Germany | Economic Forecasts | 2014-2030 Outlook

Markets Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Currency 1.31 1.32 1.3 1.32 1.32 1.33 1.33 [+]
Government Bond 10Y 0.88 1.13 0.89 0.84 1.16 2.71 3.65 [+]
Stock Market 9470.17 9433 9621 9717 9748 10018 13121 [+]
GDP Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
GDP 3634.82 3811 3870 3929 5213 7550 13807 [+]
GDP Growth Rate -0.20 0.96 0.27 0.19 0.28 2.75 2.75 [+]
GDP Annual Growth Rate 0.80 1.34 2.1 1.83 1.21 2.92 2.58 [+]
GDP Constant Prices 679.49 686 687 687 755 791 873 [+]
Gross National Product 715.87 732 735 736 812 845 932 [+]
GDP per capita 38291.62 38731 38831 38912 43601 46285 51562 [+]
Gross Fixed Capital Formation 112.51 114 114 114 111 112 112 [+]
GDP per capita PPP 34765.90 34950 34961 34970 39034 41238 45935 [+]
Labour Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Unemployment Rate 4.90 4.5 4.7 5.2 4.8 4.8 6.3 [+]
Employed Persons 42597.00 42220 42310 42390 46900 49210 53833 [+]
Unemployed Persons 2901.80 2743 2830 3059 2864 2921 2842 [+]
Job Vacancies 502.00 472 426 484 426 418 419 [+]
Long Term Unemployment Rate 2.40 2.37 2.38 2.39 2.39 5.39 6.9 [+]
Youth Unemployment Rate 7.80 7.84 7.82 7.82 7.78 7.8 7.81 [+]
Productivity 101.30 104 104 104 114 120 132 [+]
Wages 113.90 115 116 115 116 116 116 [+]
Wages in Manufacturing 117.40 115 116 114 116 116 116 [+]
Labour Costs 110.09 110 111 111 110 110 110 [+]
Population 80.52 79.59 80.41 79.02 78.24 74.77 72.29 [+]
Retirement Age Women 65.17 63 63 65.29 63 65 66 [+]
Retirement Age Men 65.17 63 63 65.29 63 65 66 [+]
Prices Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Inflation Rate 0.80 0.86 0.65 0.47 0.25 2.28 4.03 [+]
Inflation Rate Mom 0.00 0.14 0.44 0.07 0.44 3.44 3.74 [+]
Consumer Price Index (CPI) 107.00 107 108 108 121 136 170 [+]
Harmonised Consumer Prices 116.60 116 116 116 116 116 116 [+]
Producer Prices 105.80 106 106 106 114 124 145 [+]
Producer Prices Change -0.80 -1.03 -1.09 -1.07 0.17 3.42 3.96 [+]
Export Prices 104.10 104 103 104 103 104 104 [+]
Import Prices 103.60 103 102 103 103 103 103 [+]
Food Inflation 0.00 -0.22 -0.79 -1.02 0.59 0.33 0.45 [+]
Money Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Interest Rate 0.15 0 0.25 0.05 0.12 0.65 1.61 [+]
Interbank Rate 0.20 0.25 0.53 0.32 0.43 1.13 2.53 [+]
Money Supply M1 1493.30 1517 1554 1554 1769 1824 2014 [+]
Money Supply M2 2344.80 2367 2377 2406 2660 2765 3048 [+]
Money Supply M3 2369.60 2359 2367 2385 2663 2786 3037 [+]
Foreign Exchange Reserves 154885.35 150886 149368 151094 155318 157163 155631 [+]
Loans to Private Sector 2567023.00 2529693 2524236 2519907 2507351 2495114 2494678 [+]
Central Bank Balance Sheet 725.50 [+]
Trade Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Balance of Trade 16405.95 18088 15186 18582 16802 17549 19191 [+]
Exports 92668.89 93940 90304 96660 99481 104138 114893 [+]
Imports 76262.94 75852 75118 78078 82511 86325 95222 [+]
Current Account 14993.00 16103 19561 18362 19427 19530 19531 [+]
