China | Economic Forecasts | 2014-2050 Outlook


Markets Last Q4/14 Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15 2020 2030 2050
Currency 6.12 5.5 6.15 6.15 6.15 4.5 4 6.27 [+]
Government Bond 10Y 3.84 4.08 3.99 4 4.12 4.1 4.1 4.1 [+]
Stock Market 2356.72 2119 2119 2171 2166 3000 5000 5000 [+]
GDP Last Q4/14 Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15 2020 2030 2050
GDP 9240.27 9976 10213 10446 10675 11232 15036 19729 [+]
GDP Growth Rate 1.90 1.95 1.56 1.52 1.72 1.48 2.45 2.5 [+]
GDP Annual Growth Rate 7.30 6 6 7.21 7.23 5 4 4 [+]
Gross National Product 566130.20 626388 637985 649437 660743 689757 889444 1170958 [+]
GDP per capita 3583.38 3759 3817 3875 3933 4089 5240 7379 [+]
Gross Fixed Capital Formation 269075.40 302905 309600 316271 322918 336144 463392 692496 [+]
GDP per capita PPP 11524.57 12098 12287 12477 12665 13171 16915 23834 [+]
Labour Last Q4/14 Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15 2020 2030 2050
Unemployment Rate 4.10 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 5.1 5.6 [+]
Employed Persons 76977.00 77180 77248 77315 77381 78289 79964 83054 [+]
Unemployed Persons 940.00 940 939 940 940 940 940 940 [+]
Job Vacancies 5705000.00 6180172 6048356 5677634 5984315 6001304 5738756 5735535 [+]
Wages 51474.00 54919 55977 57040 58210 60384 78929 100712 [+]
Wages in Manufacturing 46431.00 49938 50998 52048 53170 55736 62742 27799 [+]
Labour Costs 106.00 105 105 104 103 103 97.13 93.62 [+]
Population 1360.72 1366 1361 1369 1369 1374 1406 1467 [+]
Retirement Age Women 50.00 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 [+]
Retirement Age Men 60.00 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 [+]
Prices Last Q4/14 Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15 2020 2030 2050
Inflation Rate 1.60 1.79 1.55 1.4 1.52 1.9 1.88 3.72 [+]
Inflation Rate Mom 0.50 0.48 -0.55 -0.75 0.96 0.49 0.49 0.72 [+]
Consumer Price Index CPI 101.60 101 101 101 101 102 102 107 [+]
Core Inflation Rate 1.50 1.52 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.53 1.54 1.61 [+]
Core Consumer Prices 101.50 101 101 101 101 102 103 106 [+]
GDP Deflator 588.21 608 609 611 612 614 626 630 [+]
Producer Prices 98.20 98.02 98.69 99.65 101 103 103 107 [+]
Producer Prices Change -1.80 -1.29 -1.21 -1.23 -1.18 0.12 0.36 0.62 [+]
Export Prices 98.80 97.05 97.28 97.4 97.47 98.32 98.76 99.73 [+]
Import Prices 101.30 108 109 109 106 104 106 107 [+]
Food Inflation 2.30 1.94 1.85 1.61 1.99 2.51 2.49 2.72 [+]
Money Last Q4/14 Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15 2020 2030 2050
Interest Rate 6.00 6 6 6 6 6 6.1 6.25 [+]
Interbank Rate 5.36 5 4.74 4.48 4.47 4.69 4.66 4.1 [+]
Money Supply M0 5730.00 5949 5958 5908 5911 5978 6006 6065 [+]
Money Supply M1 33130.00 33680 34334 34479 34921 35905 39532 40988 [+]
Money Supply M2 119420.00 122417 125699 129211 132429 140442 207223 330669 [+]
Central Bank Balance Sheet 329698.60 332412 335704 339366 343107 350524 411994 483436 [+]
Foreign Exchange Reserves 3993212.72 4161527 4279852 4403844 4503355 4705143 5215767 4493118 [+]
Banks Balance Sheet 857.20 744 772 781 771 775 775 775 [+]
Loans to Private Sector 778259.41 777103 793077 734124 739841 707925 712988 712945 [+]
Loan Growth 13.30 13.07 12.57 12.74 13.08 13.32 13.11 13.09 [+]
