Japan | Economic Forecasts | 2014-2030 Outlook

Markets Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Currency 104.24 104 103 103 103 103 107 [+]
Government Bond 10Y 0.50 0.5 1.5 0.38 0.38 2.49 3.7 [+]
Stock Market 15476.60 15336 15298 15103 15068 16612 17461 [+]
GDP Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
GDP 5960.00 6065 6080 6095 8612 10684 16300 [+]
GDP Growth Rate -1.70 0.1 0.4 -0.39 0.15 1.45 1.95 [+]
Gdp Growth Annualized -6.80 0.2 2 -1.62 0.15 3.01 3.01 [+]
GDP Annual Growth Rate -0.10 2 1.5 3.08 2.54 2.33 2.81 [+]
GDP Constant Prices 525801.70 528518 525587 531778 644840 546211 594638 [+]
Gross National Product 521505.00 523947 523915 523748 639615 706196 859238 [+]
GDP per capita 37432.91 37666 37709 37741 46581 51728 63554 [+]
Gross Fixed Capital Formation 109953.40 114671 115312 115176 111531 109365 108359 [+]
GDP per capita PPP 31425.49 31885 31903 31916 39362 43686 53673 [+]
Labour Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Unemployment Rate 3.80 3.4 3.3 3.2 3.2 5.4 6.4 [+]
Employed Persons 63530.00 63671 63755 63826 77988 85974 104596 [+]
Unemployed Persons 2480.00 2191 2126 2082 2083 2167 2166 [+]
Job Vacancies 842.76 860 873 872 879 861 858 [+]
Youth Unemployment Rate 5.90 5.95 5.81 5.68 5.43 4.88 6.33 [+]
Productivity 99.20 106 102 111 140 165 228 [+]
Labor Force Participation Rate 59.90 59.9 59.08 59.09 59.11 59.11 59.11 [+]
Wages 538.82 295 700 320 700 781 781 [+]
Wages in Manufacturing 572.05 336 820 343 820 835 835 [+]
Population 127.22 127 127 127 127 126 126 [+]
Retirement Age Women 61.00 62.2 62.32 62.43 62.7 63.37 63.48 [+]
Retirement Age Men 61.00 62.2 62.32 62.43 62.7 63.37 63.48 [+]
Prices Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Inflation Rate 3.40 3 3 3 2.5 3.3 4 [+]
Inflation Rate Mom 0.00 0.04 0.08 0.81 0.43 1.88 3.38 [+]
Consumer Price Index (CPI) 103.40 103 103 105 130 108 112 [+]
Core Inflation Rate 3.30 2.5 2.1 3.37 2.1 2.8 2.75 [+]
Core Consumer Prices 103.50 104 104 105 131 109 112 [+]
Gdp Deflator 94.10 92.27 92.62 92.46 93.16 93.43 93.44 [+]
Producer Prices 106.60 107 107 107 155 190 287 [+]
Export Prices 108.20 108 108 109 107 107 107 [+]
Import Prices 126.20 128 127 129 129 131 131 [+]
Food Inflation 4.50 6.21 6.9 6.85 5.66 5.87 5.88 [+]
Money Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Interest Rate 0.00 0 0.01 0.02 0.05 0.23 0.61 [+]
Interbank Rate 0.13 0.25 0.26 0.27 0.31 0.52 0.94 [+]
Money Supply M0 82455.40 82124 85653 84505 221312 364153 693405 [+]
Money Supply M1 585995.70 585997 599846 600600 1022577 1304531 1654530 [+]
Money Supply M2 875918.40 877809 888540 890101 1526201 2078161 2673728 [+]
Money Supply M3 1185095.10 1190539 1196867 1202674 2043163 2752146 3538599 [+]
Central Bank Balance Sheet 268967.60 275475 293714 308252 310046 200942 100802 [+]
Foreign Exchange Reserves 1276027.00 1294780 1298657 1302468 1305629 1298144 1297663 [+]
Loans to Private Sector 414670.50 416040 421358 424467 429671 465442 514665 [+]
Foreign Stock Investment 174.60 -178 -29.02 -189 -10.66 -22.57 -22.55 [+]
Foreign Bond Investment -609.00 517 -1781 -2189 -1520 -1546 -1545 [+]
Trade Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Balance of Trade -963.99 -806 -880 -694 -955 -1013 -1157 [+]
