China | Economic Forecasts | 2014-2030 Outlook

Markets Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Currency 6.14 5.97 5.5 6.13 6.12 4.5 4 [+]
Government Bond 10Y 4.27 4.49 4.37 4.3 4.28 4.02 4.32 [+]
Stock Market 2235.51 2044 2119 2171 2167 3000 5000 [+]
GDP Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
GDP 9240.27 9977 10215 10449 15762 25057 46299 [+]
GDP Growth Rate 2.00 1.95 1.77 1.45 1.48 2.95 2.95 [+]
GDP Annual Growth Rate 7.50 7.58 6 7.21 7.32 4.75 3.5 [+]
Gross National Product 566130.20 626388 637985 649437 841634 1197952 1918751 [+]
GDP per capita 3583.38 3759 3817 3876 5040 7173 12451 [+]
Gross Fixed Capital Formation 269075.40 302956 309662 316350 336271 464092 695422 [+]
GDP per capita PPP 7957.62 8891 9023 9154 11881 16727 28583 [+]
Labour Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Unemployment Rate 4.10 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 5.1 5.6 [+]
Employed Persons 76977.00 77180 77000 77315 207584 344003 711756 [+]
Unemployed Persons 940.00 934 935 938 926 937 930 [+]
Job Vacancies 5705000.00 6180172 6048356 5677634 6001304 5738756 5735535 [+]
Wages 51474.00 54919 51760 57040 60384 78929 100712 [+]
Wages in Manufacturing 46431.00 49938 46747 52048 55185 61815 27121 [+]
Labour Costs 106.00 105 105 104 102 95.69 91.34 [+]
Population 1360.72 1366 1361 1369 1374 1406 1467 [+]
Retirement Age Women 50.00 50 50 50 50 50 50 [+]
Retirement Age Men 60.00 60 60 60 60 60 60 [+]
Prices Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Inflation Rate 2.30 2.14 2.11 1.93 2.07 4.02 3.85 [+]
Inflation Rate Mom 0.10 0.89 0.87 -0.13 0.92 3.91 3.66 [+]
Consumer Price Index (CPI) 102.30 102 102 102 126 140 172 [+]
Core Inflation Rate 1.70 1.72 1.65 1.66 1.64 3.75 3.86 [+]
Core Consumer Prices 101.70 102 102 102 125 139 171 [+]
GDP Deflator 588.21 608 609 611 614 626 630 [+]
Producer Prices 99.13 98.89 99.05 99.38 124 164 357 [+]
Producer Prices Change -0.90 -1.14 -1.14 -1.14 0.1 3.96 3.91 [+]
Export Prices 98.80 97.08 97.79 96.56 98.5 98.24 98.42 [+]
Import Prices 101.30 96.6 96.59 97.08 97.03 96.83 96.85 [+]
Food Inflation 3.60 3.07 2.43 2.45 2.69 2.97 2.97 [+]
Money Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Interest Rate 6.00 6 6 6.01 6.02 6.09 6.24 [+]
Interbank Rate 5.36 5 4.74 4.48 4.69 4.66 4.1 [+]
Money Supply M0 5730.00 6025 6123 6099 7674 8800 10891 [+]
Money Supply M1 33130.00 33604 34545 34727 45011 61871 97557 [+]
Money Supply M2 119420.00 122705 126672 131358 175331 283322 481111 [+]
Central Bank Balance Sheet 329698.60 339209 345028 351179 365634 401504 403896 [+]
Foreign Exchange Reserves 3993212.72 4161527 4279852 4403844 4705143 5215767 4493118 [+]
Banks Balance Sheet 385.20 703 630 1015 637 634 635 [+]
Loans to Private Sector 143557.16 148002 153735 159118 176841 278940 424960 [+]
Loan Growth 13.30 13.07 12.57 12.74 13.32 13.11 13.09 [+]
Trade Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Balance of Trade 473.01 318 1132 1502 327 414 213 [+]
Exports 2128.91 1960 2780 3116 2392 3457 3054 [+]
Imports 1655.91 1641 1647 1614 2062 3037 2836 [+]
Current Account 722.00 508 540 452 525 523 523 [+]
Current Account to GDP 2.00 1.85 1.98 1.8 1.76 0.1 0.05 [+]
External Debt 8631.67 9487 8733 9982 10628 13005 14029 [+]
Terms of Trade 97.53 100 101 100 102 101 101 [+]
Foreign Direct Investment 711.40 708 904 359 936 926 926 [+]
Capital Flows -369.00 -126 -67.41 -206 -163 -55.54 -17.85 [+]
Tourist Arrivals 167.60 178 164 179 164 164 163 [+]
Gold Reserves 1054.09 1054 1054 1054 1054 1054 1054 [+]
Crude Oil Production 4132.00 4171 4137 4171 4131 4133 4133 [+]
Government Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Government Budget -2.10 -2.38 -2.15 -2.45 -2.49 -2.5 -2.5 [+]
Government Debt to GDP 22.40 20.83 22.16 20.35 20.01 19.79 19.79 [+]
Government Budget Value 2405.40 -763 -5356 -400 -5433 -5505 -5506 [+]
Government Spending 79978.10 90327 92524 94723 124365 194929 377239 [+]
Credit Rating 78.82 [+]
Business Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Business Confidence 121.40 124 123 124 120 150 157 [+]
Manufacturing PMI 51.10 51.69 50.31 52.89 50.36 50.34 50.34 [+]
Services PMI 50.00 52.19 50.29 51.8 50.01 50 50 [+]
Industrial Production 9.00 8.58 8.81 8.88 8.89 4.13 3.98 [+]
Industrial Production Mom 0.68 0.68 0.65 0.71 0.61 1.32 1.32 [+]
Non Manufacturing PMI 54.20 55.47 53.17 55.2 53.32 53.3 53.3 [+]
New Orders 53.60 53.21 51.69 56.09 51.5 51.58 51.57 [+]
Changes in Inventories 11280.70 11450 11462 11472 11488 11500 11500 [+]
Car Registrations 1357948.00 1629654 1694896 1718299 2074230 2295288 2820075 [+]
Consumer Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Consumer Confidence 104.40 106 107 107 105 131 137 [+]
Retail Sales MoM 0.86 1.02 0.88 0.83 0.77 3.8 3.55 [+]
Retail Sales YoY 12.20 12.91 13.86 11.97 13.78 7.52 4.47 [+]
Consumer Spending 212187.50 238874 244097 249282 326109 490444 857840 [+]
Disposable Personal Income 26955.00 28734 27154 29907 84744 186080 541635 [+]
Personal Savings 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.1 0.05 [+]
Bank Lending Rate 6.00 6.05 5.94 5.93 5.93 5.94 5.94 [+]
Housing Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Housing Index 2.50 16.32 3.69 2.39 2.37 7.64 2.18 [+]
Taxes Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Corporate Tax Rate 25.00 25 25 25 25 25 25 [+]
Personal Income Tax Rate 45.00 45 45 45 45 45 45 [+]
Sales Tax Rate 17.00 17 17 17 17 17 17 [+]
Social Security Rate 48.00 48 48 48 48 48 48 [+]
Social Security Rate For Companies 37.00 37 37 37 37 37 37 [+]
Social Security Rate For Employees 11.00 11 11 11 11 11 11 [+]






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This page includes economic forecasts for China. 9/2/2014