Germany | Economic Forecasts | 2014-2030 Outlook

Markets Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Currency 1.32 1.32 1.3 1.32 1.32 1.33 1.33 [+]
Government Bond 10Y 0.98 1.14 0.91 0.85 0.97 4.02 3.78 [+]
Stock Market 9314.57 9110 9119 9122 9133 10018 13121 [+]
GDP Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
GDP 3634.82 3811 3870 3929 4626 6314 10266 [+]
GDP Growth Rate -0.20 0.96 0.22 0.26 0.28 2.75 2.75 [+]
GDP Annual Growth Rate 0.80 1.34 2.1 1.83 1.21 2.92 2.58 [+]
GDP Constant Prices 679.49 712 727 738 860 903 1035 [+]
Gross National Product 715.87 729 735 736 1296 1702 2266 [+]
GDP per capita 38291.62 38731 38353 38912 83251 121824 195622 [+]
Gross Fixed Capital Formation 112.51 114 114 114 111 112 112 [+]
GDP per capita PPP 34765.90 34950 34961 34970 74531 108540 174272 [+]
Labour Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Unemployment Rate 5.10 4.5 4.7 5.2 4.8 4.8 6.3 [+]
Employed Persons 42135.00 42210 42299 42376 74860 98876 130366 [+]
Unemployed Persons 2871.30 2736 2819 3046 2847 2913 2822 [+]
Job Vacancies 502.00 451 398 452 389 395 390 [+]
Long Term Unemployment Rate 2.40 2.37 2.37 2.39 2.39 5.39 6.9 [+]
Youth Unemployment Rate 7.80 7.87 7.85 7.85 7.81 7.82 7.83 [+]
Productivity 101.30 104 104 104 115 122 135 [+]
Wages 113.90 115 116 115 116 116 116 [+]
Wages in Manufacturing 117.40 115 116 114 116 116 116 [+]
Labour Costs 110.09 110 111 111 110 110 110 [+]
Population 80.52 79.59 80.41 79.02 78.24 74.77 72.29 [+]
Retirement Age Women 65.17 63 63 65.29 63 65 66 [+]
Retirement Age Men 65.17 63 63 65.29 63 65 66 [+]
Prices Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Inflation Rate 0.85 0.86 0.74 0.95 1.32 4.03 3.85 [+]
Inflation Rate Mom 0.30 0.14 0.44 0.07 0.6 3.9 3.9 [+]
Consumer Price Index (CPI) 107.00 107 108 108 126 144 188 [+]
Harmonised Consumer Prices 116.60 116 116 116 116 116 116 [+]
Producer Prices 105.80 106 106 106 125 142 182 [+]
Producer Prices Change -0.80 -1.13 -1.18 -1.11 0.18 4.02 3.96 [+]
Export Prices 104.00 104 103 104 103 104 103 [+]
Import Prices 104.00 103 102 103 103 103 103 [+]
Food Inflation 0.00 -0.22 -0.79 -1.02 0.59 0.33 0.45 [+]
Money Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Interest Rate 0.15 0 0.25 0.05 0.12 0.65 1.61 [+]
Interbank Rate 0.20 0.26 0.54 0.33 0.67 1.33 2.63 [+]
Money Supply M1 1493.30 1520 1558 1557 3415 4873 7832 [+]
Money Supply M2 2344.80 2364 2372 2397 5099 7346 11790 [+]
Money Supply M3 2369.60 2343 2346 2359 5056 7339 11782 [+]
Foreign Exchange Reserves 154885.35 146698 144492 146260 152920 156068 156697 [+]
Loans to Private Sector 2567023.00 2511674 2501900 2493156 2471099 2453654 2454528 [+]
Trade Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Balance of Trade 16406.00 18149 15259 18661 21630 25546 27205 [+]
Exports 93670.00 93837 90179 96522 126144 148702 158204 [+]
Imports 77430.00 75688 74920 77861 104514 123156 130999 [+]
