China | Economic Forecasts | 2014-2030 Outlook

Markets Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Currency 6.20 5.97 5.5 6.2 6.2 4.5 4 [+]
Government Bond 10Y 4.30 4.64 4.57 4.5 4.43 4.17 4.47 [+]
Stock Market 2183.19 2044 2119 2195 2222 3000 5000 [+]
GDP Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
GDP 9240.27 9977 9324 10449 15147 23609 41944 [+]
GDP Growth Rate 2.00 1.95 1.56 1.52 1.48 2.95 2.95 [+]
GDP Annual Growth Rate 7.50 7.58 6 7.21 6 5 4 [+]
Gross National Product 566130.20 626388 637985 649437 769540 1047720 1536398 [+]
GDP per capita 3583.38 3759 3603 3876 5512 8201 15550 [+]
Gross Fixed Capital Formation 269075.40 302956 309662 316350 336271 464092 695422 [+]
GDP per capita PPP 7957.62 8891 9023 9154 12994 19126 35696 [+]
Labour Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Unemployment Rate 4.10 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.2 5.27 8.47 [+]
Employed Persons 76977.00 77180 77000 77315 105522 124989 174209 [+]
Unemployed Persons 940.00 934 935 938 926 937 930 [+]
Job Vacancies 6291956.00 6180172 6048356 5677634 6001304 5738756 5735535 [+]
Wages 51474.00 54919 51760 57040 60384 78929 100712 [+]
Wages in Manufacturing 46431.00 49938 46747 52048 55185 61815 27121 [+]
Labour Costs 106.90 106 105 105 104 110 109 [+]
Population 1360.72 1366 1361 1369 1374 1406 1467 [+]
Retirement Age Women 50.00 50 50 50 50 50 50 [+]
Retirement Age Men 60.00 60 60 60 60 60 60 [+]
Prices Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Inflation Rate 2.30 2.14 2.1 1.92 2.06 4.01 3.84 [+]
Inflation Rate Mom -0.10 0.89 0.75 -0.26 0.78 3.78 3.53 [+]
Consumer Price Index (CPI) 102.30 102 102 102 115 122 137 [+]
Core Inflation Rate 1.70 1.74 1.68 1.7 1.67 3.78 3.89 [+]
Core Consumer Prices 101.70 102 102 102 115 122 137 [+]
GDP Deflator 588.21 608 609 611 614 626 630 [+]
Producer Prices 98.89 98.67 98.6 98.56 111 118 132 [+]
Producer Prices Change -1.10 -1.31 -1.38 -1.42 0.08 3.94 3.89 [+]
Export Prices 98.80 97.08 97.79 96.56 98.5 98.24 98.42 [+]
Import Prices 101.30 96.6 96.59 97.08 97.03 96.83 96.85 [+]
Food Inflation 3.70 3.1 2.47 2.49 2.71 2.99 2.98 [+]
Money Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Interest Rate 6.00 6 6.01 6.01 6.02 6.1 6.25 [+]
Interbank Rate 4.82 4.75 4.73 4.48 4.93 4.46 4.27 [+]
Money Supply M0 5700.00 6138 6277 6287 7338 8436 9709 [+]
Money Supply M1 34150.00 33651 34626 34816 41306 54563 79145 [+]
Money Supply M2 120960.00 122818 126922 131641 160854 252706 410842 [+]
Central Bank Balance Sheet 329023.22 341252 347889 354474 370973 410240 411484 [+]
Foreign Exchange Reserves 3990000.00 4153842 4272441 4399635 4736061 6996342 11496128 [+]
Banks Balance Sheet 1080.00 798 728 1099 687 704 703 [+]
Loans to Private Sector 141856.95 148132 154058 159315 177255 273925 315213 [+]
Loan Growth 13.70 13.09 12.64 12.89 13.54 13.27 13.21 [+]
Trade Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Balance of Trade 315.65 345 547 193 2070 633 -393 [+]
Exports 1867.89 1980 2187 1796 4061 2251 2519 [+]
Imports 1552.24 1635 1640 1603 1991 1618 2912 [+]
Current Account 70.39 64.76 147 150 282 235 235 [+]
Current Account to GDP 2.00 1.85 1.98 1.8 1.76 0.36 0.07 [+]
External Debt 8631.67 9487 8733 9982 10628 13005 14029 [+]
Terms of Trade 97.53 100 101 100 102 101 101 [+]
Foreign Direct Investment 633.30 678 871 324 901 893 893 [+]
Capital Flows 939.72 1044 1016 1035 1029 1848 3229 [+]
Tourist Arrivals 171.60 178 164 179 164 164 163 [+]
Gold Reserves 1054.09 1054 1054 1054 1054 1054 1054 [+]
Crude Oil Production 4154.00 4193 4162 4198 4154 4155 4155 [+]
Government Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Government Budget -2.10 -2.38 -2.15 -2.45 -2.49 -2.5 -2.5 [+]
Government Debt to GDP 22.40 20.83 22.16 20.35 20.01 19.79 19.79 [+]
Government Budget Value -3061.00 -1724 -6202 -1027 -6235 -6232 -6232 [+]
Government Spending 79978.10 90327 92524 94723 113712 170483 302066 [+]
Credit Rating 78.82 [+]
Business Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Business Confidence 124.30 124 123 123 120 150 157 [+]
Manufacturing PMI 51.00 50.51 50.52 50.5 50.5 49.63 49.64 [+]
Services PMI 53.10 52.57 50.73 52.31 50.71 50.7 50.7 [+]
Industrial Production 9.20 8.38 8.6 8.67 8.72 3.97 4.37 [+]
Industrial Production Mom 0.77 0.67 0.65 0.72 0.62 1.32 1.32 [+]
Non Manufacturing PMI 55.00 56.3 54.11 56.09 53.99 54.05 54.04 [+]
New Orders 52.80 51.46 49.77 54.32 50.45 50.16 50.19 [+]
Changes in Inventories 11280.70 11450 11462 11472 11488 11500 11500 [+]
Car Registrations 1564117.00 1691554 1772607 1805641 2009614 2114835 2378771 [+]
Consumer Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Consumer Confidence 104.70 106 107 107 105 131 137 [+]
Retail Sales MoM 0.96 1.1 0.99 0.96 0.94 3.95 3.7 [+]
Retail Sales YoY 12.40 12.85 13.8 11.94 13.79 8.43 4.48 [+]
Consumer Spending 212187.50 238874 244097 249282 298174 428938 686896 [+]
Disposable Personal Income 26955.00 28734 27154 29907 43078 67610 132570 [+]
Personal Savings 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.1 0.05 [+]
Bank Lending Rate 6.00 6.07 5.97 5.97 5.97 5.97 5.97 [+]
Housing Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Housing Index 4.20 16.32 6.44 5.74 6.28 6.49 6.49 [+]
Taxes Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Corporate Tax Rate 25.00 25 25 25 25 25 25 [+]
Personal Income Tax Rate 45.00 45 45 45 45 45 45 [+]
Sales Tax Rate 17.00 17 17 17 17 17 17 [+]
Social Security Rate 48.00 48 48 48 48 48 48 [+]
Social Security Rate For Companies 37.00 37 37 37 37 37 37 [+]
Social Security Rate For Employees 11.00 11 11 11 11 11 11 [+]






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This page includes economic forecasts for China. 7/31/2014