Exports 6188.60 6249 6190 6463 7229 7829 9159 [+]
Imports 7152.60 7055 7070 7157 8194 8858 10346 [+]
Current Account -399.10 54.83 -302 504 44.54 27.69 -64.81 [+]
Current Account to GDP 0.70 0.5 0.67 0.44 0.39 0.1 0.05 [+]
External Debt 294303.00 311165 318254 322555 323689 316009 315715 [+]
Terms of Trade 85.70 84.21 84.23 85.18 86 85.52 84.46 [+]
Foreign Direct Investment 14226.00 13697 12487 15182 12247 12288 12288 [+]
Capital Flows 10678.00 217 2888 -6399 2227 6353 16106 [+]
Tourist Arrivals 1269700.00 1132066 1124252 1166367 1023450 1047707 1048682 [+]
Gold Reserves 765.22 765 765 765 765 765 765 [+]
Crude Oil Production 5.00 [+]
Government Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Government Budget -7.60 -9.29 -9.3 -6.42 -8 -4.75 -4.5 [+]
Government Debt to GDP 227.20 233 228 236 240 251 254 [+]
Government Budget Value -2900.00 -75539 -62898 -50527 -63275 -63430 -63421 [+]
Government Spending 102771.60 102750 102724 102777 125405 138300 168265 [+]
Credit Rating 81.68 [+]
Business Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Business Confidence 12.00 12 13.53 20.49 13.53 28.78 32.03 [+]
Manufacturing PMI 52.20 51.75 48.85 48.44 49.73 49.7 49.57 [+]
Industrial Production -0.90 4.46 4.39 4.26 4.27 3.97 4.27 [+]
Industrial Production Mom 0.20 -2.38 -2.99 -3.34 0.02 3.86 3.81 [+]
Manufacturing Production 3.19 6.64 6.41 6.23 4.61 4.23 4.3 [+]
Capacity Utilization 98.90 105 105 104 101 101 103 [+]
Leading Economic Index 105.90 106 105 105 106 104 108 [+]
New Orders 841.69 1070 1054 1081 1045 1039 1039 [+]
Machinery Orders 8.84 -2.99 -4.64 -1.78 -4.73 -4.72 -4.72 [+]
Changes in Inventories -5615.30 -4899 -4511 -4159 -3905 -4789 -3736 [+]
Bankruptcies 882.00 791 820 918 859 303 99.76 [+]
Corporate Profits 17455.24 17646 17659 17665 17660 17660 17660 [+]
Coincident Index 109.70 114 114 113 112 113 112 [+]
Economy Watchers Survey 51.30 45.51 42.74 46.27 44.8 44.53 44.49 [+]
Car Registrations 250689.00 132359 160197 403044 246760 221672 236519 [+]
Consumer Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Consumer Confidence 41.50 42.39 41.76 36.91 38.26 46.1 50.6 [+]
Retail Sales MoM -0.49 1.26 0.24 -1.82 0.11 1.09 1.84 [+]
Retail Sales YoY 0.50 -0.8 0.5 -2.4 2.13 3.57 3.51 [+]
Household Spending -5.90 0.3 0.45 -3.17 -3.08 0.45 0.45 [+]
Consumer Spending 305483.20 312783 312612 312469 381047 421118 512335 [+]
Disposable Personal Income 568.87 326 864 353 1051 1159 1410 [+]
Personal Savings 40.20 3.6 44.75 1.1 44.9 0.39 0.05 [+]
Bank Lending Rate 1.15 1.19 1.06 1.1 1.12 1.1 1.07 [+]
Housing Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Housing Index 75757.00 73575 70677 61462 73286 72950 72934 [+]
Housing Starts -14.40 -10 -8 -14.66 -6.46 10 11.36 [+]
Construction Orders 24.40 26.48 22.56 24.25 23.25 23.12 23.12 [+]
Taxes Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Corporate Tax Rate 38.01 35.64 35.64 38 35.64 38 38 [+]
Personal Income Tax Rate 50.84 51 51 52 52 54 54 [+]
Sales Tax Rate 8.00 8 10 5 10 5 5 [+]
Social Security Rate 28.36 29 29 29 29 29 29 [+]
Social Security Rate For Companies 14.42 15 15 15 15 15 15 [+]
Social Security Rate For Employees 13.94 14 14 14 14 14 14 [+]






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This page includes economic forecasts for Japan. 9/2/2014