Germany | Economic Forecasts | 2014-2030 Outlook

Markets Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Currency 1.28 1.3 1.27 1.27 1.26 1.33 1.33 [+]
Government Bond 10Y 0.99 0.78 0.7 0.85 1.07 1.08 1.35 [+]
Stock Market 9799.26 9433 9621 9717 9748 10018 13121 [+]
GDP Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
GDP 3634.82 3811 3870 3929 7458 12904 33586 [+]
GDP Growth Rate -0.20 0.96 0.27 0.19 0.28 2.75 2.75 [+]
GDP Annual Growth Rate 0.80 1.34 2.1 1.83 1.21 2.92 2.58 [+]
GDP Constant Prices 679.49 686 687 687 1080 1351 2124 [+]
Gross National Product 715.87 733 736 736 836 884 1003 [+]
GDP per capita 38291.62 38831 38912 38980 44478 47684 54172 [+]
Gross Fixed Capital Formation 112.51 114 114 113 111 112 112 [+]
GDP per capita PPP 42045.25 42054 42123 42131 42565 42804 43226 [+]
Labour Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Unemployment Rate 4.90 4.5 4.7 5.2 4.8 4.8 6.3 [+]
Employed Persons 42597.00 42506 42685 42855 55413 62964 80452 [+]
Unemployed Persons 2901.80 2765 2859 3093 2896 2926 2859 [+]
Job Vacancies 502.00 472 426 484 426 418 419 [+]
Long Term Unemployment Rate 2.40 2.37 2.38 2.39 2.39 5.39 6.9 [+]
Youth Unemployment Rate 7.80 7.84 7.82 7.82 7.78 7.8 7.81 [+]
Productivity 101.30 104 104 104 163 205 321 [+]
Wages 113.90 115 116 115 116 116 116 [+]
Wages in Manufacturing 117.40 115 116 114 116 116 116 [+]
Labour Costs 110.09 110 111 111 110 110 110 [+]
Population 80.52 79.59 80.41 79.02 78.24 74.77 72.29 [+]
Retirement Age Women 65.17 63 63 65 63 65 66 [+]
Retirement Age Men 65.17 63 63 65 63 65 66 [+]
Prices Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Inflation Rate 0.80 0.6 0.41 0.22 0.24 3.85 3.76 [+]
Inflation Rate Mom 0.00 0.14 0.49 0.12 0.48 3.78 3.78 [+]
Consumer Price Index CPI 107.00 107 108 108 123 140 178 [+]
Harmonised Consumer Prices 116.60 116 116 116 116 116 116 [+]
Producer Prices 105.70 106 106 106 107 113 125 [+]
Producer Prices Change -0.80 -0.99 -0.97 -0.91 0.18 1.32 2.32 [+]
Export Prices 104.10 104 103 104 103 104 104 [+]
Import Prices 103.60 102 103 103 103 103 103 [+]
Food Inflation 0.54 -1.24 -1.78 -1.74 -0.49 -0.44 -0.23 [+]
Core Consumer Prices 105.30 [+]
Core Inflation Rate 1.34 [+]
Money Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Interest Rate 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.65 1.6 [+]
Interbank Rate 0.20 0.25 0.53 0.32 0.43 1.13 2.53 [+]
Money Supply M1 1493.30 1554 1554 1575 1822 1908 2169 [+]
Money Supply M2 2344.80 2377 2406 2417 2740 2891 3282 [+]
Money Supply M3 2369.60 2392 2395 2396 2595 2700 2920 [+]
Foreign Exchange Reserves 154885.35 150886 149368 151094 155318 157163 155631 [+]
Loans to Private Sector 2567023.00 2524236 2519907 2515383 2507351 2495114 2494678 [+]
Banks Balance Sheet 7707700.00 6470408 6351042 5889235 5569016 4900643 4865471 [+]
Central Bank Balance Sheet 725.50 691 681 673 661 628 625 [+]
Trade Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Balance of Trade 23400.00 20294 17889 21589 21491 22706 26889 [+]
Exports 101000.00 96403 93381 100174 110677 119008 140705 [+]
Imports 77600.00 76109 75492 78585 89185 96302 113815 [+]
