United States | Economic Forecasts | 2014-2050 Outlook


Markets Actual Q4/14 Q1/15 2020 2030 2050
Currency 88.31 84.39 86.9 87.18 90.26 95.92 [+]
Government Bond 10Y 2.33 2.18 2.25 2.18 2.18 2.18 [+]
Stock Market 17810.06 17500 17000 17447 20000 25000 [+]
GDP Actual Q4/14 Q1/15 2020 2030 2050
GDP 16800.00 16846 17444 19467 20953 21580 [+]
GDP Growth Rate 3.50 1.83 1.49 2 2.05 2.05 [+]
GDP Annual Growth Rate 2.30 2.14 2.37 2.68 2.68 2.68 [+]
GDP Constant Prices 16150.60 16173 16240 16853 13045 10265 [+]
Gross National Product 16189.80 16299 16344 16259 16253 16254 [+]
GDP per capita 45863.02 45888 46451 48619 50675 52046 [+]
Gross Fixed Capital Formation 2624.60 2652 2666 2690 2690 2690 [+]
GDP per capita PPP 51450.74 51478 52114 54547 56854 58386 [+]
Labour Actual Q4/14 Q1/15 2020 2030 2050
Unemployment Rate 5.80 5.7 5.5 7.66 7.21 6.59 [+]
Non Farm Payrolls 214.00 248 285 247 247 247 [+]
Government Payrolls 5.00 10.09 22.5 10.32 10.32 10.32 [+]
Nonfarm Payrolls Private 209.00 230 254 322 335 336 [+]
Manufacturing Payrolls 15.00 16.53 17.02 15.82 15.84 15.84 [+]
Initial Jobless Claims 291.00 275 262 273 273 273 [+]
Continuing Jobless Claims 2330.00 2283 2133 2203 2449 2938 [+]
Adp Employment Change 230.00 228 235 328 340 340 [+]
Employed Persons 147283.00 147645 148204 151762 151907 151908 [+]
Unemployed Persons 8995.00 8772 8457 7461 7459 7459 [+]
Job Vacancies 4762.00 4637 5336 4903 4067 3789 [+]
Long Term Unemployment Rate 2.02 1.73 1.5 1.45 2.27 2.39 [+]
Youth Unemployment Rate 12.70 12.48 12.24 13.81 12.28 12.1 [+]
Productivity 106.62 107 107 105 102 97.14 [+]
Average Hourly Earnings 0.10 0.13 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 [+]
Average Weekly Hours 34.60 34.54 34.57 34.53 34.54 34.54 [+]
Labor Force Participation Rate 62.80 62.66 62.67 62.83 62.81 62.78 [+]
Challenger Job Cuts 51183.00 49580 42659 48830 48853 48853 [+]
Wages 10.34 10.36 10.34 10.35 10.35 10.35 [+]
Wages in Manufacturing 19.59 19.74 19.7 19.36 19.53 19.65 [+]
Labour Costs 105.05 106 107 106 104 105 [+]
Population 317.30 317 320 332 351 381 [+]
Retirement Age Women 66.00 66 66 66 66 66 [+]
Retirement Age Men 66.00 66 66 66 66 66 [+]
Job Offers 4735.00 5006 5320 7375 5977 7462 [+]
Minimum Wages 7.25 7.25 7.22 6.74 6.1 5.72 [+]
Prices Actual Q4/14 Q1/15 2020 2030 2050
Inflation Rate 1.70 1.73 1.8 3.11 4.22 4.81 [+]
Inflation Rate Mom 0.00 -0.05 -0.03 -0.05 -0.05 0.75 [+]
Consumer Price Index CPI 237.64 238 239 265 311 401 [+]
Core Inflation Rate 1.80 1.83 1.86 1.84 1.84 1.84 [+]
Core Consumer Prices 239.16 240 241 259 288 332 [+]
GDP Deflator 108.57 109 109 119 136 167 [+]
Producer Prices 111.40 112 112 121 133 148 [+]
Producer Prices Change 1.50 1.72 1.99 3.02 3.02 3.02 [+]
Export Prices 130.60 130 129 129 129 129 [+]
Import Prices 136.40 135 135 135 135 135 [+]
Food Inflation 3.10 3.23 3.62 3.2 3.16 3.16 [+]
Core Pce Price Index 107.93 108 109 116 125 131 [+]
Pce Price Index 109.15 110 110 107 108 110 [+]
Money Actual Q4/14 Q1/15 2020 2030 2050
Interest Rate 0.25 0.3 0.3 1.1 2.45 5.05 [+]
Money Supply M0 4001440.00 3984822 3973579 3958048 3958048 3958048 [+]
Money Supply M1 2854.30 2890 2934 3626 4043 4168 [+]
Money Supply M2 11511.40 11580 11674 12387 12440 12441 [+]
Central Bank Balance Sheet 4462332.00 4457600 4481160 4514158 4514158 4514158 [+]
Foreign Exchange Reserves 137054.00 140379 138307 140947 140909 140910 [+]
Loans to Private Sector 7818.98 7881 7956 9310 11370 14648 [+]
Banks Balance Sheet 15045.61 15025 15209 19141 25344 35662 [+]
