The RatingDog China Manufacturing PMI edged down to 52.0 in October 2026 from September’s five-month high of 52.1, but surpassed forecasts of 51.6. It was the eleventh straight month of expansion and signalled the longest streak of improving manufacturing sector health since mid-2021. Output expanded at a sharp pace, the fastest in six months, supported by another solid increase in new work inflows. Demand growth was driven by the launch of new products, with overseas demand also rising, although growth eased from September. In response to rising new orders, firms increased purchasing activity, while vendor performance times shortened for the first time since February, amid improved supplier efficiency. On prices, input cost inflation eased, while selling prices fell as firms sought to support sales amid intense competition. Looking ahead, business sentiment weakened to a nine-month low amid concerns over elevated input prices and heightened competition. source: S&P Global

Manufacturing PMI in China decreased to 52 points in October from 52.10 points in September of 2026. Manufacturing PMI in China averaged 50.21 points from 2011 until 2026, reaching an all time high of 54.90 points in November of 2020 and a record low of 40.30 points in February of 2020. This page provides the latest reported value for - China Manufacturing PMI - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

Manufacturing PMI in China decreased to 52 points in October from 52.10 points in September of 2026. Manufacturing PMI in China is expected to be 51.00 points by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. In the long-term, the China RatingDog Manufacturing PMI is projected to trend around 50.60 points in 2027 and 50.70 points in 2028, according to our econometric models.



Related Last Previous Unit Reference
Business Conditions Index 49.50 48.30 points Sep 2026
NBS Manufacturing PMI 49.30 50.10 points Oct 2026
Industrial Capacity Utilization 73.10 73.00 percent Sep 2026
Passanger Car Production 2990000.00 2684000.00 Units Sep 2026
Passenger Car Sales 1643000.00 1618000.00 Units Oct 2026
Cement Production 14401.00 12908.00 Ten Thousands of Tonnes Sep 2026
Changes in Inventories 15366.10 11183.40 CNY Hundred Million Dec 2025
Coal Production 385.13 361.82 Million Tonnes Sep 2026
Composite Leading Indicator 97.41 97.64 points Sep 2026
Industrial Profits (YTD) YoY 6033740.00 5271980.00 CNY Million Sep 2026
Corruption Index 43.00 43.00 Points Dec 2025
Corruption Rank 76.00 76.00 Dec 2025
Electricity Production 829400.00 943800.00 Gigawatt-hour Sep 2026
Industrial Production YoY 5.50 5.20 percent Sep 2026
Industrial Production Mom 0.61 0.54 percent Sep 2026
Leading Economic Index 147.70 148.20 points Sep 2026
Manufacturing Production YoY 6.00 6.10 percent Sep 2026
Mining Production 1.30 -1.40 percent Sep 2026
New Orders 49.40 50.50 points Oct 2026
Steel Production 73600.00 74600.00 Thousand Tonnes Sep 2026
Vehicle Sales YoY 3016000.00 2956000.00 Units Oct 2026


China RatingDog Manufacturing PMI
The RatingDog China General Manufacturing PMI, compiled by S&P Global, is based on monthly surveys of around 650 manufacturers across sectors and company sizes, weighted by GDP contribution. Conducted in the second half of each month, the survey tracks changes from the prior month using a diffusion index, where readings above 50 signal improvement and below 50 signal deterioration. The headline PMI is a weighted average of five components: New Orders (30%), Output (25%), Employment (20%), Suppliers’ Delivery Times (15%, inverted), and Stocks of Purchases (10%). Results are seasonally adjusted, with only adjustment factors subject to revision, not the original survey data. This is only a limited sample of PMI headline data displayed on the Customer’s service, under licence from S&P Global. Full historic PMI headline data and all other PMI sub-index data and histories are available on subscription from S&P Global. Contact economics@spglobal.com for more details.

News Stream
China Manufacturing PMI Beats Estimates
The RatingDog China Manufacturing PMI edged down to 52.0 in October 2026 from September’s five-month high of 52.1, but surpassed forecasts of 51.6. It was the eleventh straight month of expansion and signalled the longest streak of improving manufacturing sector health since mid-2021. Output expanded at a sharp pace, the fastest in six months, supported by another solid increase in new work inflows. Demand growth was driven by the launch of new products, with overseas demand also rising, although growth eased from September. In response to rising new orders, firms increased purchasing activity, while vendor performance times shortened for the first time since February, amid improved supplier efficiency. On prices, input cost inflation eased, while selling prices fell as firms sought to support sales amid intense competition. Looking ahead, business sentiment weakened to a nine-month low amid concerns over elevated input prices and heightened competition.
2026-11-02
China Manufacturing Growth Hits 5-Month High
The RatingDog China Manufacturing PMI increased to 52.1 in September 2026 from 51.5 in August, surpassing forecasts of 51.6. It was the strongest expansion in the manufacturing sector since April, boosted by rising demand from both domestic and overseas markets, with foreign sales rising at the fastest pace in seven months. Output grew at its fastest pace since April, supported by strong client demand and higher production capacity. In response to higher new orders, firms raised employment. Purchasing activity continued to rise, while supplier delivery delays again partly limited the pace at which input inventory stocks increased. On the price front, input price inflation accelerated to a four-month high, due to higher material prices. As a result, firms lifted their selling prices slightly, following a marginal reduction in August. Looking ahead, business sentiment improved amid expectations for better global macroeconomic conditions. However, it remained below the long-run average.
2026-09-30
China Factory Activity Growth Beats Forecasts
The RatingDog China Manufacturing PMI increased to 51.5 in August 2026 from July’s four-month low of 50.9, surpassing forecasts of 51, as output and new orders rose at faster paces. New orders rose for the fifteenth consecutive month, the longest period of growth since 2018, supported by the fastest rise in foreign sales in six months. Output grew for nine consecutive months, with the latest expansion being the strongest in three months. Meanwhile, employment was steady after rising in the previous two months, while backlogs rose for the seventh month running at the fastest rate since March. Purchasing activity rose after falling in July, while delivery times were little changed compared with July. On the price front, input price inflation accelerated for the first time in four months, though modestly, due to higher material prices. However, output prices fell for the first time in 2026 so far. Lastly, business sentiment weakened to a seven-month low.
2026-09-01