Slovenia | Economic Forecasts | 2016-2020 Outlook

Overview Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
GDP Growth Rate 1.20 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.4 percent [+]
Unemployment Rate 11.20 10.4 10.3 10.1 9.8 8.5 percent [+]
Inflation Rate 2.20 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 2 percent [+]
Interest Rate 0.00 0 0 0 0 0.5 percent [+]
Balance of Trade 45.30 39.6 46.2 47.51 47.75 47.81 EUR Million [+]
Government Debt to GDP 83.20 88.8 88.17 87.55 86.92 106 percent [+]
MARKETS Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Currency 1.08 1.04 1.03 1.02 1.01 0.84 [+]
Stock Market 796.68 783 775 767 752 633 points [+]
Government Bond 10y 0.98 1.04 1.05 1.06 1.07 1.24 percent [+]
GDP Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
GDP Growth Rate 1.20 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.4 percent [+]
GDP Annual Growth Rate 2.60 3.6 2.6 2.8 2.8 2.1 percent [+]
GDP 42.77 45.82 47.2 43.19 51.56 56.58 USD Billion [+]
GDP Constant Prices 9628.50 9706 9758 9798 9828 9919 EUR Million [+]
Gross National Product 20725.35 27100 21900 16700 17000 17600 EUR Million [+]
Gross Fixed Capital Formation 1763.60 1786 1784 1808 1795 1806 EUR Million [+]
GDP per capita 23778.56 23730 23888 24046 24204 25924 USD [+]
GDP per capita PPP 28799.85 28540 28801 29061 29321 31577 USD [+]
GDP From Agriculture 203.40 180 220 197 207 212 EUR Million [+]
GDP From Construction 367.50 314 353 382 355 343 EUR Million [+]
GDP From Manufacturing 1798.80 1775 1931 1785 1815 1840 EUR Million [+]
GDP From Public Administration 1512.20 1473 1448 1481 1529 1579 EUR Million [+]
GDP From Services 1719.30 1705 1710 1709 1709 1709 EUR Million [+]
LABOUR Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Unemployment Rate 11.20 10.4 10.3 10.1 9.8 8.5 percent [+]
Employed Persons 822660.00 826761 828278 829310 830291 833682 [+]
Unemployed Persons 101339.00 101326 99230 99073 99612 99486 [+]
Long Term Unemployment Rate 3.90 3.92 3.82 3.8 3.81 3.76 percent [+]
Youth Unemployment Rate 16.80 13.73 13.75 13.74 13.75 13.75 percent [+]
Labour Costs 107.10 106 107 107 108 114 Index Points [+]
Job Vacancies 9420.00 8796 9096 9085 9073 9073 [+]
Wages 1592.00 1608 1608 1609 1608 1609 EUR/Month [+]
Wages in Manufacturing 1546.00 1614 1595 1592 1593 1593 EUR/Month [+]
Wage Growth 2.07 2.76 2.47 2.39 2.36 2.35 percent [+]
Minimum Wages 804.96 787 787 787 795 810 EUR/Month [+]
Population 2.06 2.06 2.06 2.06 2.06 2.06 Million [+]
Retirement Age Women 64.33 64.33 64.33 64.33 64.33 64.33 [+]
Retirement Age Men 65.00 64.91 65.05 65.18 65.32 66.75 [+]
Employment Change 0.50 0.45 0.46 0.49 0.48 0.48 percent [+]
Employment Rate 66.40 65.03 66.32 66.92 65.92 66.11 percent [+]
Full Time Employment 824.40 804 819 823 816 817 Thousand [+]
Productivity 100.60 98.23 107 111 100 100 Index Points [+]
Part Time Employment 83.30 83.86 83.93 83.94 83.9 83.92 Thousand [+]
Labor Force Participation Rate 56.70 55.8 56.29 56.44 56.12 56.16 percent [+]
PRICES Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Inflation Rate 2.20 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 2 percent [+]
Harmonised Consumer Prices 100.79 101 101 101 102 104 Index Points [+]
Consumer Price Index CPI 100.64 101 101 101 101 103 Index Points [+]
Core Consumer Prices 100.81 101 101 102 102 103 Index Points [+]
Core Inflation Rate 0.71 0.73 0.72 0.71 0.71 0.71 percent [+]
GDP Deflator 100.60 100 100 100 100 100 Index Points [+]
Producer Prices 104.92 105 107 109 111 126 Index Points [+]
Export Prices 101.00 101 102 103 103 101 Index Points [+]
Import Prices 101.70 104 106 105 105 102 Index Points [+]
Cpi Transportation 98.61 98.54 98.6 98.61 98.6 98.6 Index Points [+]
Food Inflation 3.60 3.69 4.02 4.08 4.08 4.09 percent [+]
Producer Prices Change 1.90 0.9 1.2 1.4 1.6 2.7 percent [+]
Inflation Rate Mom 1.00 0.46 -0.19 0.14 0.02 0.05 percent [+]
MONEY Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Interest Rate 0.00 0 0 0 0 0.5 percent [+]
Interbank Rate -0.33 -0.33 -0.33 -0.34 -0.34 -0.35 percent [+]
Money Supply M0 4771.00 4835 4885 4952 5012 5734 EUR Million [+]
Money Supply M1 15926.00 16323 16887 17428 17951 23068 EUR Million [+]
Money Supply M2 23114.00 23344 23623 23900 24173 27123 EUR Million [+]
Money Supply M3 23049.00 23076 23076 23075 23075 23075 EUR Million [+]
Foreign Exchange Reserves 235.70 234 234 233 233 233 EUR Million [+]
Banks Balance Sheet 40035.00 39900 39712 39530 39353 37654 EUR [+]
Central Bank Balance Sheet 13019.00 13027 13034 13037 13037 13037 EUR [+]
