China’s official NBS Manufacturing PMI rose to 49.8 in August 2026 from 49.2 in July, beating market expectations of 49.7. The reading marked a second consecutive month of contraction, although the pace eased amid a recovery in demand. Output (50.4 vs. 49.9 in July) and new orders (50.6 vs. 48.5) both returned to expansionary territory, while employment remained in contraction, with the sub-index falling to 48.7 from 49.0. Raw material inventories also continued to decline (48.1 vs. 48.3), while supplier delivery times shortened for the first time in seven months (50.1 vs. 49.5). Price pressures intensified, with input costs rising at their fastest pace in three months (56.6 vs. 53.2). Output prices also returned to growth (50.4 vs. 47.8) after declining in July. Meanwhile, business sentiment weakened to a five-month low of 53.8, down from 54.1, suggesting that firms remained cautious about the near-term outlook. source: National Bureau of Statistics of China

Business Confidence in China increased to 49.80 points in August from 49.20 points in July of 2026. Business Confidence in China averaged 51.17 points from 2005 until 2026, reaching an all time high of 59.20 points in April of 2008 and a record low of 35.70 points in February of 2020. This page provides - China Business Confidence - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news. China NBS Manufacturing PMI - data, historical chart, forecasts and calendar of releases - was last updated on September of 2026.

Business Confidence in China increased to 49.80 points in August from 49.20 points in July of 2026. Business Confidence in China is expected to be 50.00 points by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. In the long-term, the China NBS Manufacturing PMI is projected to trend around 51.30 points in 2027 and 50.30 points in 2028, according to our econometric models.



Calendar GMT Reference Actual Previous Consensus TEForecast
2026-07-31 01:30 AM
NBS Manufacturing PMI
Jul 49.2 50.3 50.0 50.2
2026-08-31 01:30 AM
NBS Manufacturing PMI
Aug 49.8 49.2 49.7 49.9
2026-09-30 01:30 AM
NBS Manufacturing PMI
Sep 49.8 50


Related Last Previous Unit Reference
NBS Manufacturing PMI 49.80 49.20 points Aug 2026
Industrial Capacity Utilization 73.00 73.60 percent Jun 2026
Cement Production 12671.00 14423.00 Ten Thousands of Tonnes Jul 2026
Changes in Inventories 15366.10 11183.40 CNY Hundred Million Dec 2025
Industrial Profits (YTD) YoY 4582060.00 3947990.00 CNY Million Jul 2026
Electricity Production 943900.00 827600.00 Gigawatt-hour Jul 2026
Industrial Production YoY 4.50 5.30 percent Jul 2026
Industrial Production Mom 0.11 0.76 percent Jul 2026
Leading Economic Index 148.30 148.80 points Jul 2026
Manufacturing Production YoY 5.50 6.00 percent Jul 2026
Mining Production -4.20 -2.20 percent Jul 2026
New Orders 50.60 48.50 points Aug 2026


China NBS Manufacturing PMI
In China, the NBS Manufacturing Purchasing Manager Index measures the performance of the manufacturing sector and is derived from a survey of more large-scale, state-owned companies. The Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index is based on five individual indexes with the following weights: New Orders (30 percent), Output (25 percent), Employment (20 percent), Suppliers’ Delivery Times (15 percent) and Stock of Items Purchased (10 percent), with the Delivery Times index inverted so that it moves in a comparable direction. A reading above 50 indicates an expansion of the manufacturing sector compared to the previous month; below 50 represents a contraction; while 50 indicates no change.
Actual Previous Highest Lowest Dates Unit Frequency
49.80 49.20 59.20 35.70 2005 - 2026 points Monthly

News Stream
China Manufacturing Contraction Eases in August
China’s official NBS Manufacturing PMI rose to 49.8 in August 2026 from 49.2 in July, beating market expectations of 49.7. The reading marked a second consecutive month of contraction, although the pace eased amid a recovery in demand. Output (50.4 vs. 49.9 in July) and new orders (50.6 vs. 48.5) both returned to expansionary territory, while employment remained in contraction, with the sub-index falling to 48.7 from 49.0. Raw material inventories also continued to decline (48.1 vs. 48.3), while supplier delivery times shortened for the first time in seven months (50.1 vs. 49.5). Price pressures intensified, with input costs rising at their fastest pace in three months (56.6 vs. 53.2). Output prices also returned to growth (50.4 vs. 47.8) after declining in July. Meanwhile, business sentiment weakened to a five-month low of 53.8, down from 54.1, suggesting that firms remained cautious about the near-term outlook.
2026-08-31
China Factory Activity Unexpectedly Contracts
China’s official NBS Manufacturing PMI unexpectedly declined to 49.2 in July 2026 from 50.3 in the previous month, below market expectations of 50.0. It was the first contraction in factory activity since February, amid persistently weak domestic and external demand and elevated production costs. Output shrank for the first time in five months (49.9 vs 51.4 in June), while new orders contracted after expanding in the previous month (48.5 vs 51.2), with foreign orders also returning to contraction (49.6 vs 50.1). However, employment remained subdued (49.0 vs 48.5), while purchasing activity returned to contraction (49.4 vs 51.4) and supplier delivery times lengthened further (49.5 vs 49.9). On the price front, input cost inflation eased but remained elevated (53.2 vs 54.2), while output prices fell by the most in nine months (47.8 vs 48.2). Finally, business sentiment weakened slightly (54.1 vs 54.3).
2026-07-31
China Factory Activity Beats Estimates
China’s official NBS Manufacturing PMI increased to 50.3 in June 2026 from 50.0 in the previous month, surpassing market expectations of 50.1. It was the third consecutive month of expansion in factory activity so far this year, supported by strong high-tech manufacturing exports linked to the AI boom, even as shipments of other goods remained weak alongside subdued domestic demand. Output growth accelerated (51.4 vs 51.2 in May), while new orders expanded after contracting in the previous month (51.2 vs 49.9), with foreign orders also returning to expansion (50.1 vs 48.6). However, employment remained subdued (48.4 vs 48.6), while purchasing activity returned to expansion (51.4 vs 49.8) and supplier delivery times lengthened, albeit at a slower pace (49.9 vs 49.2). On the price front, input cost inflation eased to a six-month low (54.2 vs 60.5), while output prices fell for the first time in six months (48.2 vs 51.9). Finally, business sentiment strengthened slightly (54.3 vs 53.9).
2026-06-30