Current Account 14993.00 16105 19564 18366 19430 19534 19534 [+]
Current Account to GDP 7.50 7.89 7.38 8.17 8.46 0.1 0.05 [+]
External Debt 643267.00 606171 563318 547637 467014 178946 16579 [+]
Foreign Direct Investment -2158.93 769 279 36.59 843 741 741 [+]
Remittances -863.00 982 737 589 368 295 246 [+]
Capital Flows -30424.90 -28327 -30716 -28541 -29914 -1613 -82.27 [+]
Gold Reserves 3386.36 3386 3386 3386 3386 3386 3386 [+]
Government Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Government Budget 0.00 -0.61 0.2 -1.24 0.2 -1.77 -1.81 [+]
Government Debt to GDP 78.40 76.91 74.1 76.26 74.1 74.67 74.64 [+]
Government Budget Value 7.50 10.41 6.31 4.21 5.53 5.77 5.77 [+]
Government Spending 118.16 118 118 118 208 276 368 [+]
Government Spending to GDP 44.70 44.7 44.7 44.7 44.7 44.7 44.7 [+]
Credit Rating 98.47 [+]
Business Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Business Confidence 108.00 111 111 113 110 121 127 [+]
Manufacturing PMI 52.00 53.95 53.16 54.27 51.83 52.5 52.32 [+]
Services PMI 56.40 56.07 57.22 56.87 54.75 56 57.21 [+]
Industrial Production -0.50 3.91 2.52 2.53 1.44 3.99 3.59 [+]
Industrial Production Mom 0.28 0.13 -1.01 -0.52 0.18 4.02 3.97 [+]
Manufacturing Production -0.10 3.42 3.19 3.13 1.52 3.95 3.77 [+]
Capacity Utilization 84.00 84.56 84.56 84.67 84.13 84.28 84.11 [+]
Factory Orders -3.20 -1.58 -1.11 -0.84 -0.47 -0.65 -0.65 [+]
New Orders 105.40 112 112 112 110 111 110 [+]
Changes in Inventories 0.48 -0.46 -1.33 -0.86 -1.59 -1.5 -1.5 [+]
Bankruptcies 1932.00 1874 1853 2019 1773 93.98 4.32 [+]
Corporate Profits 181.76 182 182 182 182 182 182 [+]
Zew Economic Sentiment Index 8.60 16.43 -1.3 10.21 15.04 13.11 10.51 [+]
Car Registrations 270249.00 232313 202094 313333 300366 360232 398542 [+]
Consumer Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Consumer Confidence 9.00 9.53 9.76 9.68 9.89 17.64 18.48 [+]
Retail Sales MoM 1.30 0.37 -0.17 0.22 0.23 3.78 4.03 [+]
Retail Sales YoY 0.40 1.07 0.23 1.13 0.24 3.93 3.88 [+]
Consumer Spending 354.20 355 356 356 629 833 1110 [+]
Disposable Personal Income 441.79 448 450 452 799 949 1357 [+]
Personal Savings 9.90 9.93 9.93 9.93 9.95 0.55 0.05 [+]
Consumer Credit 222623.00 222453 222422 222409 222395 222393 222393 [+]
Bank Lending Rate 2.97 3.15 3.19 3.05 3.18 3.15 3.15 [+]
Housing Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Housing Index 140.40 152 155 157 156 152 152 [+]
Construction Output -1.00 8.86 2.47 8.11 2.47 161 2077 [+]
Taxes Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Corporate Tax Rate 29.60 29 30 29 29 29 29 [+]
Personal Income Tax Rate 45.00 44 45 43 42 41 41 [+]
Sales Tax Rate 19.00 19 19 19 19 19 19 [+]
Social Security Rate 39.46 39 39 39 39 38 38 [+]
Social Security Rate For Companies 19.28 19 19 19 19 19 19 [+]
Social Security Rate For Employees 20.18 20 20 20 20 20 20 [+]






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This page includes economic forecasts for Germany. 8/21/2014