Germany | Economic Forecasts | 2014-2030 Outlook

Markets Last Q4 Q1 Q2 2015 2020 2030
Currency 1.26 1.26 1.23 1.18 1.1 1.1 1.1 [+]
Government Bond 10Y 0.89 0.78 0.77 0.68 0.86 0.9 0.94 [+]
Stock Market 9474.30 9433 9621 9717 9748 10018 13121 [+]
GDP Last Q4 Q1 Q2 2015 2020 2030
GDP 3634.82 3749 3769 3783 3844 3877 3916 [+]
GDP Growth Rate -0.20 0.96 0.22 0.26 0.28 2.75 2.75 [+]
GDP Annual Growth Rate 0.80 1.34 2.1 1.83 1.21 2.92 2.58 [+]
GDP Constant Prices 679.49 686 687 687 690 691 699 [+]
Gross National Product 715.87 733 736 736 836 884 1003 [+]
GDP per capita 38291.62 38706 38784 38843 39336 39609 39999 [+]
Gross Fixed Capital Formation 112.51 114 114 114 114 114 114 [+]
GDP per capita PPP 42045.25 42086 42094 42100 42532 42752 43173 [+]
Labour Last Q4 Q1 Q2 2015 2020 2030
Unemployment Rate 4.90 4.6 4.8 5.3 4.9 5 4.9 [+]
Employed Persons 42621.00 42699 42917 43119 43985 44931 45410 [+]
Unemployed Persons 2807.80 2929 2657 2743 2681 2695 2696 [+]
Job Vacancies 502.00 472 426 484 426 418 419 [+]
Long Term Unemployment Rate 2.40 2.37 2.38 2.39 2.39 5.39 6.9 [+]
Youth Unemployment Rate 7.80 7.84 7.82 7.82 7.78 7.8 7.81 [+]
Productivity 101.30 104 104 104 104 105 106 [+]
Wages 3645.00 163 1417 157 1416 1416 1416 [+]
Wages in Manufacturing 117.40 115 116 114 117 118 119 [+]
Labour Costs 110.09 111 111 110 113 114 116 [+]
Population 80.52 79.59 80.41 79.02 78.24 74.77 72.29 [+]
Retirement Age Women 65.17 63 63 65 63 65 66 [+]
Retirement Age Men 65.17 63 63 65 63 65 66 [+]
Prices Last Q4 Q1 Q2 2015 2020 2030
Inflation Rate 0.80 0.85 0.6 0.41 0.24 1.45 1.01 [+]
Inflation Rate Mom 0.00 0 0.49 0.12 0.48 0.48 0.48 [+]
Consumer Price Index CPI 107.00 107 108 108 110 118 135 [+]
Harmonised Consumer Prices 116.60 116 116 116 116 116 116 [+]
Producer Prices 105.70 106 106 106 107 107 108 [+]
Producer Prices Change -0.80 -0.94 -0.99 -0.97 0.18 0.42 0.67 [+]
Export Prices 104.10 104 104 104 105 106 107 [+]
Import Prices 103.50 103 103 103 104 105 106 [+]
Food Inflation 0.54 -0.38 -1.24 -1.78 -0.49 -0.44 -0.23 [+]
Core Consumer Prices 105.30 105 106 106 108 115 128 [+]
Core Inflation Rate 1.34 1.41 1.38 1.36 1.31 1.35 1.37 [+]
Money Last Q4 Q1 Q2 2015 2020 2030
Interest Rate 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.65 1.6 [+]
Interbank Rate 0.20 0.25 0.53 0.32 0.43 1.13 2.53 [+]
Money Supply M1 1493.30 1519 1545 1570 1660 2138 2971 [+]
Money Supply M2 2344.80 2365 2385 2405 2488 2899 3727 [+]
Money Supply M3 2369.60 2386 2395 2400 2428 2441 2465 [+]
Foreign Exchange Reserves 154885.35 150886 149368 151094 155318 157163 155631 [+]
Loans to Private Sector 2567023.00 2559244 2553335 2547130 2529261 2428996 2299935 [+]
Banks Balance Sheet 7707700.00 7566617 7434981 7196586 6860261 6810618 6810618 [+]
Central Bank Balance Sheet 725.50 688 684 673 667 665 665 [+]
Trade Last Q4 Q1 Q2 2015 2020 2030
Balance of Trade 23400.00 20294 17889 21589 21491 22706 26889 [+]
Exports 101000.00 96403 93381 100174 110677 119008 140705 [+]
Imports 77600.00 76109 75492 78585 89185 96302 113815 [+]
