Slovenia | Economic Forecasts | 2016-2020 Outlook

Overview Actual Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
GDP Growth Rate 1.20 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 percent [+]
Unemployment Rate 10.90 10.4 10.1 9.8 10.5 8.5 percent [+]
Inflation Rate 1.90 2.2 2.1 2.3 2.4 2.7 percent [+]
Interest Rate 0.00 0 0 0 0 0.5 percent [+]
Balance of Trade 15.03 38.89 41.58 42.13 42.24 42.27 EUR Million [+]
Government Debt to GDP 79.70 77 77 77 75 71 percent [+]
MARKETS Actual Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
Currency 1.09 1.06 1.05 1.04 1.03 0.86 [+]
Stock Market 776.96 765 757 734 741 618 points [+]
Government Bond 10y 0.86 0.96 0.97 0.98 0.99 1.14 percent [+]
GDP Actual Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
GDP Growth Rate 1.20 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 percent [+]
GDP Annual Growth Rate 2.60 2.6 2.8 2.8 3 2.1 percent [+]
GDP 42.77 47.2 43.18 51.56 42.8 56.58 USD Billion [+]
GDP Constant Prices 9628.50 9758 9798 9828 9851 9919 EUR Million [+]
Gross National Product 20725.35 27059 21870 16680 16965 17564 EUR Million [+]
Gross Fixed Capital Formation 1763.60 1784 1808 1795 1810 1806 EUR Million [+]
GDP per capita 23778.56 23557 23709 23861 23892 24412 USD [+]
GDP per capita PPP 28799.85 28648 28799 28950 28976 29458 USD [+]
GDP From Agriculture 203.40 220 197 207 185 212 EUR Million [+]
GDP From Construction 367.50 353 382 355 316 343 EUR Million [+]
GDP From Manufacturing 1798.80 1931 1785 1815 1786 1840 EUR Million [+]
GDP From Public Administration 1512.20 1448 1481 1529 1502 1579 EUR Million [+]
GDP From Services 1719.30 1710 1709 1709 1709 1709 EUR Million [+]
LABOUR Actual Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
Unemployment Rate 10.90 10.4 10.1 9.8 10.5 8.5 percent [+]
Employed Persons 826206.00 830992 833126 834250 835381 839360 [+]
Unemployed Persons 101339.00 99230 99073 99612 99654 99486 [+]
Long Term Unemployment Rate 3.90 3.82 3.8 3.81 3.78 3.76 percent [+]
Youth Unemployment Rate 14.50 14.66 14.67 14.67 14.67 14.67 percent [+]
Labour Costs 107.10 107 107 108 108 114 Index Points [+]
Job Vacancies 9420.00 9096 9085 9073 9073 9073 [+]
Wages 1581.00 1603 1604 1604 1604 1604 EUR/Month [+]
Wages in Manufacturing 1565.00 1583 1582 1583 1583 1583 EUR/Month [+]
Wage Growth 0.45 1.8 1.66 1.63 1.62 1.62 percent [+]
Minimum Wages 804.96 802 808 795 810 810 EUR/Month [+]
Population 2.06 2.06 2.06 2.06 2.06 2.06 Million [+]
Retirement Age Women 64.33 64.49 64.64 64.8 64.88 65.16 [+]
Retirement Age Men 65.00 65.05 65.18 65.32 65.43 66.75 [+]
Employment Change 0.60 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 percent [+]
Employment Rate 66.40 65.92 66.14 65.15 64.94 65.35 percent [+]
Full Time Employment 827.60 828 830 831 821 832 Thousand [+]
Productivity 100.60 107 111 100 98.08 100 Index Points [+]
Part Time Employment 84.60 84.23 84.2 84.17 84.21 84.2 Thousand [+]
Labor Force Participation Rate 57.20 56.8 56.9 57.05 56.86 56.93 percent [+]
PRICES Actual Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
Inflation Rate 1.90 2.2 2.1 2.3 2.4 2.7 percent [+]
Harmonised Consumer Prices 101.14 101 101 101 102 103 Index Points [+]
Consumer Price Index CPI 100.99 101 101 101 101 103 Index Points [+]
Core Consumer Prices 101.18 101 101 101 101 103 Index Points [+]
Core Inflation Rate 1.11 1.18 1.21 1.26 1.3 1.4 percent [+]
GDP Deflator 100.60 100 100 100 100 100 Index Points [+]
Producer Prices 104.90 109 111 113 115 134 Index Points [+]
Export Prices 101.00 102 103 103 103 101 Index Points [+]
Import Prices 101.70 106 105 105 103 102 Index Points [+]
Cpi Transportation 98.91 99.05 99.09 99.09 99.09 99.09 Index Points [+]
Food Inflation 2.40 2.41 2.36 2.35 2.34 2.34 percent [+]
Producer Prices Change 1.90 2.7 3.2 3 2.8 2.2 percent [+]
Inflation Rate Mom 0.40 -0.18 0.13 0.02 0.06 0.05 percent [+]
MONEY Actual Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
Interest Rate 0.00 0 0 0 0 0.5 percent [+]
Interbank Rate -0.33 -0.33 -0.34 -0.34 -0.34 -0.35 percent [+]
Money Supply M0 4781.00 4880 4946 5005 5063 5713 EUR Million [+]
Money Supply M1 16152.00 16908 17455 17984 18497 23182 EUR Million [+]
Money Supply M2 23351.00 23759 24061 24356 24647 27540 EUR Million [+]
Money Supply M3 23280.00 23304 23306 23306 23306 23306 EUR Million [+]
Foreign Exchange Reserves 296.70 303 301 302 302 302 EUR Million [+]
Banks Balance Sheet 40065.00 39821 39666 39517 39373 38082 EUR [+]
Central Bank Balance Sheet 12984.00 13025 13028 13028 13028 13028 EUR [+]