Current Account 21700.00 18973 22971 22035 22759 22649 22647 [+]
Current Account to GDP 7.50 7.89 7.38 8.17 8.46 0.1 0.05 [+]
External Debt 643267.00 618482 583041 581305 578611 610384 606509 [+]
Foreign Direct Investment -2158.93 1058 808 68.95 1299 1208 1208 [+]
Remittances -863.00 982 737 589 368 295 246 [+]
Capital Flows -30424.90 -27869 -30558 -28465 -29940 -8326 -2155 [+]
Gold Reserves 3384.19 3384 3384 3384 3384 3384 3384 [+]
Crude Oil Production 30.00 30.99 31.36 31.71 32.38 36.92 40.08 [+]
Government Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Government Budget 0.00 0.2 0.2 -1.24 0.2 -1.77 -1.81 [+]
Government Debt to GDP 78.40 74.1 74.1 76.26 74.1 74.67 74.64 [+]
Government Budget Value 7.50 10.41 8.1 5.42 5.53 5.77 5.77 [+]
Government Spending 118.16 118 118 118 187 234 368 [+]
Government Spending to GDP 44.70 44.7 44.7 44.7 44.7 44.7 44.7 [+]
Credit Rating 98.47 [+]
Business Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Business Confidence 106.30 109 109 109 108 115 115 [+]
Manufacturing PMI 51.40 51.94 50.97 50.47 49.67 51.55 52.03 [+]
Services PMI 54.90 55.73 56.94 56.9 56.44 56.33 56.3 [+]
Industrial Production 2.50 0.8 2.05 2.04 1.2 3.98 3.87 [+]
Industrial Production Mom 1.90 0.13 -0.25 0.17 0.23 3.78 4.03 [+]
Manufacturing Production -0.10 3.42 3.19 3.13 1.52 3.95 3.77 [+]
Capacity Utilization 84.00 84.56 84.56 84.67 84.13 84.28 84.11 [+]
Factory Orders 4.60 0.29 0.86 0.93 0.9 0.89 0.89 [+]
New Orders 105.40 110 110 109 108 109 109 [+]
Changes in Inventories -3.26 -3.76 -3.94 -4.02 -4.44 -4.22 -4.21 [+]
Bankruptcies 1932.00 1838 1810 1974 1742 166 13.83 [+]
Corporate Profits 181.76 182 182 182 182 182 182 [+]
Zew Economic Sentiment Index 6.90 -10.8 -3.19 -1.22 -0.2 0.82 -0.98 [+]
Car Registrations 270249.00 232313 202094 313333 325253 405799 637130 [+]
Consumer Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Consumer Confidence 8.60 9.38 9.27 9.13 9.43 16.8 16.8 [+]
Retail Sales MoM -1.40 -0.19 -0.74 -0.32 0.18 4.03 3.98 [+]
Retail Sales YoY 0.70 0.69 -0.18 0.75 0.22 3.77 4.02 [+]
Consumer Spending 354.20 355 356 356 564 707 1110 [+]
Disposable Personal Income 441.79 450 451 452 516 493 601 [+]
Personal Savings 9.90 9.93 9.93 9.93 9.95 0.95 0.09 [+]
Consumer Credit 222623.00 222534 222403 222481 222394 221904 220876 [+]
Bank Lending Rate 2.97 3.15 3.19 3.05 3.18 3.15 3.15 [+]
Housing Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Housing Index 140.40 150 153 155 154 151 151 [+]
Construction Output -1.20 2.47 2.82 2.42 5.45 5.66 5.93 [+]
Taxes Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Corporate Tax Rate 29.60 29 30 29 29 29 29 [+]
Personal Income Tax Rate 45.00 44 45 43 42 41 41 [+]
Sales Tax Rate 19.00 19 19 19 19 19 19 [+]
Social Security Rate 39.46 39 39 39 39 38 38 [+]
Social Security Rate For Companies 19.28 19 19 19 19 19 19 [+]
Social Security Rate For Employees 20.18 20 20 20 20 20 20 [+]
Labour Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Unemployment Change 106.50 [+]






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This page includes economic forecasts for Germany. 9/22/2014