Germany | Economic Forecasts | 2014-2030 Outlook

Markets Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Currency 1.34 1.32 1.3 1.38 1.3 1.33 1.33 [+]
Government Bond 10Y 1.14 1.28 1.11 1.09 1.23 3.32 3.99 [+]
Stock Market 9644.01 9754 9788 9788 9761 11830 13121 [+]
GDP Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
GDP 3634.82 3758 3653 3804 4930 5636 7202 [+]
GDP Growth Rate 0.80 0.96 0.86 0.68 0.72 2.95 2.7 [+]
GDP Annual Growth Rate 2.50 1.34 3.25 2.9 1.99 2.84 2.87 [+]
GDP Constant Prices 630.63 634 636 635 669 688 731 [+]
Gross National Product 715.87 729 735 736 780 796 844 [+]
GDP per capita 38291.62 38731 38353 38912 50119 57012 72856 [+]
Gross Fixed Capital Formation 112.51 114 114 114 111 112 112 [+]
GDP per capita PPP 34765.90 34950 34961 34970 44869 50795 64904 [+]
Labour Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Unemployment Rate 5.10 4.3 4.5 4.9 4.5 5.6 6.1 [+]
Employed Persons 42121.00 42210 42299 42376 45067 46272 48552 [+]
Unemployed Persons 2832.80 2736 2819 3046 2847 2913 2822 [+]
Job Vacancies 462.30 451 398 452 389 395 390 [+]
Long Term Unemployment Rate 2.40 2.37 2.37 2.39 2.39 5.39 6.9 [+]
Youth Unemployment Rate 7.80 7.87 7.85 7.85 7.81 7.82 7.83 [+]
Productivity 101.30 104 104 104 110 113 120 [+]
Wages 113.90 115 116 115 116 116 116 [+]
Wages in Manufacturing 117.40 115 116 114 116 116 116 [+]
Labour Costs 110.09 110 111 111 110 110 110 [+]
Population 80.52 79.59 80.41 79.02 78.24 74.77 72.29 [+]
Retirement Age Women 65.17 63 63 65.29 63 65 66 [+]
Retirement Age Men 65.17 63 63 65.29 63 65 66 [+]
Prices Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Inflation Rate 1.04 0.98 0.9 0.95 1.32 3.13 3.85 [+]
Inflation Rate Mom 0.40 0.14 0.59 0.07 0.6 2.4 3.9 [+]
Consumer Price Index (CPI) 106.70 107 107 107 114 118 125 [+]
Harmonised Consumer Prices 116.30 116 116 116 116 116 116 [+]
Producer Prices 105.90 106 105 105 112 116 123 [+]
Producer Prices Change -0.75 -1.13 -1.18 -1.11 0.18 2.22 3.96 [+]
Export Prices 103.90 104 103 104 103 104 103 [+]
Import Prices 103.80 103 102 103 103 103 103 [+]
Food Inflation 0.00 -0.22 -0.79 -1.02 0.59 0.33 0.45 [+]
Money Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Interest Rate 0.15 0 0.25 0.05 0.25 0.65 1.61 [+]
Interbank Rate 0.21 0.26 0.54 0.33 0.67 1.33 2.63 [+]
Money Supply M1 1501.70 1520 1558 1557 2056 2281 2917 [+]
Money Supply M2 2344.80 2364 2372 2397 3070 3438 4391 [+]
Money Supply M3 2369.60 2343 2346 2359 3044 3435 4388 [+]
Foreign Exchange Reserves 153016.70 146698 144492 146260 152920 156068 156697 [+]
Loans to Private Sector 2567261.00 2511674 2501900 2493156 2471099 2453654 2454528 [+]
Trade Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Balance of Trade 19159.23 18591 16022 19229 16690 17068 18113 [+]
Exports 91258.85 94160 90264 96910 95521 98166 104136 [+]
Imports 72099.62 75569 74242 77681 78830 81098 86023 [+]
Current Account 13204.00 16671 20045 18770 20065 20151 20151 [+]
