Canada | Economic Forecasts | 2015-2050 Outlook

Markets Actual Q3/15 Q4/15 Q1/16 Q2/16 2020
Currency 1.32 1.34 1.31 1.32 1.33 1.2 [+]
Stock Market 13865.07 14113 14034 13500 13870 15400 Index points [+]
Government Bond 10Y 1.44 1.6 1.8 2 2.2 3 percent [+]
GDP Actual Q3/15 Q4/15 Q1/16 Q2/16 2020
GDP 1786.66 1971 1981 1946 1946 2325 USD Billion [+]
GDP Growth Rate -0.10 0.2 0.39 0.53 0.43 1 percent [+]
GDP Growth Annualized -0.60 1.53 1.14 2.13 2.5 2.44 percent [+]
GDP Annual Growth Rate 2.06 1.8 1.61 1.22 1.54 3.01 percent [+]
GDP Constant Prices 1762406.00 1779600 1790219 1798712 1808056 1976244 CAD Million [+]
Gross National Product 1942356.00 1948836 1962588 1983213 1998713 2060578 CAD Million [+]
GDP per capita 38293.28 38838 38860 38564 38653 40978 USD [+]
Gross Fixed Capital Formation 401888.00 393232 392197 393195 393705 464699 CAD Million [+]
GDP per capita PPP 42816.51 42658 42797 42958 43118 42495 USD [+]
GDP From Agriculture 25948.00 26073 26091 26096 26097 26097 CAD Million [+]
Labour Actual Q3/15 Q4/15 Q1/16 Q2/16 2020
Unemployment Rate 6.80 6.8 6.9 7 7.04 6.5 percent [+]
Employed Persons 17954.00 17967 17986 18000 18011 19046 Thousand [+]
Full Time Employment -17.30 23.6 12.27 11.6 14.59 12.49 Thousand [+]
Employment Change 6.60 16.62 10.26 14.36 20.01 16.62 Thousand [+]
Unemployed Persons 1306.00 1306 1305 1305 1305 1329 Thousand [+]
Youth Unemployment Rate 13.20 13.16 13.09 13.09 13.11 11 percent [+]
Productivity 107.59 107 107 107 107 107 Index Points [+]
Labor Force Participation Rate 65.70 65.71 65.65 65.65 65.64 65.44 percent [+]
Wages 23.56 23.59 23.58 23.57 23.56 26.23 CAD/Hour [+]
Wages in Manufacturing 24.25 24.44 24.39 24.37 24.36 25.53 CAD/Hour [+]
Labour Costs 115.08 116 117 117 118 120 Index Points [+]
Population 35.67 35.95 36.02 36.08 36.13 37.39 Million [+]
Retirement Age Women 65.00 65 65 65 65 65 [+]
Retirement Age Men 65.00 65 65 65 65 65 [+]
Minimum Wages 11.00 11.13 11 11.52 11.63 13 CAD/Hour [+]
Part Time Employment 23.90 2.61 4.26 4.04 4.07 4.06 Thousand Persons [+]
Prices Actual Q3/15 Q4/15 Q1/16 Q2/16 2020
Inflation Rate 1.30 1.3 1.41 1.48 1.53 1.4 percent [+]
Inflation Rate Mom 0.10 0.34 0.15 0.16 0.16 0.13 percent [+]
Consumer Price Index CPI 127.30 128 128 128 129 146 Index Points [+]
Core Inflation Rate 2.40 2.38 2.49 2.4 2.39 2.38 percent [+]
Core Consumer Prices 126.10 126 127 128 128 139 Index Points [+]
GDP Deflator 112.20 114 114 114 114 120 Index Points [+]
Producer Prices 111.60 112 111 112 112 135 Index Points [+]
Producer Prices Change 0.10 -0.4 0.2 0.9 1.2 4.23 percent [+]
Export Prices 113.70 114 114 114 114 114 Index Points [+]
Import Prices 122.40 122 123 122 122 122 Index Points [+]
Food Inflation 3.20 3.86 3.61 3.19 3.2 3.19 percent [+]
Money Actual Q3/15 Q4/15 Q1/16 Q2/16 2020
Interest Rate 0.50 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 2.5 percent [+]
Interbank Rate 0.50 0.52 0.52 0.53 0.52 3.05 percent [+]
Money Supply M0 76537.00 76999 77795 78571 79350 93136 CAD Million [+]
Money Supply M1 790059.00 798929 812186 826095 840040 1083566 CAD Million [+]
Money Supply M2 1340904.00 1355464 1373732 1391825 1409666 1710077 CAD Million [+]
Money Supply M3 1993457.00 2025001 2059919 2105669 2146789 2761441 CAD Million [+]
Central Bank Balance Sheet 96928.00 97829 98178 97908 97835 97863 CAD Million [+]
Foreign Exchange Reserves 76981.00 77144 77023 76971 76901 77100 USD Million [+]
Loans to Private Sector 255418.00 258865 262689 264583 265468 292653 CAD Million [+]
Foreign Stock Investment 8506.00 6515 1349 7162 6427 3064 CAD Million [+]
Banks Balance Sheet 4618891.00 4635784 4646869 4647587 4635682 4636270 CAD Million [+]
Trade Actual Q3/15 Q4/15 Q1/16 Q2/16 2020
Balance of Trade -476.00 -1423 -1304 -1285 -1337 -1351 CAD Million [+]
Exports 44609.00 42133 41931 43917 40818 45745 CAD Million [+]
Imports 45085.00 45124 44506 44043 42973 45123 CAD Million [+]
Current Account -17466.00 -16107 -15476 -15648 -15846 -15820 CAD Million [+]
