The Mexican gross domestic product expanded by 0.8% from the previous quarter in the final three months of 2025, rebounding from the 0.3% contraction in the third quarter and ahead of market expectations of a 0.6% increase to mark the sharpest pace of growth in over one year. The rebound reflected a degree of resilience in the Mexican economy after a trade war with the United States and uncertainty regarding supply chains and lower export demand due to tariffs triggered economic headwinds in the third quarter. Growth was supported by secondary and tertiary sectors, each expanding by 0.9% Conversely, primary activities contracted by 2.7%. For the full year, the Mexican GDP grew 0.5%, the least since the pandemic caused a global economic crisis in 2020. source: Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía (INEGI)

The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in Mexico expanded 0.80 percent in the fourth quarter of 2025 over the previous quarter. GDP Growth Rate in Mexico averaged 0.51 percent from 1993 until 2025, reaching an all time high of 15.50 percent in the third quarter of 2020 and a record low of -18.90 percent in the second quarter of 2020. This page provides - Mexico GDP Growth Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news. Mexico GDP Growth Rate - data, historical chart, forecasts and calendar of releases - was last updated on February of 2026.

The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in Mexico expanded 0.80 percent in the fourth quarter of 2025 over the previous quarter. GDP Growth Rate in Mexico is expected to be 0.20 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. In the long-term, the Mexico GDP Growth Rate is projected to trend around 0.50 percent in 2027, according to our econometric models.



Calendar GMT Reference Actual Previous Consensus TEForecast
2025-11-21 12:00 PM
QoQ Final
Q3 -0.3% 0.6% -0.3% -0.3%
2026-01-30 12:00 PM
QoQ Prel
Q4 0.8% -0.3% 0.6% 0.4%
2026-02-23 12:00 PM
QoQ Final
Q4 -0.3% 0.8% 0.8%


Related Last Previous Unit Reference
Full Year GDP Growth 0.50 1.50 percent Dec 2025
GDP Growth Rate YoY 1.60 -0.10 percent Dec 2025
GDP Constant Prices 25415333.00 25488536.90 MXN Million Sep 2025
GDP from Agriculture 810014.00 880176.00 MXN Million Sep 2025
GDP from Construction 1456787.00 1517861.00 MXN Million Sep 2025
GDP from Manufacturing 5189936.00 5259553.00 MXN Million Sep 2025
GDP from Mining 841339.00 810790.00 MXN Million Sep 2025
GDP from Public Administration 833812.00 839043.00 MXN Million Sep 2025
GDP from Services 15391570.00 15356787.00 MXN Million Sep 2025
GDP from Transport 1896074.00 1964488.00 MXN Million Sep 2025
GDP from Utilities 331095.00 305800.00 MXN Million Sep 2025
GDP Growth Rate 0.80 -0.30 percent Dec 2025
Gross Fixed Capital Formation 5743508.00 5791508.00 MXN Million Sep 2025


Mexico GDP Growth Rate
In Mexico, services account for 62 percent of total GDP. The biggest segments within services are: wholesale and retail trade (16 percent); real estate (10 percent); transport, warehousing and communications (7 percent) and financial services and insurance (6 percent). Industry constitutes 18 percent of output and the largest segments within this sector are: automobile industry (4 percent of total GDP) and food industry (3.8 percent). The remaining share is divided by: construction, water, gas and electricity distribution (8 percent), mining (5 percent), government (4 percent ) and agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting (3 percent).
Actual Previous Highest Lowest Dates Unit Frequency
0.80 -0.30 15.50 -18.90 1993 - 2025 percent Quarterly
SA

News Stream
Mexico GDP Rebounds in Q4
The Mexican gross domestic product expanded by 0.8% from the previous quarter in the final three months of 2025, rebounding from the 0.3% contraction in the third quarter and ahead of market expectations of a 0.6% increase to mark the sharpest pace of growth in over one year. The rebound reflected a degree of resilience in the Mexican economy after a trade war with the United States and uncertainty regarding supply chains and lower export demand due to tariffs triggered economic headwinds in the third quarter. Growth was supported by secondary and tertiary sectors, each expanding by 0.9% Conversely, primary activities contracted by 2.7%. For the full year, the Mexican GDP grew 0.5%, the least since the pandemic caused a global economic crisis in 2020.
2026-01-30
Mexico GDP Confirmed at Contraction
The Mexican GDP contracted by a seasonally adjusted 0.3% from the previous quarter in the third quarter of 2025, aligned with expectations and confirming the preliminary estimate. It was the first contraction since the last quarter of 2024, trimming the 0.6% expansion from the earlier period. Output in manufacturing industries shrank by 1.5%, pressured by uncertainty in the outlook for vehicles and key export industries amid the wave of tariffs placed by the United States, Mexico's largest export destination. In the meantime, output for primary industries jumped by 3.5%, while that for services inched 0.2% higher. From the previous year, the Mexican GDP contracted by 0.1%, its first decrease since the final quarter of 2021.
2025-11-21
Mexican GDP Contracts as Expected
The Mexican GDP contracted by a seasonally adjusted 0.3% in the third quarter of 2025, aligned with expectations, to trim the 0.6% expansion from the previous quarter. It was only the second quarter of contraction since the emergence of Covid-19 variants triggered a contraction in early 2021, reflecting the impact of tariffs from the United States, Mexico's top trading partner. Tariffs on autos, a major industry for Mexican manufacturing, drove GDP from industry to contract by 1.5%. This offset a 3.2% expansion for primary industries, which were supported by higher silver prices, and a near stall for services. From the previous year, the Mexican GDP contracted by 0.2%, the first contraction since the first quarter of 2021.
2025-10-30