Slovenia | Economic Forecasts | 2016-2020 Outlook

Overview Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
GDP Growth Rate 1.00 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.4 percent [+]
Unemployment Rate 10.40 10.4 10.3 10.1 9.8 8.5 percent [+]
Inflation Rate 0.50 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 2 percent [+]
Interest Rate 0.00 0 0 0 0 0.5 percent [+]
Balance of Trade -15.23 86.79 86.98 87.09 87.1 87.09 EUR Million [+]
Government Debt to GDP 83.20 88.8 88.17 87.55 86.92 106 percent [+]
MARKETS Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Currency 1.07 1.02 1.01 1 1.04 0.83 [+]
Stock Market 735.41 694 687 680 673 567 points [+]
Government Bond 10y 1.04 0.89 0.9 0.9 0.85 1.04 percent [+]
GDP Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
GDP Growth Rate 1.00 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.4 percent [+]
GDP Annual Growth Rate 2.70 3.6 2.6 2.8 2.8 2.1 percent [+]
GDP 42.77 45.82 47.2 43.19 51.56 56.58 USD Billion [+]
GDP Constant Prices 9517.70 9696 9754 9807 9859 10521 EUR Million [+]
Gross National Product 20725.35 27100 21900 16700 17000 17600 EUR Million [+]
Gross Fixed Capital Formation 1693.50 1618 1760 1639 1615 1105 EUR Million [+]
GDP per capita 23895.79 23730 23888 24046 24204 25924 USD [+]
GDP per capita PPP 28941.87 28540 28801 29061 29321 31577 USD [+]
GDP From Agriculture 204.10 136 157 157 157 156 EUR Million [+]
GDP From Construction 392.70 304 346 374 339 323 EUR Million [+]
GDP From Manufacturing 1782.70 1803 1956 1849 1865 1890 EUR Million [+]
GDP From Public Administration 1460.10 1454 1435 1450 1479 1493 EUR Million [+]
GDP From Services 1897.10 1688 1688 1688 1688 1688 EUR Million [+]
LABOUR Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Unemployment Rate 10.40 10.4 10.3 10.1 9.8 8.5 percent [+]
Employed Persons 829302.00 830843 833275 834957 836451 842099 [+]
Unemployed Persons 96843.00 95033 95472 95293 95228 95297 [+]
Long Term Unemployment Rate 4.30 4.2 4.17 4.17 4.17 4.16 percent [+]
Youth Unemployment Rate 15.40 13.73 13.75 13.74 13.75 13.75 percent [+]
Labour Costs 103.20 103 104 104 104 107 Index Points [+]
Job Vacancies 7275.00 9446 9451 9463 9464 9463 [+]
Wages 1568.00 1562 1562 1562 1562 1562 EUR/Month [+]
Wages in Manufacturing 1499.00 1544 1540 1538 1535 1770 EUR/Month [+]
Wage Growth 1.48 2.26 2.35 2.43 2.5 2.98 percent [+]
Minimum Wages 790.73 791 791 791 795 810 EUR/Month [+]
Population 2.06 2.06 2.06 2.06 2.06 2.06 Million [+]
Retirement Age Women 64.33 64.33 64.33 64.33 64.33 64.33 [+]
Retirement Age Men 64.33 64.33 64.33 64.33 64.33 64.33 [+]
Employment Change 0.50 0.45 0.46 0.49 0.48 0.48 percent [+]
Employment Rate 66.20 65.03 66.32 66.92 65.92 66.11 percent [+]
Full Time Employment 824.40 804 819 823 816 817 Thousand [+]
Productivity 111.90 99.38 108 113 103 104 Index Points [+]
Labor Force Participation Rate 56.70 56.06 56.52 56.92 56.61 56.59 percent [+]
Part Time Employment 83.30 83.86 83.93 83.94 83.9 83.92 Thousand [+]
PRICES Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Inflation Rate 0.50 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 2 percent [+]
Harmonised Consumer Prices 100.29 100 100 101 101 102 Index Points [+]
Consumer Price Index CPI 100.26 100 100 100 101 102 Index Points [+]
Core Consumer Prices 100.77 101 102 102 102 104 Index Points [+]
Core Inflation Rate 0.72 0.75 0.75 0.74 0.74 0.74 percent [+]
GDP Deflator 100.40 101 101 101 100 100 Index Points [+]
Producer Prices 103.52 104 104 104 104 105 Index Points [+]
Export Prices 97.90 99.43 101 101 102 101 Index Points [+]
Import Prices 96.70 99.56 101 102 103 102 Index Points [+]
Cpi Transportation 97.18 97.76 97.76 97.77 97.77 97.77 Index Points [+]
Food Inflation 1.70 1.89 1.95 1.96 1.96 1.96 percent [+]
Producer Prices Change -0.20 0.4 0.4 0.18 0.8 1.8 percent [+]
Inflation Rate Mom -0.50 0.1 -0.01 0.01 0.02 0.01 percent [+]
MONEY Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Interest Rate 0.00 0 0 0 0 0.5 percent [+]
Interbank Rate -0.32 -0.34 -0.35 -0.36 -0.36 -0.37 percent [+]
Money Supply M0 4752.00 4789 4852 4913 4955 5339 EUR Million [+]
Money Supply M1 15479.00 16423 17029 17654 18300 28032 EUR Million [+]
Money Supply M2 22805.00 23259 23619 24003 24410 31846 EUR Million [+]
Money Supply M3 22737.00 22693 22839 22982 23123 24799 EUR Million [+]
Foreign Exchange Reserves 231.70 203 203 203 203 203 EUR Million [+]
Banks Balance Sheet 40026.00 37474 36388 35278 34145 19109 EUR [+]
Central Bank Balance Sheet 12418.00 13030 13024 13027 13026 13026 EUR [+]
