Actual
4.7340
Daily Change
0.0210
Monthly
0.11%
Yearly
0.44%
Q3 Forecast
4.6168
US 10 Year Treasury Note Yield - Summary

The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note rose above 4.7% on Tuesday, moving closer to its highest level since January as surging oil prices strengthened expectations that the Federal Reserve could raise interest rates. The move came amid continued uncertainty over efforts by the US and Iran to reach an agreement to end the war and reopen the Strait of Hormuz. After Tehran called for financial compensation over damages suffered during the conflict, Trump said he had directed US representatives to insist on compensation from Iran in any future negotiations, further complicating diplomatic efforts. Meanwhile, investors awaited key US inflation data due this week for additional guidance on the monetary policy outlook. Markets are now pricing in around a 51% probability of a 25 basis point Fed rate hike in September, up from 44% a day earlier. Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack said multiple rate increases could be necessary to bring inflation back to the central bank’s 2% target.

US 10 Year Treasury Note Yield - Stats

The yield on US 10 Year Note Bond Yield rose to 4.73% on August 11, 2026, marking a 0.02 percentage points increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.11 points and is 0.44 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. Historically, the US 10 Year Treasury Note Yield reached an all time high of 15.82 in September of 1981. US 10 Year Treasury Note Yield - data, forecasts, historical chart - was last updated on August 11 of 2026.

US 10 Year Treasury Note Yield - Forecast

The yield on US 10 Year Note Bond Yield rose to 4.73% on August 11, 2026, marking a 0.02 percentage points increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.11 points and is 0.44 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. The US 10 Year Treasury Note Yield is expected to trade at 4.62 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at 4.42 in 12 months time.



Bonds Yield Day Month Year Date
US 10Y 4.73 0.021% 0.114% 0.440% Aug/11
US 4W 3.71 0.005% 0.005% -0.607% Aug/11
US 8W 3.77 0.005% 0.044% -0.544% Aug/10
US 3M 3.82 0.007% -0.003% -0.414% Aug/11
US 6M 3.97 0.023% -0.014% -0.111% Aug/11
US 52W 4.05 0.011% -0.065% 0.151% Aug/11
US 2Y 4.27 0.023% -0.030% 0.525% Aug/11
US 3Y 4.34 0.024% 0.013% 0.629% Aug/11
US 5Y 4.44 0.028% 0.058% 0.617% Aug/11
US 7Y 4.58 0.024% 0.086% 0.550% Aug/11
US 20Y 5.29 0.029% 0.191% 0.431% Aug/11
US 30Y 5.28 0.023% 0.168% 0.396% Aug/11
US 10Y TIPS 2.45 0.027% 0.115% 0.545% Aug/11
US 5Y TIPS 2.17 0.024% 0.120% 0.805% Aug/11
US 30Y TIPS 3.05 0.030% 0.145% 0.423% Aug/11



Related Last Previous Unit Reference
United States Inflation Rate 3.50 4.20 percent Jun 2026
United States Fed Funds Interest Rate 3.75 3.75 percent Jul 2026
United States Unemployment Rate 4.10 4.20 percent Jul 2026

US 10 Year Treasury Note Yield
Generally, a government bond is issued by a national government and is denominated in the country`s own currency. Bonds issued by national governments in foreign currencies are normally referred to as sovereign bonds. The yield required by investors to loan funds to governments reflects inflation expectations and the likelihood that the debt will be repaid.
Actual Previous Highest Lowest Dates Unit Frequency
4.73 4.71 15.82 0.32 1912 - 2026 percent Daily

News Stream
US 10Y Yield Nears 7-Month High
The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note rose above 4.7% on Tuesday, moving closer to its highest level since January as surging oil prices strengthened expectations that the Federal Reserve could raise interest rates. The move came amid continued uncertainty over efforts by the US and Iran to reach an agreement to end the war and reopen the Strait of Hormuz. After Tehran called for financial compensation over damages suffered during the conflict, Trump said he had directed US representatives to insist on compensation from Iran in any future negotiations, further complicating diplomatic efforts. Meanwhile, investors awaited key US inflation data due this week for additional guidance on the monetary policy outlook. Markets are now pricing in around a 51% probability of a 25 basis point Fed rate hike in September, up from 44% a day earlier. Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack said multiple rate increases could be necessary to bring inflation back to the central bank’s 2% target.
2026-08-11
Treasury Yields Move Higher as Oil Prices Fuel Inflation Concerns
The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note rose to 4.7% on Monday, its highest level so far this month, as rising oil prices added to concerns about inflation. The increase in crude prices came amid growing uncertainty over a deal between the US and Iran to end the war and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, with an agreement appearing increasingly unlikely in the near term. Higher oil prices have raised concerns that renewed inflationary pressures could force the Fed to keep interest rates higher for longer, despite recent signs of a slowdown in the labor market following Friday’s weaker-than-expected jobs report. Meanwhile, traders are awaiting this week’s US CPI and PPI reports for further clues on inflationary pressures. The odds of a Fed rate hike in September currently stand at around 46%, down from approximately 64% a week ago, while the probability of rates remaining unchanged is seen at about 54%.
2026-08-10
US 10-Year Yield Pressured by Soft Jobs Data
The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note held around 4.66% on Monday but remained subdued after weaker-than-expected US employment data lowered expectations for a near-term Federal Reserve interest rate hike. Nonfarm payrolls unexpectedly declined by 23,000 in July, while sizeable downward revisions to the previous two months reinforced signs of a weakening labor market. Markets now price around a 44% chance of a 25 basis point rate hike in September, down from 67% a week earlier. Investors are turning their attention to key inflation data due this week for further clues on the monetary policy outlook. Meanwhile, markets continued to track developments in the Middle East as Iran denied holding direct talks with the US, despite Washington’s claims that a deal was close. Tehran also maintained its demands for an end to the US naval blockade, the lifting of sanctions and compensation for war-related damage before any agreement.
2026-08-10