Current Account 21700.00 18973 22971 22035 22759 22649 22647 [+]
Current Account to GDP 7.50 7.89 7.38 8.17 8.46 0.1 0.05 [+]
External Debt 643267.00 618482 583041 581305 578611 610384 606509 [+]
Foreign Direct Investment -2158.93 1853 2289 2331 2409 2413 2413 [+]
Remittances -863.00 982 737 589 368 295 246 [+]
Capital Flows -30424.90 -27869 -30558 -28465 -29940 -30017 -30023 [+]
Gold Reserves 3384.19 3384 3384 3384 3384 3384 3384 [+]
Crude Oil Production 30.00 30.61 30.99 31.36 32.38 36.92 40.08 [+]
Government Last Q4 Q1 Q2 2015 2020 2030
Government Budget 0.00 0.2 0.2 -1.24 0.2 -1.77 -1.81 [+]
Government Debt to GDP 78.40 74.1 74.1 76.26 74.1 74.67 74.64 [+]
Government Budget Value 7.50 10.41 8.1 5.42 5.53 5.77 5.77 [+]
Government Spending 118.16 118 118 118 119 120 121 [+]
Government Spending to GDP 44.70 44.7 44.7 44.7 44.7 44.7 44.7 [+]
Credit Rating 98.47 [+]
Business Last Q4 Q1 Q2 2015 2020 2030
Business Confidence 104.70 105 107 107 106 107 107 [+]
Manufacturing PMI 49.90 51 49.36 49.39 49.98 49.89 49.89 [+]
Services PMI 55.40 55.73 56.78 56.82 56.65 56.43 56.41 [+]
Industrial Production 2.50 0.8 2.05 2.04 1.2 1.58 1.67 [+]
Industrial Production Mom 1.90 0.13 -0.25 0.17 0.23 0.48 0.73 [+]
Manufacturing Production 4.40 3.5 3.21 3.1 1.42 2.09 3.27 [+]
Capacity Utilization 84.00 84.56 84.56 84.67 84.13 84.28 84.11 [+]
Factory Orders 4.60 0.29 0.86 0.93 0.9 0.89 0.89 [+]
New Orders 110.80 110 110 110 109 109 109 [+]
Changes in Inventories -3.26 -3.55 -3.76 -3.94 -4.44 -4.22 -4.21 [+]
Bankruptcies 1932.00 1838 1810 1974 1742 166 14 [+]
Corporate Profits 181.76 182 182 182 182 182 182 [+]
Zew Economic Sentiment Index 6.90 8.7 -3.19 -1.22 -0.2 0.82 -0.98 [+]
Car Registrations 270249.00 232313 202094 313333 325253 405799 637130 [+]
Consumer Last Q4 Q1 Q2 2015 2020 2030
Consumer Confidence 8.30 9.27 8.89 8.67 8.96 8.61 8.65 [+]
Retail Sales MoM 2.50 0.58 0.11 0.52 0.12 0.12 0.12 [+]
Retail Sales YoY 0.10 0.45 -0.47 0.46 0.2 0.45 0.7 [+]
Consumer Spending 354.20 353 354 354 361 364 371 [+]
Disposable Personal Income 441.79 443 443 443 447 449 454 [+]
Personal Savings 9.90 9.93 9.93 9.93 9.95 0.95 0.09 [+]
Consumer Credit 222623.00 222446 222445 222445 224671 225783 228008 [+]
Bank Lending Rate 2.97 3.15 3.19 3.05 3.18 3.15 3.15 [+]
Housing Last Q4 Q1 Q2 2015 2020 2030
Housing Index 140.40 150 153 155 154 151 151 [+]
Construction Output -1.20 2.47 2.47 2.42 5.45 5.66 5.93 [+]
Taxes Last Q4 Q1 Q2 2015 2020 2030
Corporate Tax Rate 29.60 29 29 29 29 29 29 [+]
Personal Income Tax Rate 47.50 47 47 47 47 47 47 [+]
Sales Tax Rate 19.00 19 19 19 19 19 19 [+]
Social Security Rate 39.46 39 39 39 39 38 38 [+]
Social Security Rate For Companies 19.28 19 19 19 19 19 19 [+]
Social Security Rate For Employees 20.18 20 20 20 20 20 20 [+]
Labour Last Q4 Q1 Q2 2015 2020 2030
Unemployment Change 13.00 101 95.52 101 101 101 [+]






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This page includes economic forecasts for Germany. 10/1/2014