Actual
5.1650
Daily Change
-0.04%
Monthly
0.51%
Yearly
0.99%
Q3 Forecast
4.9893
US 10 Year Treasury Note Yield - Summary

The US 10-year Treasury yield hovered around 5.2% on Friday, near its highest level since mid-200. Traders refocused on hawkish comments from Fed officials, while a lack of concrete progress in US-Iran negotiations to end the conflict continued to fuel concerns about inflation. Meanwhile, the University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment survey confirmed a sharp rise in inflation expectations in September. Strong US economic data, worsening fiscal conditions and rising government debt have also weighed on the Treasury market. Adding to woes, efforts by Treasury Secretary Bessent to cap long-dated yields through increased Treasury buybacks are widely seen as having had limited impact. Investors currently expect the Fed to raise the federal funds rate by 25bps next month, with the probability of such a move standing at around 66%.

US 10 Year Treasury Note Yield - Stats

The yield on US 10 Year Note Bond Yield eased to 5.17% on September 25, 2026, marking a 0.04 percentage points decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.51 points and is 0.99 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. Historically, the US 10 Year Treasury Note Yield reached an all time high of 15.82 in September of 1981. US 10 Year Treasury Note Yield - data, forecasts, historical chart - was last updated on September 26 of 2026.

US 10 Year Treasury Note Yield - Forecast

The yield on US 10 Year Note Bond Yield eased to 5.17% on September 25, 2026, marking a 0.04 percentage points decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.51 points and is 0.99 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. The US 10 Year Treasury Note Yield is expected to trade at 4.99 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at 4.75 in 12 months time.



Bonds Yield Day Month Year Date
US 10Y 5.17 -0.040% 0.512% 0.989% Sep/25
US 4W 3.96 0.057% 0.246% -0.163% Sep/25
US 8W 4.10 0.084% 0.376% 0.021% Sep/25
US 3M 4.18 0.004% 0.401% 0.222% Sep/25
US 6M 4.37 -0.007% 0.458% 0.507% Sep/25
US 52W 4.48 0.004% 0.470% 0.814% Sep/25
US 2Y 4.87 -0.067% 0.646% 1.221% Sep/25
US 3Y 4.94 -0.076% 0.659% 1.277% Sep/25
US 5Y 5.00 -0.063% 0.626% 1.223% Sep/25
US 7Y 5.08 -0.054% 0.581% 1.113% Sep/25
US 20Y 5.56 0.041% 0.381% 0.821% Sep/25
US 30Y 5.50 0.016% 0.322% 0.739% Sep/25
US 10Y TIPS 2.84 0.012% 0.507% 1.034% Sep/25
US 5Y TIPS 2.63 -0.062% 0.600% 1.354% Sep/25
US 30Y TIPS 3.25 0.028% 0.308% 0.730% Sep/25



Related Last Previous Unit Reference
United States Inflation Rate 3.40 3.40 percent Aug 2026
United States Fed Funds Interest Rate 4.00 3.75 percent Sep 2026
United States Unemployment Rate 4.10 4.10 percent Aug 2026

US 10 Year Treasury Note Yield
Generally, a government bond is issued by a national government and is denominated in the country`s own currency. Bonds issued by national governments in foreign currencies are normally referred to as sovereign bonds. The yield required by investors to loan funds to governments reflects inflation expectations and the likelihood that the debt will be repaid.
Actual Previous Highest Lowest Dates Unit Frequency
5.17 5.21 15.82 0.32 1912 - 2026 percent Daily

News Stream
Treasury Yields Remain at Multi-Year Highs
The US 10-year Treasury yield hovered around 5.2% on Friday, near its highest level since mid-200. Traders refocused on hawkish comments from Fed officials, while a lack of concrete progress in US-Iran negotiations to end the conflict continued to fuel concerns about inflation. Meanwhile, the University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment survey confirmed a sharp rise in inflation expectations in September. Strong US economic data, worsening fiscal conditions and rising government debt have also weighed on the Treasury market. Adding to woes, efforts by Treasury Secretary Bessent to cap long-dated yields through increased Treasury buybacks are widely seen as having had limited impact. Investors currently expect the Fed to raise the federal funds rate by 25bps next month, with the probability of such a move standing at around 66%.
2026-09-25
Treasury Yields Edge Lower But Remain at Multi-Year Highs
The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note fell to 5.17% on Friday, following a sharp sell-off over the previous three sessions that pushed the benchmark yield up 23bps to around 5.20%. A decline in oil prices, amid signs that US and Iranian negotiators may be exploring a phased agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, provided some relief to the bond market. Despite the modest pullback, borrowing costs remain at 2007 highs, as markets continue to price in expectations that the Federal Reserve will need to tighten monetary policy further. The odds of another 25bps rate hike at the Fed’s next meeting currently stand at around 70%, while swaps are pricing in three additional quarter-point rate increases over the next year. Strong economic activity and concerns over the fiscal outlook have also weighed on Treasuries. While demand at Tuesday’s 2-year Treasury auction was robust, the 5-year Treasury auction drew unexpectedly weak demand.
2026-09-25
Treasury Yields Hold Near 2-Decade Highs
The yield on the US 10-Year Treasury note eased below 5.2% on Friday, but stayed close to its highest level since 2007, while the 30-year yield stood around 5.48%, near 2004 highs. Borrowing costs have climbed as elevated oil prices and resilient US economic data fueled inflation concerns, strengthening expectations that the Federal Reserve may tighten policy further. Markets are currently pricing in roughly a 67% probability of a Fed rate hike in October, following the first increase in three years last week. Meanwhile, the US Treasury Department on Thursday repurchased $4.078 billion of 20- and 30-year bonds as part of its ongoing buyback program. The amount fell short of the $10.4678 billion in bonds offered during the operations and was also below the $6 billion in debt the Treasury had said it planned to purchase. Investors now await the University of Michigan consumer sentiment report and durable goods data on Friday for further clues on the strength of the US economy.
2026-09-25