South Africa | Economic Forecasts | 2014-2030 Outlook

Markets Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Currency 11.08 10.85 10.79 10.78 10.68 9.77 7.94 [+]
Government Bond 10Y 7.91 8.98 7.86 8.09 7.78 7.51 7.26 [+]
Stock Market 51462.42 51569 51693 51541 51760 45928 80200 [+]
GDP Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
GDP 350.63 331 417 417 417 480 650 [+]
GDP Growth Rate 0.60 0.6 0.4 0.35 0.61 2.82 2.83 [+]
GDP Annual Growth Rate 1.00 0.99 0.97 1.01 1.39 2.76 2.75 [+]
GDP Constant Prices 2013212.00 2030481 2033507 2035215 2388959 2564808 3003205 [+]
Gross National Product 2057894.00 2071227 2076675 2078470 2363769 2513160 2855339 [+]
GDP per capita 5916.46 5846 5832 5819 6598 6931 7854 [+]
Gross Fixed Capital Formation 417174.00 427204 428282 428410 427727 423080 421589 [+]
GDP per capita PPP 12105.55 12168 12177 12597 13603 14436 16093 [+]
Labour Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Unemployment Rate 25.50 25.67 26.1 26.5 27 20.6 16.93 [+]
Employed Persons 8507000.00 8527000 8570000 8590000 8600000 8670000 9100000 [+]
Unemployed Persons 5153.91 5220 5223 5229 52300 4702 45000 [+]
Labor Force Participation Rate 57.30 58.74 58.98 58.9 57.49 56.28 55.39 [+]
Wages 403843000.00 434727798 443786484 444059176 459820989 470429305 470359489 [+]
Wages in Manufacturing 49363000.00 56626838 56364089 55934082 60206552 68999022 89951861 [+]
Labour Costs 355.30 364 363 364 365 364 364 [+]
Population 52.98 55.44 55.89 56.34 57.68 66.05 80.33 [+]
Retirement Age Women 60.00 60 60 60 60 60 60 [+]
Retirement Age Men 60.00 60 60 60 60 60 60 [+]
Prices Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Inflation Rate 6.40 6.64 6.77 6.65 6.34 4.56 4.21 [+]
Inflation Rate Mom 0.40 0.33 0.43 0.99 0.39 0.8 1.15 [+]
Consumer Price Index CPI 111.00 112 114 115 122 182 224 [+]
Producer Prices 114.90 116 117 118 119 133 162 [+]
Producer Prices Change 8.00 7 10.2 9.84 12.16 4.04 4.09 [+]
Export Prices 223.90 232 233 232 227 218 228 [+]
Import Prices 192.20 203 203 202 198 195 196 [+]
Food Inflation 9.39 10.21 11.61 12.15 12.04 10.17 10.25 [+]
Core Consumer Prices 109.90 111 114 115 134 170 220 [+]
Core Inflation Rate 5.76 5.75 5.88 6 6.12 5.55 4.96 [+]
Money Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Interest Rate 5.75 5.75 5.75 5.25 5.92 4.5 4 [+]
Interbank Rate 5.64 7 7 5.61 7 6.72 8.65 [+]
Money Supply M0 186355.00 192333 190343 189766 221664 196809 230132 [+]
Money Supply M1 1202095.00 1258314 1285198 1304407 1534374 1757633 1996139 [+]
Money Supply M2 2119113.00 2245899 2285382 2312220 2734549 3225204 3674940 [+]
Money Supply M3 2662818.00 2758010 2803789 2848883 3180553 4162898 5723273 [+]
Foreign Exchange Reserves 498900.00 522269 521750 526004 522541 521520 521521 [+]
Loans to Private Sector 2746300.00 2843256 2907257 2963183 3051401 3220215 3184174 [+]
Banks Balance Sheet 4008864.00 4005699 4002785 4001568 3997601 3959630 3885904 [+]
Central Bank Balance Sheet 581926.00 574926 579916 573735 572547 560858 538513 [+]
Trade Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Balance of Trade -6884.86 -4523 -281 -3525 -1866 -2142 -2730 [+]
Exports 85372.27 84199 84138 85276 105182 119261 152286 [+]
Imports 92257.14 88721 84419 88800 107047 121403 155016 [+]
Current Account -222000.00 -184212 -184075 -186825 -187227 -187235 -187215 [+]
Current Account to GDP -5.80 -5.6 -5.53 -5.47 -5.33 -0.1 -0.05 [+]
External Debt 138476.00 140739 141235 140891 139236 136577 135532 [+]
Tourist Arrivals 1277825.00 1426430 1554188 1457108 1594691 1604990 1604992 [+]
Gold Reserves 125.13 125 125 125 125 125 125 [+]
Crude Oil Production 1.00 4.33 5.7 2.6 0.3 0.24 16.66 [+]
Government Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Government Budget -4.00 -4.56 -4.51 -4.48 -4.41 -2.88 -2.88 [+]
Government Debt to GDP 46.10 49.81 50.75 51.58 53.49 57.12 57.39 [+]
Government Budget Value -63038.00 -10733 -2772 -8383 -2796 -2792 -2792 [+]
Government Spending 430169.00 433145 434540 434720 510701 543972 640904 [+]
Credit Rating 57.44 [+]
Business Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Business Confidence 46.00 45.41 46.56 48.42 53.59 91 91 [+]
Manufacturing PMI 49.00 46.93 45.94 42.43 47.52 47.27 47.19 [+]
Industrial Production -7.90 -4.34 -4.8 -3.58 0.1 3.87 3.79 [+]
Industrial Production Mom -3.60 -1.83 -1.96 -1.33 0.1 3.94 3.89 [+]
Capacity Utilization 80.60 81.79 81.7 81.53 81.67 81.76 81.76 [+]
Changes in Inventories -12348.00 -27960 -24386 -22575 -21907 -23438 -23470 [+]
Bankruptcies 199.00 214 135 191 134 0.3 0.05 [+]
Total Vehicle Sales 55470.00 54275 46627 57014 47105 48720 49915 [+]
Car Registrations 39933.00 37632 33567 38222 79346 120967 214228 [+]
Leading Economic Index 100.10 [+]
Consumer Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Consumer Confidence 4.00 -1.21 -0.25 0.5 -0.76 -0.1 -0.05 [+]
Retail Sales MoM 1.20 0.39 0.24 0.54 0.4 2.2 3.7 [+]
Retail Sales YoY 2.40 1.81 0.84 1.13 1.78 3.72 3.58 [+]
Consumer Spending 1346442.00 1361968 1366570 1369517 1612305 1663036 1972498 [+]
Disposable Personal Income 2195118.00 2289324 2328181 2340859 2780792 3934818 6672138 [+]
Personal Savings -3102.00 -5563 -5812 -4134 -5379 -2309 -972 [+]
Bank Lending Rate 9.25 10.6 10.6 9.37 9.21 9.22 9.18 [+]
Private Sector Credit 9.77 9.02 9.35 9.6 8.92 8.96 8.95 [+]
Taxes Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Corporate Tax Rate 28.00 28 28 28 28 28 28 [+]
Personal Income Tax Rate 40.00 40 40 40 40 40 40 [+]
Sales Tax Rate 14.00 14 14 14 14 14 14 [+]
Social Security Rate 3.00 3 3 3 3 3 3 [+]
Social Security Rate For Companies 2.00 2 2 2 2 2 2 [+]
Social Security Rate For Employees 1.00 1 1 1 1 1 1 [+]






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This page includes economic forecasts for South Africa. 9/22/2014