Private Debt to GDP 138.96 138 137 135 134 128 percent [+]
Loans To Private Sector 9012.00 8365 8086 7823 7576 5550 EUR Million [+]
TRADE Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Balance of Trade -15.23 86.79 86.98 87.09 87.1 87.09 EUR Million [+]
Exports 2204.62 2095 2086 2076 2081 2080 EUR Million [+]
Imports 2219.85 2012 1988 1998 1995 1996 EUR Million [+]
Current Account 138.00 31.28 22.74 18.62 16.21 253 EUR Million [+]
Current Account to GDP 6.90 6.5 6.5 7.67 8.05 11.09 percent [+]
External Debt 42720.90 7665 7230 6728 6315 5241 EUR Million [+]
Terms of Trade 99.00 99.08 99.17 99.27 99.36 98.38 Index Points [+]
Capital Flows 1572.40 105 105 105 105 105 EUR Million [+]
Foreign Direct Investment 14.40 95.28 94.55 94.41 94.39 94.38 EUR Million [+]
Tourist Arrivals 326110.00 314471 374745 280470 292458 308680 [+]
Gold Reserves 3.17 3.17 3.17 3.17 3.17 3.17 Tonnes [+]
Crude Oil Production 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 BBL/D/1K [+]
Terrorism Index 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 [+]
GOVERNMENT Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Government Debt to GDP 83.20 88.8 88.17 87.55 86.92 106 percent [+]
Government Budget -2.90 -2.2 -2.2 -5.09 -2.2 -0.9 percent of GDP [+]
Government Budget Value -14.00 -82.92 -79.1 -77.67 -77.19 -77.02 EUR Million [+]
Government Spending 1806.30 1823 1830 1836 1841 1892 EUR Million [+]
Government Spending to GDP 48.00 48.38 48.16 47.93 47.71 47.46 percent [+]
Government Revenues 1354.00 1317 1317 1316 1317 1317 EUR Million [+]
Government Debt 27769.85 28380 28380 28523 28531 28781 EUR Million [+]
Fiscal Expenditure 1368.00 1367 1369 1368 1368 1368 EUR Million [+]
Asylum Applications 85.00 86.36 75.72 80.91 79.4 80.19 persons [+]
Military Expenditure 488.80 488 493 498 499 503 USD Million [+]
BUSINESS Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Business Confidence 7.00 7 7 7.84 5 2 [+]
Industrial Production 7.40 4.5 4 6.28 3.6 2.7 percent [+]
Industrial Production Mom 0.90 0.24 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 percent [+]
Manufacturing Production 8.90 5.95 5.04 4.14 3.83 2.52 percent [+]
Capacity Utilization 84.10 83.62 83.01 82.33 81.66 80.43 percent [+]
Car Registrations 5286.00 4963 4603 4971 4609 4626 Cars [+]
Changes In Inventories 0.90 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.88 EUR Million [+]
Competitiveness Index 4.39 4.29 4.29 4.29 4.29 4.42 Points [+]
Competitiveness Rank 56.00 69.53 69.53 69.53 59.54 59.57 [+]
Ease of Doing Business 30.00 31.75 31.75 31.75 31.75 31.78 [+]
Electricity Production 1359.00 1326 1327 1327 1327 1327 Gigawatt-hour [+]
Corruption Index 60.00 59.98 60.66 61.35 62.04 66.5 Points [+]
Corruption Rank 35.00 33.82 32.59 31.35 30.12 27.46 [+]
Mining Production -13.60 2.64 2 1.86 1.86 1.85 percent [+]
Steel Production 50.41 52.74 51.49 51.82 51.81 51.79 Thousand Tonnes [+]
CONSUMER Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Consumer Confidence -9.00 -9.4 -9.44 -9.45 -9.44 -9.44 [+]
Retail Sales MoM 1.40 0.77 0.83 0.82 0.82 0.82 percent [+]
Retail Sales YoY 11.30 10.97 11.69 11.99 12.14 12.31 percent [+]
Consumer Spending 4927.00 4948 4983 5017 5050 5384 EUR Million [+]
Personal Savings 12.95 14.43 14.43 14.43 14.43 14.43 percent [+]
Consumer Credit 2113.00 2127 2142 2156 2168 2241 EUR Million [+]
Bank Lending Rate 2.71 2.53 2.48 2.43 2.39 2.21 percent [+]
Gasoline Prices 1.34 1.34 1.35 1.35 1.36 1.35 USD/Liter [+]
Households Debt To Income 45.45 43.85 43.53 43.21 42.89 32.9 percent [+]
HOUSING Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Construction Output -12.50 -11.33 -11.59 -12.32 -11.95 -11.95 percent [+]
Housing Index 88.47 89.26 89.08 88.8 88.5 88.12 Index points [+]
Building Permits 284.00 222 217 216 217 217 [+]
Home Ownership Rate 76.20 76.57 76.45 76.33 76.21 76.21 percent [+]
TAXES Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Corporate Tax Rate 17.00 17 19 19 19 19 percent [+]
Personal Income Tax Rate 50.00 50 45 45 45 45 percent [+]
Sales Tax Rate 22.00 22 22 22 22 22 percent [+]
Social Security Rate 38.20 38.2 38.2 38.2 38.2 38.2 percent [+]
Social Security Rate For Companies 16.10 16.1 16.1 16.1 16.1 16.1 percent [+]
Social Security Rate For Employees 22.10 22.1 22.1 22.1 22.1 22.1 percent [+]





Economic Forecasts for Slovenia including a long-term outlook for the next decades, plus medium-term expectations for the next four quarters and short-term market predictions for the next release affecting the Slovenia economy. 1/17/2017