China | Economic Forecasts | 2014-2050 Outlook


Markets Actual Q4/14 Q1/15 2020 2030 2050
Currency 6.13 6.05 6.13 4.5 4 6.27 [+]
Government Bond 10Y 3.55 3.85 3.67 3.81 3.81 3.81 [+]
Stock Market 2630.48 2419 2560 3000 6000 2639 [+]
GDP Actual Q4/14 Q1/15 2020 2030 2050
GDP 9240.27 9324 10452 14949 19768 23709 [+]
GDP Growth Rate 1.90 1.83 1.5 1.67 1.67 1.67 [+]
GDP Annual Growth Rate 7.30 7.2 7.41 5 3.5 7.28 [+]
Gross National Product 566130.20 637985 650140 886799 1184808 1511026 [+]
GDP per capita 3583.38 3603 3880 5195 7301 10904 [+]
Gross Fixed Capital Formation 269075.40 309600 316417 465871 704858 1112527 [+]
GDP per capita PPP 11524.57 11589 12477 16665 23252 34146 [+]
Labour Actual Q4/14 Q1/15 2020 2030 2050
Unemployment Rate 4.10 4.1 4.14 4.11 4.11 4.12 [+]
Employed Persons 76977.00 76998 77179 77274 77274 77274 [+]
Unemployed Persons 947.00 945 945 945 945 945 [+]
Job Vacancies 5540000.00 5450545 4944198 5382957 5386427 5386408 [+]
Wages 51474.00 51796 57163 82576 121291 181096 [+]
Wages in Manufacturing 46431.00 46829 52343 78042 117394 179263 [+]
Labour Costs 105.70 105 105 99.51 97.14 96.71 [+]
Population 1360.72 1361 1369 1406 1467 1576 [+]
Retirement Age Women 50.00 50 50 50 50 50 [+]
Retirement Age Men 60.00 60 60 60 60 60 [+]
Prices Actual Q4/14 Q1/15 2020 2030 2050
Inflation Rate 1.60 1.59 1.24 1.75 1.72 1.73 [+]
Inflation Rate Mom 0.00 0.44 -0.6 0.42 0.42 0.42 [+]
Consumer Price Index CPI 101.60 102 101 101 101 101 [+]
Core Inflation Rate 1.40 1.42 1.38 1.43 1.44 1.44 [+]
Core Consumer Prices 101.40 101 101 101 101 101 [+]
GDP Deflator 598.23 627 609 610 599 587 [+]
Producer Prices 97.80 97.72 98.33 102 102 102 [+]
Producer Prices Change -2.20 -1.6 -1.58 0.09 0.34 0.59 [+]
Export Prices 102.10 104 105 107 107 107 [+]
Import Prices 99.00 102 105 104 104 104 [+]
Food Inflation 2.50 1.94 1.85 2.51 2.49 2.49 [+]
Money Actual Q4/14 Q1/15 2020 2030 2050
Interest Rate 5.60 5.8 5.8 5.95 6.1 6.35 [+]
Interbank Rate 6.40 4.66 3.85 4.56 4.25 4.75 [+]
Money Supply M0 5769.16 5696 6112 5868 5878 5890 [+]
Money Supply M1 32961.77 33647 33430 35549 36039 36073 [+]
Money Supply M2 119923.63 122579 126330 190027 287814 440446 [+]
Central Bank Balance Sheet 336261.61 339536 344261 435117 529776 603796 [+]
Foreign Exchange Reserves 3887700.00 4075838 4131975 4119692 4131934 4131875 [+]
Banks Balance Sheet 548.30 548 548 548 548 548 [+]
Loans to Private Sector 799325.03 814554 836128 1251385 1710143 2106860 [+]
Loan Growth 12.86 12.41 12.4 12.61 12.69 12.71 [+]
Trade Actual Q4/14 Q1/15 2020 2030 2050
Balance of Trade 454.05 454 454 454 454 454 [+]
Exports 2068.67 2069 2069 2069 2069 2069 [+]
