China | Economic Forecasts | 2014-2050 Outlook


Markets Actual Q1/15 Q2/15 2020 2030 2050
Currency 6.21 6.33 6.46 5.5 4 3.54 [+]
Government Bond 10Y 3.50 3.4 3.2 5 5 4 [+]
Stock Market 3660.72 3200 3100 3000 6000 8651 [+]
GDP Actual Q1/15 Q2/15 2020 2030 2050
GDP 9240.27 10183 10354 12040 16333 21702 [+]
GDP Growth Rate 1.50 1.4 1.37 1.91 1.55 1.8 [+]
GDP Annual Growth Rate 7.30 7.2 7.3 5 3 3.33 [+]
Gross National Product 566130.20 646252 657127 864553 1120886 1367962 [+]
GDP per capita 3583.38 3880 3939 5195 7301 10904 [+]
Gross Fixed Capital Formation 269075.40 309708 316417 465871 704858 1112527 [+]
GDP per capita PPP 11524.57 12477 12665 16665 23252 34146 [+]
Labour Actual Q1/15 Q2/15 2020 2030 2050
Unemployment Rate 4.10 4.12 4.13 4.09 4.09 4.09 [+]
Employed Persons 77253.00 77296 77372 78806 81409 86614 [+]
Unemployed Persons 952.00 957 962 978 1201 1401 [+]
Job Vacancies 4940000.00 4767030 5001314 5059022 5673011 5440874 [+]
Wages 52388.00 58211 59418 83972 123168 183894 [+]
Wages in Manufacturing 46431.00 52334 53498 77786 116049 174176 [+]
Labour Costs 105.90 106 106 107 108 112 [+]
Population 1360.72 1366 1367 1395 1410 1576 [+]
Retirement Age Women 50.00 50 50 53 55 57 [+]
Retirement Age Men 60.00 60 60 62 63 65 [+]
Minimum Wages 1850.00 1923 1951 2814 4212 4522 [+]
Prices Actual Q1/15 Q2/15 2020 2030 2050
Inflation Rate 1.40 0.7 0.9 2.33 2.23 3.24 [+]
Inflation Rate Mom 1.20 -0.85 -1.14 0.04 0.04 0.04 [+]
Consumer Price Index CPI 101.40 101 102 102 102 102 [+]
Core Inflation Rate 1.60 1.3 1.24 1.29 1.29 1.29 [+]
Core Consumer Prices 101.60 102 102 102 102 102 [+]
GDP Deflator 2.00 655 658 872 943 1007 [+]
Producer Prices 95.20 95.08 95.73 102 111 121 [+]
Producer Prices Change -4.80 -3.96 -4.6 0.23 0.11 0.37 [+]
Export Prices 100.40 100 100 99.59 99.59 99.59 [+]
Import Prices 90.40 89.95 92.97 100 100 100 [+]
Food Inflation 2.40 1.94 1.85 2.51 2.49 2.49 [+]
Money Actual Q1/15 Q2/15 2020 2030 2050
Interest Rate 5.35 5.35 5.35 5.7 5.9 6.35 [+]
Interbank Rate 4.75 4.84 5.06 4.92 4.51 3.68 [+]
Money Supply M0 7290.00 6834 6355 6252 6206 6118 [+]
Money Supply M1 33440.00 33866 35066 35956 35901 35621 [+]
Money Supply M2 125740.00 127454 130165 195111 301351 473147 [+]
Central Bank Balance Sheet 338868.05 344512 349107 431486 521247 589503 [+]
Foreign Exchange Reserves 3843017.94 3889710 3868911 3541909 3442842 3342842 [+]
Banks Balance Sheet 1020.00 997 927 890 890 890 [+]
Loans to Private Sector 844973.39 858226 897046 1557837 2191741 2576162 [+]
Loan Growth 13.80 13.22 13.37 8.9 5.96 6.96 [+]
Trade Actual Q1/15 Q2/15 2020 2030 2050
Balance of Trade 606.19 612 765 1173 1170 724 [+]