Private Debt to GDP 138.96 137 135 134 134 128 percent [+]
Loans To Private Sector 9408.00 9368 9343 9320 9299 9143 EUR Million [+]
TRADE Actual Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
Balance of Trade 15.03 38.89 41.58 42.13 42.24 42.27 EUR Million [+]
Exports 2123.27 2109 2109 2113 2112 2112 EUR Million [+]
Imports 2108.24 2081 2096 2091 2092 2092 EUR Million [+]
Current Account 246.50 228 229 229 229 229 EUR Million [+]
Current Account to GDP 6.90 6.5 7.67 8.05 8.26 11.09 percent [+]
External Debt 43114.70 40288 43156 45506 47592 60875 EUR Million [+]
Terms of Trade 99.00 99.17 99.27 99.36 99.13 98.38 Index Points [+]
Capital Flows 146.40 164 164 163 163 163 EUR Million [+]
Foreign Direct Investment -38.60 81.01 80.29 80.3 80.31 80.31 EUR Million [+]
Tourist Arrivals 240000.00 351874 310872 300746 319183 313627 [+]
Gold Reserves 3.17 3.17 3.17 3.17 3.17 3.17 Tonnes [+]
Crude Oil Production 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 BBL/D/1K [+]
Terrorism Index 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 [+]
GOVERNMENT Actual Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
Government Debt to GDP 79.70 77 77 77 75 71 percent [+]
Government Budget -1.80 -0.8 -0.8 -0.8 -0.6 -0.2 percent of GDP [+]
Government Budget Value -243.00 -111 -90.64 -87.5 -86.91 -86.9 EUR Million [+]
Government Spending 1835.60 1853 1864 1874 1884 1966 EUR Million [+]
Government Spending to GDP 45.50 47.12 46.81 46.5 46.62 47.31 percent [+]
Government Revenues 1445.00 1375 1366 1366 1367 1366 EUR Million [+]
Government Debt 27769.85 28380 28523 28531 28611 28781 EUR Million [+]
Fiscal Expenditure 1452.00 1412 1410 1406 1410 1409 EUR Million [+]
Asylum Applications 30.00 112 74.23 88.29 83.67 83.29 persons [+]
Military Expenditure 488.80 488 493 498 499 503 USD Million [+]
BUSINESS Actual Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
Business Confidence 9.00 7 9.14 5 9.08 2 [+]
Industrial Production 7.50 4 5.67 3.6 5.64 2.7 percent [+]
Industrial Production Mom 3.60 0.54 0.22 0.2 0.19 0.19 percent [+]
Manufacturing Production 7.30 5.37 4.86 4.78 4.73 4.68 percent [+]
Capacity Utilization 84.50 83.99 83.32 82.57 81.85 80.43 percent [+]
Car Registrations 5821.00 5677 5743 5731 5726 5724 Cars [+]
Changes In Inventories 0.90 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.89 EUR Million [+]
Competitiveness Index 4.39 4.29 4.29 4.29 4.44 4.42 Points [+]
Competitiveness Rank 56.00 57 57 57 55 53 [+]
Ease of Doing Business 30.00 27 23 19 19 9 [+]
Electricity Production 1384.00 1326 1324 1324 1324 1324 Gigawatt-hour [+]
Corruption Index 61.00 60 61 61 61 61 Points [+]
Corruption Rank 31.00 29 28 27 27 27 [+]
Steel Production 47.87 49.15 47.92 48.19 48.05 48.13 Thousand Tonnes [+]
Mining Production 21.10 2.6 1.58 1.79 1.76 1.76 percent [+]
CONSUMER Actual Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
Consumer Confidence -5.00 -6.46 -6.31 -6.3 -6.31 -6.32 [+]
Retail Sales MoM 2.30 1.38 1.37 1.37 1.38 1.38 percent [+]
Retail Sales YoY 16.80 17.37 18.12 18.53 18.76 19.05 percent [+]
Consumer Spending 5007.00 5086 5131 5142 5158 5200 EUR Million [+]
Personal Savings 9.74 13.62 13.64 13.64 13.64 13.64 percent [+]
Consumer Credit 2183.00 2231 2264 2293 2319 2470 EUR Million [+]
Bank Lending Rate 2.98 2.97 3.01 3.03 3.05 3.13 percent [+]
Gasoline Prices 1.34 1.32 1.32 1.32 1.31 1.31 USD/Liter [+]
Households Debt To Income 45.45 43.53 43.21 42.89 42.24 32.9 percent [+]
HOUSING Actual Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
Construction Output 21.40 11.08 11.41 11.63 11.71 11.74 percent [+]
Housing Index 90.05 90.42 90.31 89.96 89.5 89.16 Index points [+]
Building Permits 228.00 231 253 230 240 237 [+]
Home Ownership Rate 76.20 76.48 76.82 77.16 76.98 76.54 percent [+]
TAXES Actual Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
Corporate Tax Rate 17.00 19 19 19 17.13 19 percent [+]
Personal Income Tax Rate 50.00 45 45 45 50 45 percent [+]
Sales Tax Rate 22.00 22 22 22 22 22 percent [+]
Social Security Rate 38.20 38.2 38.2 38.2 38.2 38.2 percent [+]
Social Security Rate For Companies 16.10 16.1 16.1 16.1 16.1 16.1 percent [+]
Social Security Rate For Employees 22.10 22.1 22.1 22.1 22.1 22.1 percent [+]





Economic Forecasts for Slovenia including a long-term outlook for the next decades, plus medium-term expectations for the next four quarters and short-term market predictions for the next release affecting the Slovenia economy. 4/25/2017