Current Account to GDP -2.10 -2 -2 -2.2 -2.2 -2.15 percent [+]
External Debt 611.88 618 620 620 620 550 CAD Billion [+]
Terms of Trade 92.90 92.9 92.77 92.59 92.42 93.24 Index Points [+]
Foreign Direct Investment 6670.00 11603 13265 11129 10387 12219 CAD Million [+]
Capital Flows -50.00 -35.81 -41.36 -45.89 -44.17 -44.39 CAD Million [+]
Gold Reserves 2.99 2.99 2.99 2.99 2.99 2.99 Tonnes [+]
Crude Oil Production 3202.00 3433 3453 3440 3433 3325 BBL/D/1K [+]
Tourist Arrivals 3306443.00 3759587 2921584 2828274 3110782 3052382 [+]
Government Actual Q3/15 Q4/15 Q1/16 Q2/16 2020
Government Budget -0.30 -0.3 -0.1 -0.2 -0.3 0 percent of GDP [+]
Government Debt to GDP 86.51 87.59 87.97 87.78 87.58 80.94 percent [+]
Government Budget Value 1065.00 730 708 475 276 855 CAD Million [+]
Government Spending 348859.00 348889 348993 349405 349349 388911 CAD Million [+]
Credit Rating 98.06 [+]
Fiscal Expenditure 21269.00 21378 21278 21282 21284 21284 CAD Million [+]
Government Revenues 24264.00 23870 24011 24021 24024 24026 CAD Million [+]
Business Actual Q3/15 Q4/15 Q1/16 Q2/16 2020
Business Confidence 52.90 50.98 51.53 52.63 51.62 60 [+]
Manufacturing PMI 50.80 50.5 50.46 49.04 50.82 50.2 [+]
Industrial Production -2.80 -3.05 -2.24 -0.98 0.19 2.54 percent [+]
Capacity Utilization 82.70 82.23 82.32 82.41 82.47 82.43 percent [+]
New Orders 49025729.00 48738234 48645808 48568572 48482500 48922046 CAD THO [+]
Changes in Inventories 11460.00 9446 7901 7252 6729 6238 CAD Million [+]
Bankruptcies 235.00 271 269 274 278 231 Companies [+]
Corporate Profits 60469.00 56065 56138 63066 60073 76073 CAD Million [+]
Car Registrations 181685.00 130428 169427 125287 124149 187152 Thousand [+]
Competitiveness Index 5.24 5.23 5.23 5.21 5.21 5.18 Points [+]
Competitiveness Rank 15.00 13.9 13.9 12.4 11.9 11.38 [+]
Corruption Index 81.00 81.62 81.92 82.34 82.77 88.14 Points [+]
Corruption Rank 10.00 10 10 10 10 8.27 [+]
Ease of Doing Business 16.00 16.5 15.47 15.42 15.37 15.15 [+]
Industrial Production Mom -2.96 -0.7 0.83 -0.08 0.2 0.18 percent [+]
Leading Economic Index -0.20 0.09 0.14 0.17 0.18 0.23 percent [+]
Mining Production -7.31 -4.05 -1.56 0.01 0.87 1.69 percent [+]
Consumer Actual Q3/15 Q4/15 Q1/16 Q2/16 2020
Consumer Confidence 84.40 82.9 82.9 82.54 82.12 82.31 [+]
Retail Sales MoM 0.60 0.16 0 0.36 0.32 0.32 percent [+]
Retail Sales YoY 1.40 2.43 3.02 3.43 3.67 4.07 percent [+]
Consumer Spending 983715.00 990302 994515 1000297 1005888 1103276 CAD Million [+]
Disposable Personal Income 1146308.00 1162312 1172257 1182373 1191233 1249765 CAD Million [+]
Personal Savings 57460.00 39421 38403 50203 49504 49672 CAD Million [+]
Consumer Credit 536712.00 541332 543551 546382 549698 545308 CAD Million [+]
Bank Lending Rate 2.70 2.85 2.85 2.96 3.08 5 percent [+]
Gasoline Prices 0.91 0.89 0.88 0.87 0.86 0.8 USD/Liter [+]
Private Sector Credit 3559938.00 3632456 3695705 3759411 3823605 4934351 CAD Million [+]
Retail Sales Ex Autos 0.80 0.38 0.35 0.34 0.34 0.34 Percent [+]
Housing Actual Q3/15 Q4/15 Q1/16 Q2/16 2020
Housing Index 113.00 111 112 114 115 121 Index Points [+]
Building Permits 7739285.00 6201780 6154960 6090826 6001182 6101821 Thousands CAD [+]
Housing Starts 193.00 197 187 189 195 175 Thousand [+]
Home Ownership Rate 67.60 67.18 66.93 66.7 66.49 65.76 percent [+]
Taxes Actual Q3/15 Q4/15 Q1/16 Q2/16 2020
Corporate Tax Rate 26.50 26.5 26.5 26.5 26.5 26.36 percent [+]
Personal Income Tax Rate 29.00 29 29 29 29 29 percent [+]
Sales Tax Rate 5.00 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.1 5 percent [+]
Social Security Rate 14.41 14.41 14.41 14.41 14.41 14.5 percent [+]
Social Security Rate For Companies 7.58 7.58 7.58 7.58 7.58 7.68 percent [+]
Social Security Rate For Employees 6.83 6.83 6.83 6.83 6.83 6.86 percent [+]



Economic Forecasts for Canada including a long-term outlook for the next decades, plus medium-term expectations for the next four quarters and short-term market predictions for the next release affecting the Canada economy. 8/30/2015