Imports 1614.61 1615 1615 1615 1615 1615 [+]
Current Account 815.00 930 900 881 880 880 [+]
Current Account to GDP 2.00 1.95 1.72 1.77 1.77 1.77 [+]
External Debt 8631.67 8733 9990 13111 14235 14380 [+]
Terms of Trade 103.13 103 102 103 103 103 [+]
Foreign Direct Investment 958.80 636 477 636 636 636 [+]
Capital Flows -816.00 -869 -753 -796 -796 -796 [+]
Tourist Arrivals 203.70 164 179 164 163 163 [+]
Gold Reserves 1054.09 1054 1054 1054 1054 1054 [+]
Crude Oil Production 4084.00 4228 4220 4183 4117 4175 [+]
Government Actual Q4/14 Q1/15 2020 2030 2050
Government Budget -2.10 -2.15 -2.51 -2.68 -2.68 -2.68 [+]
Government Debt to GDP 22.40 22.16 20.32 19.72 19.72 19.72 [+]
Government Budget Value 3370.00 -4839 305 -5102 -5100 -5100 [+]
Government Spending 79978.10 92594 94735 140146 208972 315134 [+]
Credit Rating 78.82 [+]
Business Actual Q4/14 Q1/15 2020 2030 2050
Business Confidence 119.00 120 120 119 119 119 [+]
Manufacturing PMI 50.80 50.98 50.94 50.9 50.9 50.9 [+]
Services PMI 52.90 51.68 53.43 52.35 52.35 52.35 [+]
Industrial Production 7.70 7.82 7.64 7.7 7.71 7.71 [+]
Industrial Production Mom 0.52 0.57 0.62 0.44 0.44 0.44 [+]
Non Manufacturing PMI 53.80 51.24 52.98 51.6 51.58 51.58 [+]
New Orders 51.60 52.2 56.84 52.11 52.09 52.09 [+]
Changes in Inventories 11280.70 11462 11472 11501 11501 11501 [+]
Car Registrations 1708861.00 1721786 1751149 1735850 1735814 1735814 [+]
Corporate Profits 72003.00 68624 69068 69488 69488 69488 [+]
Leading Economic Index 99.65 99.53 99.6 99.61 99.61 99.61 [+]
Manufacturing Production 8.50 [+]
Total Vehicle Sales 1987178.00 1892129 1956492 1947118 1927714 1887133 [+]
Consumer Actual Q4/14 Q1/15 2020 2030 2050
Consumer Confidence 105.40 107 107 105 106 106 [+]
Retail Sales MoM 0.98 0.8 0.72 0.16 0.29 0.49 [+]
Retail Sales YoY 11.50 13.16 11.04 12.46 12.87 14.07 [+]
Consumer Spending 212187.50 244077 249501 362216 526531 762207 [+]
Disposable Personal Income 26955.00 27154 29908 42705 62166 92375 [+]
Personal Savings 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 [+]
Bank Lending Rate 5.60 5.88 5.84 5.87 5.86 5.86 [+]
Consumer Credit 148943.71 152670 158458 271674 418664 588243 [+]
Housing Actual Q4/14 Q1/15 2020 2030 2050
Housing Index -2.60 -2.5 -4.88 -3.1 -3.14 -3.14 [+]
Taxes Actual Q4/14 Q1/15 2020 2030 2050
Corporate Tax Rate 25.00 25 24.99 24.98 24.98 24.98 [+]
Personal Income Tax Rate 45.00 45 45 45 45 45 [+]
Sales Tax Rate 17.00 17 17 17 17 17 [+]
Social Security Rate 48.00 48 48 48 48 48 [+]
Social Security Rate For Companies 37.00 37 37 37 37 37 [+]
Social Security Rate For Employees 11.00 11 11 11 11 11 [+]





This page includes economic forecasts for China. 11/29/2014