China | Economic Forecasts | 2014-2050 Outlook


Markets Actual Q4/14 Q1/15 2020 2030 2050
Currency 6.21 6.05 6.13 4.5 4 6.27 [+]
Government Bond 10Y 3.76 3.85 3.67 3.81 3.81 3.81 [+]
Stock Market 3057.52 2419 2560 3000 6000 2639 [+]
GDP Actual Q4/14 Q1/15 2020 2030 2050
GDP 9240.27 10251 10503 16312 26415 46620 [+]
GDP Growth Rate 1.90 1.83 1.5 1.67 1.67 1.67 [+]
GDP Annual Growth Rate 7.30 7.2 7.41 5 3.5 7.28 [+]
Gross National Product 566130.20 638510 650140 886799 1184808 1511026 [+]
GDP per capita 3583.38 3821 3880 5195 7301 10904 [+]
Gross Fixed Capital Formation 269075.40 309708 316417 465871 704858 1112527 [+]
GDP per capita PPP 11524.57 12287 12477 16665 23252 34146 [+]
Labour Actual Q4/14 Q1/15 2020 2030 2050
Unemployment Rate 4.10 4.1 4.14 4.3 4.2 2.66 [+]
Employed Persons 76977.00 77155 77179 77274 77274 77274 [+]
Unemployed Persons 947.00 945 945 945 945 945 [+]
Job Vacancies 5540000.00 5450545 4944198 5382957 5386427 5386408 [+]
Wages 51474.00 56053 57163 82576 121291 181096 [+]
Wages in Manufacturing 46431.00 51170 52343 78042 117394 179263 [+]
Labour Costs 105.70 105 105 99.21 96.77 96.33 [+]
Population 1360.72 1367 1369 1406 1467 1576 [+]
Retirement Age Women 50.00 50 50 50 50 50 [+]
Retirement Age Men 60.00 60 60 60 60 60 [+]
Prices Actual Q4/14 Q1/15 2020 2030 2050
Inflation Rate 1.40 1.51 1.11 1.64 1.59 1.6 [+]
Inflation Rate Mom -0.20 0.36 -0.71 0.29 0.29 0.29 [+]
Consumer Price Index CPI 101.40 101 101 101 101 101 [+]
Core Inflation Rate 1.30 1.36 1.29 1.35 1.36 1.36 [+]
Core Consumer Prices 101.30 101 101 101 101 101 [+]
GDP Deflator 598.23 608 609 610 599 587 [+]
Producer Prices 97.31 97.09 97.42 102 102 102 [+]
Producer Prices Change -2.70 -1.95 -2.01 0.05 0.31 0.56 [+]
Export Prices 101.90 103 104 106 106 106 [+]
Import Prices 97.40 98.74 101 104 104 104 [+]
Food Inflation 2.30 1.94 1.85 2.51 2.49 2.49 [+]
Money Actual Q4/14 Q1/15 2020 2030 2050
Interest Rate 5.60 5.8 5.8 5.95 6.1 6.35 [+]
Interbank Rate 5.25 4.71 3.9 4.4 4.15 3.64 [+]
Money Supply M0 5840.00 5993 6206 5985 5954 5886 [+]
Money Supply M1 33510.00 34312 33501 34017 33880 33566 [+]
Money Supply M2 120860.00 122500 126221 189535 286594 437739 [+]
Central Bank Balance Sheet 339284.97 342560 348883 456780 574740 675690 [+]
Foreign Exchange Reserves 3887700.00 4080707 4128272 4124561 4136803 4136744 [+]
Banks Balance Sheet 852.70 731 766 775 775 775 [+]
Loans to Private Sector 799325.03 814554 836128 1251385 1710143 2106860 [+]
Loan Growth 13.00 12.48 12.44 12.54 12.64 12.66 [+]
Trade Actual Q4/14 Q1/15 2020 2030 2050
Balance of Trade 544.74 500 295 319 361 434 [+]
Exports 2116.60 2249 1967 1942 1926 1887 [+]