Current Account to GDP 7.50 7.89 7.38 8.17 8.46 1.38 0.37 [+]
External Debt 634869.00 606171 563318 547637 467014 178946 16579 [+]
Foreign Direct Investment -2158.93 769 279 36.59 843 741 741 [+]
Remittances -863.00 982 737 589 368 295 246 [+]
Capital Flows -30424.90 -28327 -30716 -28541 -29914 -22070 -15961 [+]
Gold Reserves 3386.36 3386 3386 3386 3386 3386 3386 [+]
Government Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Government Budget 0.00 -0.61 0.2 -1.24 0.2 -1.77 -1.81 [+]
Government Debt to GDP 78.40 76.91 74.1 76.26 74.1 74.67 74.64 [+]
Government Budget Value 7.50 10.41 6.31 4.21 5.53 5.77 5.77 [+]
Government Spending 118.16 118 118 118 125 129 137 [+]
Government Spending to GDP 44.70 44.7 44.7 44.7 44.7 44.7 44.7 [+]
Credit Rating 98.47 [+]
Business Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Business Confidence 108.00 111 111 113 110 121 127 [+]
Manufacturing PMI 52.90 53.95 53.16 54.27 51.83 52.5 52.32 [+]
Services PMI 56.60 56.07 57.22 56.87 54.75 56 57.21 [+]
Industrial Production 1.30 3.91 4.41 4.35 2.31 3.75 3.65 [+]
Industrial Production Mom -1.76 0.13 -1.25 -0.74 0.16 2.2 3.95 [+]
Manufacturing Production 2.20 4.98 4.79 4.47 1.52 3.96 4.05 [+]
Capacity Utilization 84.30 84.56 84.58 84.52 83.67 84.18 83.9 [+]
Factory Orders -1.70 -0.25 0.3 0.45 0.53 0.47 0.47 [+]
New Orders 108.90 112 112 112 110 111 110 [+]
Changes in Inventories 0.48 -0.46 -1.33 -0.86 -1.59 -1.5 -1.5 [+]
Bankruptcies 2131.00 1874 1853 2019 1773 1286 930 [+]
Corporate Profits 181.76 182 182 182 182 182 182 [+]
Zew Economic Sentiment Index 27.10 26.45 12.49 24.66 20.42 19.14 18.76 [+]
Car Registrations 277614.00 227878 197349 308884 214939 219595 232938 [+]
Consumer Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Consumer Confidence 9.00 9.53 9.76 9.68 9.89 12.34 16.42 [+]
Retail Sales MoM -0.60 -0.1 -0.63 -0.22 0.19 4.04 3.99 [+]
Retail Sales YoY 1.90 1.34 0.41 1.2 0.25 4.02 3.97 [+]
Consumer Spending 354.20 355 356 356 378 390 413 [+]
Disposable Personal Income 441.79 448 450 452 481 444 505 [+]
Personal Savings 9.90 9.93 9.93 9.93 9.95 7.31 5.29 [+]
Consumer Credit 222623.00 222453 222422 222409 222395 222393 222393 [+]
Bank Lending Rate 3.06 3.16 3.21 3.06 3.2 3.16 3.16 [+]
Housing Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Housing Index 140.40 152 155 157 156 152 152 [+]
Construction Output -2.50 8.86 2.47 8.11 2.47 13.37 17.68 [+]
Taxes Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Corporate Tax Rate 29.60 29 30 29 29 29 29 [+]
Personal Income Tax Rate 45.00 44 45 43 42 41 41 [+]
Sales Tax Rate 19.00 19 19 19 19 19 19 [+]
Social Security Rate 39.46 39 39 39 39 38 38 [+]
Social Security Rate For Companies 19.28 19 19 19 19 19 19 [+]
Social Security Rate For Employees 20.18 20 20 20 20 20 20 [+]






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This page includes economic forecasts for Germany. 7/28/2014