Current Account to GDP 7.50 7.89 7.38 8.17 8.46 0.1 0.05 [+]
External Debt 643267.00 618482 583041 581305 578611 610384 606509 [+]
Foreign Direct Investment -2158.93 769 279 36.59 843 741 741 [+]
Remittances -863.00 982 737 589 368 295 246 [+]
Capital Flows -30424.90 -28327 -30716 -28541 -29914 -17976 -10472 [+]
Gold Reserves 3386.36 3386 3386 3386 3386 3386 3386 [+]
Crude Oil Production 30.00 [+]
Government Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Government Budget 0.00 -0.61 0.2 -1.24 0.2 -1.77 -1.81 [+]
Government Debt to GDP 78.40 76.91 74.1 76.26 74.1 74.67 74.64 [+]
Government Budget Value 7.50 10.41 8.1 5.42 5.53 5.77 5.77 [+]
Government Spending 118.16 118 118 118 131 137 151 [+]
Government Spending to GDP 44.70 44.7 44.7 44.7 44.7 44.7 44.7 [+]
Credit Rating 98.47 [+]
Business Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Business Confidence 106.30 109 109 109 108 121 127 [+]
Manufacturing PMI 51.40 52.97 51.94 53.04 51.15 51.55 52.03 [+]
Services PMI 56.40 55.73 56.94 56.9 56.44 56.33 56.3 [+]
Industrial Production -0.50 0.8 2.52 2.53 1.44 3.99 3.59 [+]
Industrial Production Mom 0.28 0.13 -1.01 -0.52 0.18 3.42 3.97 [+]
Manufacturing Production -0.10 3.42 3.19 3.13 1.52 3.95 3.77 [+]
Capacity Utilization 84.00 84.56 84.56 84.67 84.13 84.28 84.11 [+]
Factory Orders -3.20 -1.58 -1.11 -0.84 -0.47 -0.65 -0.65 [+]
New Orders 105.40 110 110 109 108 109 109 [+]
Changes in Inventories 0.48 -0.46 -1.33 -0.86 -1.59 -1.5 -1.5 [+]
Bankruptcies 1932.00 1838 1810 1974 1742 1054 614 [+]
Corporate Profits 181.76 182 182 182 182 182 182 [+]
Zew Economic Sentiment Index 8.60 16.43 -1.3 10.21 15.04 13.11 10.51 [+]
Car Registrations 270249.00 232313 202094 313333 227327 237429 261920 [+]
Consumer Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Consumer Confidence 8.60 9.38 9.27 9.13 9.43 9.36 9.86 [+]
Retail Sales MoM -1.40 0.37 -0.17 0.22 0.23 3.48 4.03 [+]
Retail Sales YoY 0.70 1.07 0.23 1.13 0.24 3.03 3.88 [+]
Consumer Spending 354.20 355 356 356 394 414 456 [+]
Disposable Personal Income 441.79 448 449 452 501 471 558 [+]
Personal Savings 9.90 9.93 9.93 9.93 9.95 5.95 3.47 [+]
Consumer Credit 222623.00 222453 222422 222409 222395 222393 222393 [+]
Bank Lending Rate 2.97 3.15 3.19 3.05 3.18 3.15 3.15 [+]
Housing Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Housing Index 140.40 150 153 155 154 151 151 [+]
Construction Output -1.00 6.26 2.47 6.07 7.86 13.17 20.97 [+]
Taxes Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Corporate Tax Rate 29.60 29 30 29 29 29 29 [+]
Personal Income Tax Rate 45.00 44 45 43 42 41 41 [+]
Sales Tax Rate 19.00 19 19 19 19 19 19 [+]
Social Security Rate 39.46 39 39 39 39 38 38 [+]
Social Security Rate For Companies 19.28 19 19 19 19 19 19 [+]
Social Security Rate For Employees 20.18 20 20 20 20 20 20 [+]
Labour Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Unemployment Change 1.00 [+]






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This page includes economic forecasts for Germany. 9/1/2014