China | Economic Forecasts | 2014-2050 Outlook


Markets Last Q4/14 Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15 2020 2030 2050
Currency 6.11 6.05 6.14 6.14 6.14 4.5 4 6.27 [+]
Government Bond 10Y 3.75 4.07 3.97 3.98 4.11 4.09 4.09 4.09 [+]
Stock Market 2391.07 2419 2537 2576 2591 3000 6000 2639 [+]
GDP Last Q4/14 Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15 2020 2030 2050
GDP 9240.27 9976 10213 10446 10675 11232 15036 19729 [+]
GDP Growth Rate 1.90 1.61 1.5 1.69 1.75 1.48 1.48 1.48 [+]
GDP Annual Growth Rate 7.30 7.21 7.48 7.33 7.26 5 3.5 7.46 [+]
Gross National Product 566130.20 637985 649437 660743 671906 885063 1159534 1433345 [+]
GDP per capita 3583.38 3759 3817 3875 3933 4089 5240 7379 [+]
Gross Fixed Capital Formation 269075.40 309600 316271 322918 329543 463392 692496 1064288 [+]
GDP per capita PPP 11524.57 12287 12477 12665 12853 16831 23601 35000 [+]
Labour Last Q4/14 Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15 2020 2030 2050
Unemployment Rate 4.10 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 [+]
Employed Persons 76977.00 77180 77248 77315 77381 78289 79964 83054 [+]
Unemployed Persons 949.00 939 940 940 940 940 940 940 [+]
Job Vacancies 5705000.00 5831918 5936798 6178607 6102418 5760588 5757174 5757188 [+]
Wages 51474.00 54919 55977 57040 58210 60384 78929 100712 [+]
Wages in Manufacturing 46431.00 51157 52323 53483 54636 78268 116265 172890 [+]
Labour Costs 105.70 105 104 103 103 96.65 92.71 92.57 [+]
Population 1360.72 1366 1361 1369 1369 1374 1406 1467 [+]
Retirement Age Women 50.00 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 [+]
Retirement Age Men 60.00 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 [+]
Prices Last Q4/14 Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15 2020 2030 2050
Inflation Rate 1.60 1.79 1.55 1.4 1.52 1.9 1.88 1.88 [+]
Inflation Rate Mom 0.50 0.48 -0.55 -0.75 0.96 0.49 0.49 0.49 [+]
Consumer Price Index CPI 101.60 101 101 101 101 102 102 103 [+]
Core Inflation Rate 1.50 1.52 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.53 1.54 1.54 [+]
Core Consumer Prices 101.50 101 101 101 101 102 103 104 [+]
GDP Deflator 588.21 627 630 634 638 718 869 1172 [+]
Producer Prices 98.20 98.02 98.69 99.65 101 103 103 104 [+]
Producer Prices Change -1.80 -1.29 -1.21 -1.23 -1.18 0.12 0.36 0.61 [+]
Export Prices 100.50 97.28 97.4 97.47 97.36 98.27 98.76 99.73 [+]
Import Prices 98.00 109 109 106 104 106 106 107 [+]
Food Inflation 2.30 1.94 1.85 1.61 1.99 2.51 2.49 2.49 [+]
Money Last Q4/14 Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15 2020 2030 2050
Interest Rate 6.00 6 6 6 6 6.05 6.15 6.35 [+]
Interbank Rate 4.65 4.49 3.5 4.48 4.23 4.35 4.11 3.63 [+]
Money Supply M0 5884.50 6487 5833 6001 6189 8493 11684 22058 [+]
Money Supply M1 32722.02 34334 34479 34921 35199 39337 40588 41055 [+]
Money Supply M2 120205.14 125699 129212 132429 135694 206209 327468 531548 [+]
Central Bank Balance Sheet 336261.61 336617 340488 344407 348306 416549 492046 545611 [+]
Foreign Exchange Reserves 3887700.00 4279852 4403844 4503355 4606317 5215767 4493118 4633177 [+]
Banks Balance Sheet 857.20 744 772 781 771 775 775 775 [+]
Loans to Private Sector 793849.52 816333 839318 860659 881323 1253021 1682004 2012046 [+]
Loan Growth 13.00 12.57 12.74 13.08 13.36 13.11 13.09 13.1 [+]
