+]
Gasoline Prices 1.40 1.34 1.35 1.35 1.36 1.35 USD/Liter [+]
Households Debt To Income 45.45 43.85 43.53 43.21 42.89 32.9 percent [+]
HOUSING Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Construction Output -12.50 -11.33 -11.59 -12.32 -11.95 -11.95 percent [+]
Housing Index 88.47 89.26 89.08 88.8 88.5 88.12 Index points [+]
Building Permits 234.00 251 238 256 239 242 [+]
Home Ownership Rate 76.20 76.57 76.45 76.33 76.21 76.21 percent [+]
TAXES Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Corporate Tax Rate 17.00 17 19 19 19 19 percent [+]
Personal Income Tax Rate 50.00 50 45 45 45 45 percent [+]
Sales Tax Rate 22.00 22 22 22 22 22 percent [+]
Social Security Rate 38.20 38.2 38.2 38.2 38.2 38.2 percent [+]
Social Security Rate For Companies 16.10 16.1 16.1 16.1 16.1 16.1 percent [+]
Social Security Rate For Employees 22.10 22.1 22.1 22.1 22.1 22.1 percent [+]





Economic Forecasts for Slovenia including a long-term outlook for the next decades, plus medium-term expectations for the next four quarters and short-term market predictions for the next release affecting the Slovenia economy. 3/1/2017