Imports 1571.86 1749 1673 1623 1565 1453 [+]
Current Account 721.76 878 962 2084 2278 2286 [+]
Current Account to GDP 2.00 1.73 1.72 1.77 1.77 1.77 [+]
External Debt 8631.67 9747 9990 13111 14235 14380 [+]
Terms of Trade 104.62 104 103 104 104 104 [+]
Foreign Direct Investment 1062.40 799 472 658 659 659 [+]
Capital Flows -90.31 -184 -155 -158 -158 -158 [+]
Tourist Arrivals 203.70 164 179 164 163 163 [+]
Gold Reserves 1054.09 1054 1054 1054 1054 1054 [+]
Crude Oil Production 4118.00 4228 4220 4183 4117 4175 [+]
Government Actual Q4/14 Q1/15 2020 2030 2050
Government Budget -2.10 -2.47 -2.51 -2.68 -2.68 -2.68 [+]
Government Debt to GDP 22.40 20.52 20.32 19.72 19.72 19.72 [+]
Government Budget Value -2806.00 -5390 -247 -5537 -5536 -5536 [+]
Government Spending 79978.10 92654 94735 140146 208972 315134 [+]
Credit Rating 78.82 [+]
Business Actual Q4/14 Q1/15 2020 2030 2050
Business Confidence 119.00 120 120 119 119 119 [+]
Manufacturing PMI 50.30 50.67 50.78 50.69 50.69 50.69 [+]
Services PMI 53.00 51.9 53.75 52.75 52.75 52.75 [+]
Industrial Production 7.20 7.69 7.45 7.48 7.48 7.48 [+]
Industrial Production Mom 0.52 0.57 0.62 0.42 0.42 0.42 [+]
Non Manufacturing PMI 53.90 52.37 54.21 52.48 52.47 52.47 [+]
New Orders 50.90 52.25 56.97 52.19 52.18 52.18 [+]
Changes in Inventories 11280.70 11462 11472 11501 11501 11501 [+]
Car Registrations 1775320.00 1747542 1787377 1806026 1805890 1805890 [+]
Corporate Profits 70991.00 70232 70447 70686 70686 70686 [+]
Leading Economic Index 99.77 100 99.96 99.98 99.98 99.98 [+]
Manufacturing Production 8.10 [+]
Total Vehicle Sales 2090883.00 1892129 1956492 1947118 1927714 1887133 [+]
Consumer Actual Q4/14 Q1/15 2020 2030 2050
Consumer Confidence 103.40 106 106 105 105 105 [+]
Retail Sales MoM 0.89 0.8 0.73 0.48 0.48 0.48 [+]
Retail Sales YoY 11.70 12.77 10.56 13.72 12.02 13.96 [+]
Consumer Spending 212187.50 244260 249501 362216 526531 762207 [+]
Disposable Personal Income 26955.00 29322 29908 42705 62166 92375 [+]
Personal Savings 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 [+]
Bank Lending Rate 5.60 5.88 5.67 5.7 5.69 5.69 [+]
Consumer Credit 148943.71 152670 158458 271674 418664 588243 [+]
Housing Actual Q4/14 Q1/15 2020 2030 2050
Housing Index -3.70 -3.56 -6.41 -1.5 -3.02 -2.36 [+]
Taxes Actual Q4/14 Q1/15 2020 2030 2050
Corporate Tax Rate 25.00 24.99 24.99 24.98 24.98 24.98 [+]
Personal Income Tax Rate 45.00 45 45 45 45 45 [+]
Sales Tax Rate 17.00 17 17 17 17 17 [+]
Social Security Rate 48.00 48 48 48 48 48 [+]
Social Security Rate For Companies 37.00 37 37 37 37 37 [+]
Social Security Rate For Employees 11.00 11 11 11 11 11 [+]





This page includes economic forecasts for China. 12/20/2014