Exports 1691.90 2079 2147 3523 4023 4523 [+]
Imports 1085.72 1467 1382 2350 2853 3800 [+]
Current Account 2.00 -7.1 -21.46 78.34 82.81 82.81 [+]
Current Account to GDP 2.00 1.73 1.72 0.5 -0.5 0.5 [+]
External Debt 8631.67 10011 10249 13401 14826 15063 [+]
Terms of Trade 111.06 106 107 107 107 107 [+]
Foreign Direct Investment 2248.00 1653 675 921 921 921 [+]
Capital Flows -912.00 -813 -720 1773 2773 2373 [+]
Tourist Arrivals 161.00 189 183 222 269 396 [+]
Gold Reserves 1054.09 1054 1054 1054 1054 1054 [+]
Crude Oil Production 4225.00 4228 4220 4183 4117 4175 [+]
Government Actual Q1/15 Q2/15 2020 2030 2050
Government Budget -2.10 -2.5 -2.8 -2.1 -2 -1.5 [+]
Government Debt to GDP 22.40 25.52 25.32 30.72 32.72 35.72 [+]
Government Budget Value -1214.64 -3336 -3451 -8280 -8279 -8279 [+]
Government Spending 79978.10 94721 96788 139915 207862 311099 [+]
Credit Rating 78.82 [+]
Business Actual Q1/15 Q2/15 2020 2030 2050
Business Confidence 115.10 116 118 116 126 132 [+]
Manufacturing PMI 49.90 50.1 49.98 52.26 53.96 52.96 [+]
Services PMI 52.00 53.72 53.13 55.1 54.3 53.1 [+]
Industrial Production 6.80 7.57 6.99 5.29 4.29 3.29 [+]
Industrial Production Mom 0.45 0.72 0.67 0.64 0.64 0.64 [+]
Non Manufacturing PMI 53.90 53.87 52.67 51.81 53.58 53.58 [+]
New Orders 50.40 54.58 50.33 51.04 51.02 51.02 [+]
Changes in Inventories 11280.70 11462 11472 11501 11501 11501 [+]
Car Registrations 1396700.00 1895878 1807195 2296354 2496564 2656564 [+]
Corporate Profits 72234.00 72992 72409 76690 85690 100690 [+]
Leading Economic Index 98.77 98.72 98.97 98.87 98.87 98.87 [+]
Manufacturing Production 7.50 [+]
Total Vehicle Sales 1593300.00 2292129 1956492 2947118 3927714 4287133 [+]
Consumer Actual Q1/15 Q2/15 2020 2030 2050
Consumer Confidence 109.80 106 106 109 116 113 [+]
Retail Sales MoM 0.93 1.15 1.14 1.22 1.22 1.22 [+]
Retail Sales YoY 10.70 10.53 10.48 8.48 7.46 6.85 [+]
Consumer Spending 212187.50 249228 254401 361179 524566 759411 [+]
Disposable Personal Income 28844.00 29314 29781 39318 53524 72926 [+]
Personal Savings 0.35 0.35 0.35 2.35 3.35 3.55 [+]
Bank Lending Rate 5.35 5.57 5.38 3.56 3.24 2.54 [+]
Consumer Credit 153659.68 159945 166066 291281 465561 675207 [+]
Housing Actual Q1/15 Q2/15 2020 2030 2050
Housing Index -5.70 -5.38 -5.9 2.33 3.21 2.83 [+]
Taxes Actual Q1/15 Q2/15 2020 2030 2050
Corporate Tax Rate 25.00 24.99 24.99 24.98 24.98 24.98 [+]
Personal Income Tax Rate 45.00 45 45 45 45 45 [+]
Sales Tax Rate 17.00 17 17 17 17 17 [+]
Social Security Rate 48.00 48 48 48 48 48 [+]
Social Security Rate For Companies 37.00 37 37 37 37 37 [+]
Social Security Rate For Employees 11.00 11 11 11 11 11 [+]