Trade Last Q4/14 Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15 2020 2030 2050
Balance of Trade 309.43 381 433 418 510 529 490 495 [+]
Exports 2136.87 2007 2128 2088 2150 2242 2210 2232 [+]
Imports 1827.45 1626 1695 1669 1640 1714 1720 1737 [+]
Current Account 734.41 518 550 461 462 533 531 531 [+]
Current Account to GDP 2.00 1.85 1.83 1.8 1.79 1.76 1.73 1.73 [+]
External Debt 8631.67 9487 9742 9982 10210 10628 13005 14029 [+]
Terms of Trade 97.53 100 101 100 101 102 101 101 [+]
Foreign Direct Investment 873.60 588 501 660 683 621 622 622 [+]
Capital Flows -369.00 -126 -67.41 -206 -158 -163 -15.4 -1.28 [+]
Tourist Arrivals 167.60 176 162 177 169 163 163 163 [+]
Gold Reserves 1054.09 1054 1054 1054 1054 1054 1054 1054 [+]
Crude Oil Production 4259.00 4219 4221 4212 4213 4206 4144 4037 [+]
Government Last Q4/14 Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15 2020 2030 2050
Government Budget -2.10 -2.38 -2.42 -2.45 -2.47 -2.49 -2.5 -2.5 [+]
Government Debt to GDP 22.40 20.83 22.16 20.35 20.35 20.01 19.79 19.79 [+]
Government Budget Value 2405.40 -763 -5356 -400 -673 -5433 -5505 -5506 [+]
Government Spending 79978.10 90522 92594 94653 96700 101766 140887 207695 [+]
Credit Rating 78.82 [+]
Business Last Q4/14 Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15 2020 2030 2050
Business Confidence 121.40 123 123 124 123 122 122 122 [+]
Manufacturing PMI 51.10 50.73 51.33 51.27 51.31 51.3 51.29 51.29 [+]
Services PMI 53.50 53.04 51.63 53.34 52.62 52.04 52 52 [+]
Industrial Production 8.00 8.58 8 7.96 7.69 8 8.12 8.13 [+]
Industrial Production Mom 0.20 0.53 0.46 0.49 0.44 0.3 0.31 0.31 [+]
Non Manufacturing PMI 54.00 55.02 51.83 53.7 52.48 51.97 51.98 51.98 [+]
New Orders 53.60 53.21 51.69 56.09 50.94 51.5 51.58 51.57 [+]
Changes in Inventories 11280.70 11450 11462 11472 11479 11488 11500 11500 [+]
Car Registrations 1357948.00 1629654 1694896 1718299 1577084 2660059 3330337 5228261 [+]
Consumer Last Q4/14 Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15 2020 2030 2050
Consumer Confidence 103.80 106 107 107 106 105 105 106 [+]
Retail Sales MoM 0.92 1 0.85 0.79 0.77 0.71 0.73 0.73 [+]
Retail Sales YoY 11.60 12.91 13.84 11.95 12.15 13.8 13.84 13.84 [+]
Consumer Spending 212187.50 244077 249254 254393 254430 269874 369089 534208 [+]
Disposable Personal Income 26955.00 28731 29317 29899 30479 31945 43107 62476 [+]
Personal Savings 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.1 0.05 [+]
Bank Lending Rate 6.00 6.05 5.94 5.93 5.94 5.93 5.94 5.94 [+]
Housing Last Q4/14 Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15 2020 2030 2050
Housing Index 0.50 1.48 0.32 -0.2 0.55 1.98 2.01 2.01 [+]
Taxes Last Q4/14 Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15 2020 2030 2050
Corporate Tax Rate 25.00 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 [+]
Personal Income Tax Rate 45.00 45 45 45 45 45 45 45 [+]
Sales Tax Rate 17.00 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 [+]
Social Security Rate 48.00 48 48 48 48 48 48 48 [+]
Social Security Rate For Companies 37.00 37 37 37 37 37 37 37 [+]
Social Security Rate For Employees 11.00 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 [+]





This page includes economic forecasts for China. 10/22/2014