The People’s Bank of China (PBoC) kept its key lending rates unchanged at record lows for a tenth straight month in March 2026, aligning with market expectations and signaling a preference for stability over aggressive stimulus. The one-year loan prime rate (LPR), the benchmark for most corporate and household borrowing, was held at 3.0%, while the five-year LPR, used for mortgages, remained at 3.5%. The cautious stance reflects surging oil prices and Middle East tensions clouding the inflation outlook, alongside Beijing’s lower 2026 growth target of 4.5%–5%, its weakest since 1991, reducing the urgency for broad easing. Still, early-year data pointed to resilience, with industrial output and retail sales beating forecasts and fixed-asset investment rebounding. Yet headwinds persist: externally, weak demand, trade frictions, and a strong dollar are pressuring the yuan; domestically, property sector strains, soft sentiment, and cautious hiring continue to weigh on consumption. source: People's Bank of China
The benchmark interest rate in China was last recorded at 3 percent. Interest Rate in China averaged 4.28 percent from 2013 until 2026, reaching an all time high of 5.77 percent in April of 2014 and a record low of 3.00 percent in May of 2025. This page provides the latest reported value for - China Interest Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news. China Loan Prime Rate - data, historical chart, forecasts and calendar of releases - was last updated on March of 2026.
The benchmark interest rate in China was last recorded at 3 percent. Interest Rate in China is expected to be 3.00 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. In the long-term, the China Loan Prime Rate is projected to trend around 3.00 percent in 2027, according to our econometric models.