Trade Last Q4/14 Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15 2020 2030 2050
Balance of Trade 309.43 520 256 470 561 1902 4737 13039 [+]
Exports 2136.87 2326 1958 2129 2398 4144 8104 19533 [+]
Imports 1827.45 1806 1702 1659 1836 2241 3366 6493 [+]
Current Account 815.00 964 900 898 933 881 880 880 [+]
Current Account to GDP 2.00 1.85 1.83 1.8 1.79 1.76 1.73 1.73 [+]
External Debt 8631.67 9487 9742 9982 10210 10628 13005 14029 [+]
Terms of Trade 102.55 101 100 101 101 101 101 101 [+]
Foreign Direct Investment 873.60 588 501 660 683 621 622 622 [+]
Capital Flows -816.00 -160 -174 -157 -165 -163 -163 -163 [+]
Tourist Arrivals 176.40 162 177 169 177 163 163 162 [+]
Gold Reserves 1054.09 1054 1054 1054 1054 1054 1054 1054 [+]
Crude Oil Production 4259.00 4164 4201 4223 4192 4155 4154 4154 [+]
Government Last Q4/14 Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15 2020 2030 2050
Government Budget -2.10 -2.38 -2.42 -2.45 -2.47 -2.49 -2.5 -2.5 [+]
Government Debt to GDP 22.40 20.83 22.16 20.35 20.35 20.01 19.79 19.79 [+]
Government Budget Value -4072.52 -5356 -400 -674 -1016 -5505 -5506 -5506 [+]
Government Spending 79978.10 92594 94653 96700 98735 140193 205668 300065 [+]
Credit Rating 78.82 [+]
Business Last Q4/14 Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15 2020 2030 2050
Business Confidence 121.40 123 124 123 122 122 122 122 [+]
Manufacturing PMI 51.10 51.33 51.27 51.31 51.29 51.29 51.29 51.29 [+]
Services PMI 53.50 51.63 53.34 52.62 53.94 52 52 52 [+]
Industrial Production 8.00 7.93 7.86 7.57 7.29 8.02 8.02 8.02 [+]
Industrial Production Mom 0.91 0.46 0.49 0.44 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 [+]
Non Manufacturing PMI 54.00 51.83 53.7 52.48 53.66 51.98 51.98 51.98 [+]
New Orders 52.20 51.69 56.09 50.94 53.14 51.58 51.57 51.57 [+]
Changes in Inventories 11280.70 11462 11472 11479 11484 11500 11500 11500 [+]
Car Registrations 1696001.00 1694916 1718322 1577109 1623516 1695811 1704242 1721033 [+]
Consumer Last Q4/14 Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15 2020 2030 2050
Consumer Confidence 105.40 107 107 106 105 105 106 106 [+]
Retail Sales MoM 0.85 0.85 0.79 0.77 0.79 0.73 0.73 0.73 [+]
Retail Sales YoY 11.60 13.47 11.5 11.7 11.98 14.11 14.22 14.19 [+]
Consumer Spending 212187.50 244077 249254 254393 259494 361843 516094 720089 [+]
Disposable Personal Income 26955.00 28731 29317 29899 30479 31945 43107 62476 [+]
Personal Savings 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.1 0.05 [+]
Bank Lending Rate 6.00 5.94 5.93 5.94 6.03 5.94 5.94 5.94 [+]
Housing Last Q4/14 Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15 2020 2030 2050
Housing Index -1.30 1.48 0.32 -0.2 0.55 1.98 2.01 2.01 [+]
Taxes Last Q4/14 Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15 2020 2030 2050
Corporate Tax Rate 25.00 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 [+]
Personal Income Tax Rate 45.00 45 45 45 45 45 45 45 [+]
Sales Tax Rate 17.00 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 [+]
Social Security Rate 48.00 48 48 48 48 48 48 48 [+]
Social Security Rate For Companies 37.00 37 37 37 37 37 37 37 [+]
Social Security Rate For Employees 11.00 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 [+]





This page includes economic forecasts for China. 11/1/2014