Actual
1.6780
Daily Change
-0.0040
Monthly
-0.02%
Yearly
-0.14%
Q3 Forecast
1.6711
China 10-Year Government Bond Yield - Summary

China’s 10-year government bond yield fell to around 1.67% on Wednesday, nearing its lowest level since mid-June 2025, as banks increasingly turned to government debt to boost returns amid weak demand for mortgages and consumer loans. Claims on the government rose to 16.4% of lenders’ total assets in July from 11.5% five years earlier, while claims on residents fell to 16.4% from 20.3%. The shift marked the first-ever reversal between the two categories, highlighting Beijing’s struggle to revive credit demand following an unprecedented property downturn and a prolonged consumption slump. On the economic front, annual consumer inflation rose to 0.8% in August, matching market expectations and accelerating from a six-month low of 0.5% in July. Producer price inflation also picked up to 3.8% from 3.5%, surpassing expectations of 3.7%. The renewed price pressures were driven largely by higher energy costs amid ongoing tensions in the Middle East.

China 10-Year Government Bond Yield - Stats

The yield on China 10Y Bond Yield held steady at 1.68% on September 9, 2026. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.02 points and is 0.14 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. Historically, the China 10-Year Government Bond Yield reached an all time high of 4.80 in September of 2007. China 10-Year Government Bond Yield - data, forecasts, historical chart - was last updated on September 9 of 2026.

China 10-Year Government Bond Yield - Forecast

The yield on China 10Y Bond Yield held steady at 1.68% on September 9, 2026. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.02 points and is 0.14 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. The China 10-Year Government Bond Yield is expected to trade at 1.67 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at 1.55 in 12 months time.



Bonds Yield Day Month Year Date
China 10Y 1.68 -0.004% -0.022% -0.135% Sep/09
China 52W 1.22 0% 0.061% -0.214% Sep/09
China 20Y 2.12 -0.014% -0.040% -0.073% Sep/09
China 2Y 1.24 -0.007% -0.070% -0.192% Sep/09
China 30Y 2.16 -0.018% -0.033% -0.008% Sep/09
China 3Y 1.26 -0.016% -0.061% -0.189% Sep/09
China 5Y 1.40 -0.001% -0.029% -0.251% Sep/09
China 7Y 1.51 -0.008% -0.096% -0.268% Sep/09



Related Last Previous Unit Reference
China Inflation Rate 0.80 0.50 percent Aug 2026
China Loan Prime Rate 3.00 3.00 percent Aug 2026
China Unemployment Rate 5.20 5.00 percent Jul 2026

China 10-Year Government Bond Yield
Generally, a government bond is issued by a national government and is denominated in the country`s own currency. Bonds issued by national governments in foreign currencies are normally referred to as sovereign bonds. The yield required by investors to loan funds to governments reflects inflation expectations and the likelihood that the debt will be repaid.
Actual Previous Highest Lowest Dates Unit Frequency
1.68 1.68 4.80 1.59 2000 - 2026 percent Daily

News Stream
China 10Y Yield Approaches 2025 Low
China’s 10-year government bond yield fell to around 1.67% on Wednesday, nearing its lowest level since mid-June 2025, as banks increasingly turned to government debt to boost returns amid weak demand for mortgages and consumer loans. Claims on the government rose to 16.4% of lenders’ total assets in July from 11.5% five years earlier, while claims on residents fell to 16.4% from 20.3%. The shift marked the first-ever reversal between the two categories, highlighting Beijing’s struggle to revive credit demand following an unprecedented property downturn and a prolonged consumption slump. On the economic front, annual consumer inflation rose to 0.8% in August, matching market expectations and accelerating from a six-month low of 0.5% in July. Producer price inflation also picked up to 3.8% from 3.5%, surpassing expectations of 3.7%. The renewed price pressures were driven largely by higher energy costs amid ongoing tensions in the Middle East.
2026-09-09
China 10Y Yield at Near 2-Month Low
China’s 10-year government bond yield fell to around 1.67% on Tuesday, nearing its lowest level since mid-July, as robust trade data strengthened expectations that external demand will support economic growth. Exports surged 25.0% year-on-year to USD 401.44 billion in August 2026, accelerating from 23.9% growth in July, while imports jumped 28.2% to USD 282.4 billion, up from 27.5% in the previous month and marking an eighth consecutive month of double-digit growth. The trade surplus widened to USD 119.09 billion in August from USD 101.09 billion a year earlier, matching expectations. The solid trade performance comes as Washington intensifies pressure on Beijing to narrow trade imbalances ahead of a planned Trump-Xi meeting, while trade frictions between Beijing and Brussels are also intensifying ahead of an October deadline to address imbalances that EU leaders increasingly regard as a strategic concern.
2026-09-08
China 10Y Yield Approaches 2-Month Low
China’s 10-year government bond yield fell to around 1.67% on Monday, hitting its lowest level since mid-July, as a fresh batch of PMI data reinforced expectations that the economic recovery is gradually gaining momentum. A private survey showed the Composite PMI rising to 52.1 in August from 50.8 in July, with growth strengthening across both manufacturing (51.5 vs 50.9) and services (51.4 vs 50.4). The upbeat reading came alongside official data showing the composite PMI edging up to 49.5 from 49.3, as manufacturing activity improved (49.8 vs 49.2), while the non-manufacturing PMI was unchanged at 49. Investors now await trade and inflation data later this week. Meanwhile, China is injecting CNY 300 billion ($45 billion) into its largest banks and insurers as part of the country’s biggest financial-sector recapitalization in nearly two decades, aimed at strengthening balance sheets and supporting credit growth amid a slowing economy.
2026-08-27