China | Economic Forecasts | 2014-2030 Outlook

Markets Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Currency 6.15 5.5 6.17 6.18 6.2 4.5 4 [+]
Government Bond 10Y 4.32 4.26 4.19 4.19 4.21 4.24 4.24 [+]
Stock Market 2339.14 2119 2119 2171 2167 3000 5000 [+]
GDP Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
GDP 9240.27 9977 10215 10449 19816 35290 81699 [+]
GDP Growth Rate 2.00 1.95 1.77 1.45 1.48 2.95 2.95 [+]
GDP Annual Growth Rate 7.50 6 6 7.21 7.32 4.75 3.5 [+]
Gross National Product 566130.20 637985 649437 660743 761921 1032236 1498925 [+]
GDP per capita 3583.38 3817 3876 3934 4517 6089 9490 [+]
Gross Fixed Capital Formation 269075.40 309662 316350 323011 336271 464092 695422 [+]
GDP per capita PPP 7957.62 9023 9154 9285 10649 14200 21784 [+]
Labour Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Unemployment Rate 4.10 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 5.1 5.6 [+]
Employed Persons 76977.00 77180 77000 77315 260967 484486 1255973 [+]
Unemployed Persons 940.00 934 935 938 926 937 930 [+]
Job Vacancies 5705000.00 6180172 6048356 5677634 6001304 5738756 5735535 [+]
Wages 51474.00 54919 51760 57040 60384 78929 100712 [+]
Wages in Manufacturing 46431.00 49938 46747 52048 55185 61815 27121 [+]
Labour Costs 106.00 105 105 104 102 95.69 91.34 [+]
Population 1360.72 1366 1361 1369 1374 1406 1467 [+]
Retirement Age Women 50.00 50 50 50 50 50 50 [+]
Retirement Age Men 60.00 60 60 60 60 60 60 [+]
Prices Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Inflation Rate 2.00 1.98 1.78 1.66 1.89 3.89 3.72 [+]
Inflation Rate Mom 0.20 0.67 -0.33 -0.52 0.73 4.02 4.02 [+]
Consumer Price Index CPI 102.00 102 102 102 103 103 104 [+]
Core Inflation Rate 1.60 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.59 4.01 3.81 [+]
Core Consumer Prices 101.60 101 101 101 113 119 133 [+]
GDP Deflator 588.21 608 609 611 614 626 630 [+]
Producer Prices 98.80 99.02 99.31 99.64 113 142 282 [+]
Producer Prices Change -1.20 -1.07 -1.01 -1.08 0.12 3.98 3.92 [+]
Export Prices 98.80 97.08 97.79 96.56 98.5 98.24 98.42 [+]
Import Prices 101.30 96.6 96.59 97.08 97.03 96.83 96.85 [+]
Food Inflation 3.00 2.21 2.17 1.95 2.34 2.73 2.72 [+]
Money Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Interest Rate 6.00 6 6.01 6.01 6.02 6.09 6.24 [+]
Interbank Rate 5.36 5 4.74 4.48 4.69 4.66 4.1 [+]
Money Supply M0 5730.00 6123 6099 6035 6289 6534 6647 [+]
Money Supply M1 33130.00 34262 34767 35271 36620 45453 57653 [+]
Money Supply M2 119420.00 126672 131358 135265 158725 244130 375843 [+]
Central Bank Balance Sheet 329698.60 345028 351179 356802 365634 401504 403896 [+]
Foreign Exchange Reserves 3993212.72 4161527 4279852 4403844 4705143 5215767 4493118 [+]
Banks Balance Sheet 702.50 633 1011 939 633 633 633 [+]
Loans to Private Sector 778259.41 797193 818623 776946 824443 793102 792436 [+]
Loan Growth 13.30 13.07 12.57 12.74 13.32 13.11 13.09 [+]
Trade Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Balance of Trade 498.30 535 664 453 1983 2076 6375 [+]
Exports 2084.65 2161 2346 2034 3584 2622 7075 [+]
Imports 1586.29 1626 1682 1581 1581 515 541 [+]
Current Account 722.00 508 540 452 525 523 523 [+]
Current Account to GDP 2.00 1.85 1.98 1.8 1.76 0.1 0.05 [+]
External Debt 8631.67 9487 8733 9982 10628 13005 14029 [+]
Terms of Trade 97.53 100 101 100 102 101 101 [+]
Foreign Direct Investment 783.40 904 359 565 936 926 926 [+]
Capital Flows -369.00 -126 -67.41 -206 -163 -17.06 -1.58 [+]
Tourist Arrivals 167.60 178 164 179 164 164 163 [+]
Gold Reserves 1054.09 1054 1054 1054 1054 1054 1054 [+]
Crude Oil Production 4181.00 4140 4176 4156 4136 4137 3982 [+]
Government Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Government Budget -2.10 -2.38 -2.15 -2.45 -2.49 -2.5 -2.5 [+]
Government Debt to GDP 22.40 20.83 22.16 20.35 20.01 19.79 19.79 [+]
Government Budget Value 2405.40 -763 -5356 -400 -5433 -5505 -5506 [+]
Government Spending 79978.10 90327 92524 94723 156347 274533 665680 [+]
Credit Rating 78.82 [+]
Business Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Business Confidence 121.40 124 123 124 120 150 157 [+]
Manufacturing PMI 51.10 52.04 50.82 53.48 50.75 50.78 50.78 [+]
Services PMI 54.10 53.04 51.38 53.03 51.64 51.64 51.64 [+]
Industrial Production 6.90 8 7.96 7.69 8 5.12 4.28 [+]
Industrial Production Mom 0.68 0.68 0.65 0.71 0.61 1.32 1.32 [+]
Non Manufacturing PMI 54.40 55.02 52.56 54.55 52.9 52.84 52.83 [+]
New Orders 53.60 53.21 51.69 56.09 51.5 51.58 51.57 [+]
Changes in Inventories 11280.70 11462 11472 11479 11488 11500 11500 [+]
Car Registrations 1357948.00 1629654 1694896 1718299 2607646 3232631 4976334 [+]
Consumer Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Consumer Confidence 104.40 106 107 107 105 131 137 [+]
Retail Sales MoM 0.86 1.02 0.88 0.83 0.77 3.8 3.55 [+]
Retail Sales YoY 11.90 13.84 11.95 12.15 13.8 10.84 8.34 [+]
Consumer Spending 212187.50 238874 244097 249282 409972 690730 1513753 [+]
Disposable Personal Income 26955.00 29322 29907 30488 35304 50198 80904 [+]
Personal Savings 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.1 0.05 [+]
Bank Lending Rate 6.00 6.05 5.94 5.93 5.93 5.94 5.94 [+]
Housing Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Housing Index 2.50 16.32 3.69 2.39 2.37 7.64 2.18 [+]
Taxes Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Corporate Tax Rate 25.00 25 25 25 25 25 25 [+]
Personal Income Tax Rate 45.00 45 45 45 45 45 45 [+]
Sales Tax Rate 17.00 17 17 17 17 17 17 [+]
Social Security Rate 48.00 48 48 48 48 48 48 [+]
Social Security Rate For Companies 37.00 37 37 37 37 37 37 [+]
Social Security Rate For Employees 11.00 11 11 11 11 11 11 [+]






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This page includes economic forecasts for China. 9/16/2014