China | Economic Forecasts | 2014-2030 Outlook

Markets Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Currency 6.20 5.97 5.5 6.2 6.23 4.5 4 [+]
Government Bond 10Y 4.30 4.49 4.38 4.31 4.28 4.02 4.32 [+]
Stock Market 2240.21 2044 2119 2196 2205 3000 5000 [+]
GDP Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
GDP 9240.27 9977 10215 10449 12538 17792 26237 [+]
GDP Growth Rate 2.00 1.95 1.56 1.52 1.48 2.95 2.95 [+]
GDP Annual Growth Rate 7.50 7.58 6 7.21 6 5 4 [+]
Gross National Product 566130.20 626388 637985 649437 1204184 2047468 3557257 [+]
GDP per capita 3583.38 3759 3603 3876 8625 16027 36002 [+]
Gross Fixed Capital Formation 269075.40 302956 309662 316350 336271 464092 695422 [+]
GDP per capita PPP 7957.62 8891 9023 9154 20334 37376 82649 [+]
Labour Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Unemployment Rate 4.10 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.2 5.27 8.47 [+]
Employed Persons 76977.00 77180 77000 77315 165121 244255 403350 [+]
Unemployed Persons 940.00 934 935 938 926 937 930 [+]
Job Vacancies 6291956.00 6180172 6048356 5677634 6001304 5738756 5735535 [+]
Wages 51474.00 54919 51760 57040 60384 78929 100712 [+]
Wages in Manufacturing 46431.00 49938 46747 52048 55185 61815 27121 [+]
Labour Costs 106.00 106 105 105 104 110 109 [+]
Population 1360.72 1366 1361 1369 1374 1406 1467 [+]
Retirement Age Women 50.00 50 50 50 50 50 50 [+]
Retirement Age Men 60.00 60 60 60 60 60 60 [+]
Prices Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Inflation Rate 2.30 2.14 2.11 1.93 2.07 4.02 3.85 [+]
Inflation Rate Mom 0.10 0.89 0.87 -0.13 0.92 3.91 3.66 [+]
Consumer Price Index (CPI) 102.30 102 102 102 118 126 145 [+]
Core Inflation Rate 1.70 1.72 1.65 1.66 1.64 3.75 3.86 [+]
Core Consumer Prices 101.70 102 102 102 122 133 155 [+]
GDP Deflator 588.21 608 609 611 614 626 630 [+]
Producer Prices 99.13 98.88 99.03 99.36 117 150 307 [+]
Producer Prices Change -0.90 -1.14 -1.14 -1.14 0.1 3.96 3.91 [+]
Export Prices 98.80 97.08 97.79 96.56 98.5 98.24 98.42 [+]
Import Prices 101.30 96.6 96.59 97.08 97.03 96.83 96.85 [+]
Food Inflation 3.60 3.07 2.43 2.45 2.69 2.97 2.97 [+]
Money Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Interest Rate 6.00 6 6 6.01 6.02 6.09 6.24 [+]
Interbank Rate 4.27 4.75 4.73 4.48 4.93 4.46 4.27 [+]
Money Supply M0 5730.00 6138 6277 6287 11483 16486 22480 [+]
Money Supply M1 33130.00 33651 34626 34816 64636 106628 183247 [+]
Money Supply M2 119420.00 122818 126922 131641 251706 493841 951232 [+]
Central Bank Balance Sheet 329698.60 339209 345028 351179 365634 401504 403896 [+]
Foreign Exchange Reserves 3993212.72 4161527 4279852 4399635 4705143 5215767 4493118 [+]
Banks Balance Sheet 385.20 703 630 1099 637 634 635 [+]
Loans to Private Sector 141856.95 148132 154058 159315 177255 273925 315213 [+]
Loan Growth 13.30 13.09 12.64 12.89 13.54 13.27 13.21 [+]
Trade Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Balance of Trade 473.00 318 1132 344 391 18753 11089 [+]
Exports 2128.91 1960 2780 1958 2833 21026 12593 [+]
Imports 1655.91 1641 1647 1614 2442 2273 1504 [+]
Current Account 722.00 64.76 147 150 282 235 235 [+]
Current Account to GDP 2.00 1.85 1.98 1.8 1.76 0.1 0.05 [+]
External Debt 8631.67 9487 8733 9982 10628 13005 14029 [+]
Terms of Trade 97.53 100 101 100 102 101 101 [+]
Foreign Direct Investment 711.40 678 871 324 901 893 893 [+]
Capital Flows -369.00 1044 1016 1035 1029 16603 213982 [+]
Tourist Arrivals 171.60 178 164 179 164 164 163 [+]
Gold Reserves 1054.09 1054 1054 1054 1054 1054 1054 [+]
Crude Oil Production 4132.00 4171 4137 4171 4131 4133 4133 [+]
Government Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Government Budget -2.10 -2.38 -2.15 -2.45 -2.49 -2.5 -2.5 [+]
Government Debt to GDP 22.40 20.83 22.16 20.35 20.01 19.79 19.79 [+]
Government Budget Value 2406.00 -1724 -6202 -1027 -6235 -6232 -6232 [+]
Government Spending 79978.10 90327 92524 94723 177938 333160 699380 [+]
Credit Rating 78.82 [+]
Business Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Business Confidence 124.30 124 123 123 120 150 157 [+]
Manufacturing PMI 51.70 50.42 50.63 50.59 50.59 50.34 50.34 [+]
Services PMI 50.00 52.19 50.29 51.8 50.01 50 50 [+]
Industrial Production 9.00 8.58 8.81 8.67 8.89 4.13 3.98 [+]
Industrial Production Mom 0.68 0.67 0.65 0.72 0.62 1.32 1.32 [+]
Non Manufacturing PMI 54.20 55.47 53.17 55.2 53.32 53.3 53.3 [+]
New Orders 53.60 51.46 49.77 54.32 50.45 50.16 50.19 [+]
Changes in Inventories 11280.70 11450 11462 11472 11488 11500 11500 [+]
Car Registrations 1357900.00 1691554 1772607 1805641 3144666 4132837 5507620 [+]
Consumer Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Consumer Confidence 104.70 106 107 107 105 131 137 [+]
Retail Sales MoM 0.86 1.1 0.99 0.96 0.94 3.95 3.7 [+]
Retail Sales YoY 12.20 12.91 13.86 11.94 13.78 6.32 4.47 [+]
Consumer Spending 212187.50 238874 244097 249282 466586 838237 1590387 [+]
Disposable Personal Income 26955.00 28734 27154 29907 67409 132124 306943 [+]
Personal Savings 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.1 0.05 [+]
Bank Lending Rate 6.00 6.05 5.94 5.93 5.93 5.94 5.94 [+]
Housing Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Housing Index 2.50 16.32 3.69 2.39 2.37 7.64 2.18 [+]
Taxes Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Corporate Tax Rate 25.00 25 25 25 25 25 25 [+]
Personal Income Tax Rate 45.00 45 45 45 45 45 45 [+]
Sales Tax Rate 17.00 17 17 17 17 17 17 [+]
Social Security Rate 48.00 48 48 48 48 48 48 [+]
Social Security Rate For Companies 37.00 37 37 37 37 37 37 [+]
Social Security Rate For Employees 11.00 11 11 11 11 11 11 [+]






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This page includes economic forecasts for China. 8/21/2014