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Russia GDP Growth RateRussia Gross Domestic Product (GDP) contracted 8.90% over the last 4 quarters. The Russia Gross Domestic Product is worth 1608 billion dollars or 2.59% of the world economy, according to the World Bank. The Russian economy is commodity-driven. Payments from the fuel and energy sector in the form of customs duties and taxes accounted for nearly half of the federal budget's revenues. However, during the past decade, poverty and unemployment declined steadily and the middle class continued to expand. This page includes: Russia GDP Growth Rate chart, historical data and news.
Russia's Economy Remains Vulnerable
Published:
5/15/2010 7:21:46 PM
By:
Anna Fedec, contact@tradingeconomics.com
Highly dependent on oil prices, Russia was extremely vulnerable during the recent global economic downturn. In fact, the Russian Federation went through its worst recession in 15 years, shrinking almost 8% in 2009. Yet, the recent surge in energy price, various stimulus programs and low interest rates made Russia grew 2.9% in the first quarter of 2010. But will Russia be able to sustain this expansion in the long run?
Indeed, the rise in oil prices has been a significant factor in Russia's recovery. It is estimated that an 88% surge in Urals crude prices last year made the government to increase spending by 27% in 2009 thus supporting broad economic growth. Moreover, this year's planned significant increase in pensions, the car disposal program and the recovery in real wages will likely support consumption and boost industrial production going forward. Adding to that historically low interest rates (over the past year, the central bank has cut the refinancing rate by 500 basis points to 8%) and Russia should not worry about its long term growth prospects.
However, nothing is as promising as it looks like, special in Russia where the barrier between government and private companies is very thin. Although consumer prices continue to slow down, heavy government spending and wage growth may boost inflation within the next few months and force the government to increase rates. And there is also another danger by the corner. The appreciation of the ruble caused by an increase in oil prices has been diminishing profit margins of commodity exporters and lowering the government income. It is also making imports cheaper and more attractive, thus lowering the trade surplus and diminishing its impact on growth.
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Global Economics
New Zealand Raises Benchmark Rate
Published: 7/28/2010 6:34:14 PM
By: TradingEconomics.com, RBNZ
New Zealand’s central bank raised its benchmark interest rate for a second month to control inflation, and said the pace of future increases is likely to be slower than previously indicated.
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Australia Inflation Cools
Published: 7/28/2010 11:40:49 AM
By: TradingEconomics.com, Bloomberg
Australian consumer prices rose by much less than expected last quarter while core inflation slowed to its lowest in over three years, all but ruling out the need for an interest rate rise next week and possibly for the rest of the year.
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US Consumer Confidence Falls in July
Published: 7/27/2010 10:18:30 AM
By: TradingEconomics.com, Bloomberg
Confidence among U.S. consumers declined in July to a five-month low, a sign the lack of jobs will limit the economy’s recovery.
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Japan Export Growth Slows
Published: 7/26/2010 1:27:36 PM
By: TradingEconomics.com, Reuters
Japanese exports rose more than expected in June from a year earlier but the pace of increase slowed for the fourth straight month, a sign the economic recovery may lose steam on moderating overseas demand.
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Canada June Inflation Rate Slows to 1%
Published: 7/23/2010 10:11:52 AM
By: TradingEconomics.com, Bloomberg
Canada’s annual inflation rate slowed in June as gasoline prices fell for the first time since October 2009 while the costs of home upkeep and car insurance advanced.
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U.K. Economy Grows 1.1% in Q2
Published: 7/23/2010 10:08:48 AM
By: TradingEconomics.com, AP
Britain's economy grew by 1.1 percent in the second quarter, the Office for National Statistics said, surprising markets that had expected more modest expansion.
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Canada Raises Key Rate to 0.75%
Published: 7/20/2010 11:04:44 AM
By: TradingEconomics.com, Bank of Canada
The Bank of Canada raised its benchmark lending rate for a second month, and said that slower economic growth through next year means any future moves will be “weighed carefully.”
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US Consumer Prices Dip for Third Month
Published: 7/18/2010 9:02:14 PM
By: TradingEconomics.com, AFP
American consumers saw prices fall for the third consecutive month in June on the back of lower gasoline costs, the government said Thursday amid concerns over deflation.
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Bank Of Japan Predicts Growth to Slow in 2011, Keeps 0.1% Rate
Published: 7/15/2010 10:09:56 AM
By: TradingEconomics.com, Bank of Japan
The Bank of Japan kept interest rates unchanged and predicted growth in the world’s second- largest economy will slow next year as fiscal stimulus evaporates worldwide and overseas demand loses steam.
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China Economy Cools in Second Quarter
Published: 7/15/2010 9:58:48 AM
By: TradingEconomics.com, Reuters
China's economy cooled in the second quarter, a slowdown that is likely to extend over the rest of the year as Beijing steers monetary and fiscal policy back to normal after a record credit surge to counter the global crisis.
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GDP Growth Definition
Economic growth is the increase in value of the goods and services produced by an
economy. It is conventionally measured as the percent rate of increase in real gross
domestic product, or GDP. Growth is usually calculated in real terms, i.e. inflation-adjusted
terms, in order to net out the effect of inflation on the price of the goods and
services produced. In economics, "economic growth" or "economic growth theory" typically
refers to growth of potential output, i.e., production at "full employment," which
is caused by growth in aggregate demand or observed output.As economic growth is
measured as the annual percent change of National Income it has all the advantages
and drawbacks of that level variable. But people tend to attach a particular value
to the annual percentage change, perhaps since it tells them what happens to their
pay check.
The real GDP per capita of an economy is often used as an indicator of the average
standard of living of individuals in that country, and economic growth is therefore
often seen as indicating an increase in the average standard of living.However,
there are some problems in using growth in GDP per capita to measure general well
being.GDP per capita does not provide any information relevant to the distribution
of income in a country. GDP per capita does not take into account negative externalities
from pollution consequent to economic growth. Thus, the amount of growth may be
overstated once we take pollution into account. GDP per capita does not take into
account positive externalities that may result from services such as education and
health. GDP per capita excludes the value of all the activities that take place
outside of the market place (such as cost-free leisure activities like hiking).
Economists are well aware of these deficiencies in GDP, thus, it should always be
viewed merely as an indicator and not an absolute scale. Economists have developed
mathematical tools to measure inequality, such as the Gini Coefficient. There are
also alternate ways of measurement that consider the negative externalities that
may result from pollution and resource depletion (see Green Gross Domestic Product.)The
flaws of GDP may be important when studying public policy, however, for the purposes
of economic growth in the long run it tends to be a very good indicator. There is
no other indicator in economics which is as universal or as widely accepted as the
GDP.Economic growth is exponential, where the exponent is determined by the PPP
annual GDP growth rate. Thus, the differences in the annual growth from country
A to country B will multiply up over the years. For example, a growth rate of 5%
seems similar to 3%, but over two decades, the first economy would have grown by
165%, the second only by 80% (source: wikipedia).
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