Private Debt to GDP 138.96 138 137 135 134 128 percent [+]
Loans To Private Sector 9342.00 9323 9269 9223 9179 8840 EUR Million [+]
TRADE Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Balance of Trade 45.30 39.6 46.2 47.51 47.75 47.81 EUR Million [+]
Exports 2091.79 2144 2104 2101 2107 2105 EUR Million [+]
Imports 2046.47 2092 2054 2069 2063 2064 EUR Million [+]
Current Account 276.00 220 223 223 223 223 EUR Million [+]
Current Account to GDP 6.90 6.5 6.5 7.67 8.05 11.09 percent [+]
External Debt 42941.90 42825 40165 42999 45325 60056 EUR Million [+]
Terms of Trade 99.00 99.08 99.17 99.27 99.36 98.38 Index Points [+]
Capital Flows 520.10 284 96.97 144 134 135 EUR Million [+]
Foreign Direct Investment -38.60 95.28 94.55 94.41 94.39 94.38 EUR Million [+]
Tourist Arrivals 252296.00 335835 343785 307883 318137 321237 [+]
Gold Reserves 3.17 3.17 3.17 3.17 3.17 3.17 Tonnes [+]
Crude Oil Production 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 BBL/D/1K [+]
Terrorism Index 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 [+]
GOVERNMENT Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Government Debt to GDP 83.20 88.8 88.17 87.55 86.92 106 percent [+]
Government Budget -2.90 -2.2 -2.2 -5.09 -2.2 -0.9 percent of GDP [+]
Government Budget Value -143.00 -83.46 -74.13 -72.95 -72.71 -72.71 EUR Million [+]
Government Spending 1835.60 1841 1853 1864 1874 1966 EUR Million [+]
Government Spending to GDP 48.00 48.38 48.16 47.93 47.71 47.46 percent [+]
Government Revenues 1500.00 1322 1354 1353 1351 1352 EUR Million [+]
Government Debt 27769.85 28380 28380 28523 28531 28781 EUR Million [+]
Fiscal Expenditure 1643.00 1389 1409 1406 1403 1405 EUR Million [+]
Asylum Applications 130.00 95.27 115 105 108 107 persons [+]
Military Expenditure 488.80 488 493 498 499 503 USD Million [+]
BUSINESS Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Business Confidence 11.00 7 7 11.99 5 2 [+]
Industrial Production 3.30 4.5 4 4.5 3.6 2.7 percent [+]
Industrial Production Mom -1.80 0.33 0.33 0.19 0.19 0.19 percent [+]
Manufacturing Production 2.80 5.77 4.73 4.3 4.19 4.08 percent [+]
Capacity Utilization 84.50 83.64 83.99 83.32 82.57 80.43 percent [+]
Car Registrations 6604.00 5527 5735 5795 5782 5775 Cars [+]
Changes In Inventories 0.90 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.89 EUR Million [+]
Competitiveness Index 4.39 4.29 4.29 4.29 4.29 4.42 Points [+]
Competitiveness Rank 56.00 69.53 69.53 69.53 59.54 59.57 [+]
Ease of Doing Business 30.00 31.75 31.75 31.75 31.75 31.78 [+]
Electricity Production 1384.00 1314 1326 1324 1324 1324 Gigawatt-hour [+]
Corruption Index 61.00 60 60 61 61 61 Points [+]
Corruption Rank 31.00 33.82 32.59 31.35 30.12 27.46 [+]
Steel Production 52.80 51.08 50.24 49.01 49.53 49.35 Thousand Tonnes [+]
Mining Production -6.00 2.32 1.82 1.74 1.8 1.8 percent [+]
CONSUMER Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Consumer Confidence -9.00 -10 -8.22 -8.31 -8.38 -8.4 [+]
Retail Sales MoM 3.20 0.98 1.22 1.22 1.21 1.21 percent [+]
Retail Sales YoY 15.40 14.47 16.28 17.08 17.46 17.86 percent [+]
Consumer Spending 5007.00 5066 5086 5131 5142 5200 EUR Million [+]
Personal Savings 12.95 14.43 14.43 14.43 14.43 14.43 percent [+]
Consumer Credit 2160.00 2181 2212 2240 2264 2412 EUR Million [+]
Bank Lending Rate 2.82 2.77 2.76 2.75 2.74 2.72 percent [+]
Gasoline Prices 1.38 1.37 1.38 1.38 1.38 1.38 USD/Liter [+]
Households Debt To Income 45.45 43.85 43.53 43.21 42.89 32.9 percent [+]
HOUSING Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Construction Output -12.50 -11.33 -11.59 -12.32 -11.95 -11.95 percent [+]
Housing Index 88.47 89.26 89.08 88.8 88.5 88.12 Index points [+]
Building Permits 234.00 251 238 256 239 242 [+]
Home Ownership Rate 76.20 76.57 76.45 76.33 76.21 76.21 percent [+]
TAXES Actual Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 2020
Corporate Tax Rate 17.00 17 19 19 19 19 percent [+]
Personal Income Tax Rate 50.00 50 45 45 45 45 percent [+]
Sales Tax Rate 22.00 22 22 22 22 22 percent [+]
Social Security Rate 38.20 38.2 38.2 38.2 38.2 38.2 percent [+]
Social Security Rate For Companies 16.10 16.1 16.1 16.1 16.1 16.1 percent [+]
Social Security Rate For Employees 22.10 22.1 22.1 22.1 22.1 22.1 percent [+]





Economic Forecasts for Slovenia including a long-term outlook for the next decades, plus medium-term expectations for the next four quarters and short-term market predictions for the next release affecting the Slovenia economy. 3/23/2017