Trade Actual Q4/14 Q1/15 2020 2030 2050
Balance of Trade -43030.00 -42525 -42627 -41779 -41663 -41662 [+]
Exports 195590.00 198440 200065 197145 197498 197511 [+]
Imports 238620.00 240917 242465 239470 238568 238639 [+]
Current Account -98500.00 -97768 -98261 -98549 -98625 -98623 [+]
Current Account to GDP -2.30 -2.27 -2 -1.81 -1.81 -1.81 [+]
External Debt 16940277.00 -1805913 8859286 5533112 5477320 5477072 [+]
Terms of Trade 97.27 97.17 96.88 97.45 97.4 97.39 [+]
Foreign Direct Investment -117086.00 -19893 -14920 -7460 -5968 -4973 [+]
Capital Flows -55563.00 -6189 -13810 -3988 -3988 -3988 [+]
Net Long Term Tic Flows 164299.00 62336 73962 64187 64187 64187 [+]
Gold Reserves 8133.46 8133 8133 8133 8133 8133 [+]
Crude Oil Production 8648.00 9038 9301 9610 9611 9611 [+]
Government Actual Q4/14 Q1/15 2020 2030 2050
Government Budget -2.80 -2.7 -2.28 -1.2 -1.19 -1.19 [+]
Government Debt to GDP 101.53 102 103 106 107 107 [+]
Government Budget Value -121713.00 -21773 -71826 -23483 -21845 -24349 [+]
Government Spending 2913.00 2897 2899 2893 2914 2895 [+]
Credit Rating 96.89 [+]
Business Actual Q4/14 Q1/15 2020 2030 2050
Business Confidence 59.00 58.01 56.52 52.49 52.49 52.49 [+]
Manufacturing PMI 54.70 55.29 55.95 55.68 55.68 55.68 [+]
Services PMI 57.10 56.31 56.7 55.69 55.69 55.69 [+]
Industrial Production 4.00 4.68 4.92 4.56 4.47 4.46 [+]
Industrial Production Mom -0.10 0.18 0.12 0.17 0.17 0.17 [+]
Manufacturing Production 3.40 4.16 4.44 4.06 3.94 3.94 [+]
Capacity Utilization 78.93 79.43 79.56 78.99 79.21 79.55 [+]
Chicago Fed National Activity Index 0.47 0.28 0.23 0.25 0.25 0.25 [+]
Durable Goods Orders -1.10 -0.3 1.08 -0.27 -0.27 -0.27 [+]
Non Manufacturing PMI 57.10 58.51 59.17 58.89 58.88 58.88 [+]
Factory Orders -0.60 0.23 0.34 0.29 0.29 0.29 [+]
New Orders 499395.00 520203 524140 516163 514677 514673 [+]
Business Inventories 0.30 0.22 0.24 0.37 0.32 0.25 [+]
Changes in Inventories 62.80 55.18 57.93 72.31 59.38 57.56 [+]
Wholesale Inventories 0.30 0.46 0.38 0.47 0.47 0.47 [+]
Bankruptcies 28319.00 27050 25707 27542 27805 27674 [+]
Corporate Profits 2106.20 2100 2084 2084 2084 2084 [+]
NFIB Business Optimism Index 96.10 96.82 96.75 96.65 96.63 96.63 [+]
NY Empire State Manufacturing Index 10.16 16.99 23.25 15.7 15.82 15.82 [+]
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index 40.80 32.22 36.52 32.14 32.18 32.18 [+]
Total Vehicle Sales 16.46 17.3 17.37 17.46 16.49 16.65 [+]
Car Registrations 729.90 551 712 635 635 635 [+]
Chicago Pmi 66.20 63.38 63.62 61.87 61.32 61.4 [+]
Composite Pmi 57.20 57.53 59.12 58.48 58.48 58.48 [+]
Crude Oil Stocks Change 2.61 -0.65 3.13 -0.59 -0.59 -0.59 [+]
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index 10.50 13.16 13.98 12.66 12.6 12.6 [+]
Ism New York Index 54.80 60.43 57.42 60.63 60.63 60.63 [+]
Leading Economic Index 159.60 160 161 177 144 144 [+]
Natural Gas Stocks Change -17.00 -66.4 -6.01 -69.36 -69.42 -69.42 [+]
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index 20.00 14.79 17.3 14.18 14.29 14.29 [+]
Consumer Actual Q4/14 Q1/15 2020 2030 2050
Consumer Confidence 89.40 87.15 90.06 87.9 87.89 87.89 [+]
Retail Sales MoM 0.30 0.2 0.38 0.19 0.19 0.19 [+]
Retail Sales YoY 4.10 4.73 5.08 4.75 4.73 4.73 [+]
Consumer Spending 10960.90 11009 11076 11409 11444 11445 [+]
Disposable Personal Income 13134.10 13242 13342 15633 19488 26740 [+]
Personal Spending -0.20 0.27 0.16 0.28 0.28 0.28 [+]
Personal Income 0.20 0.29 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 [+]
Personal Savings 5.60 5.88 5.87 5.76 5.76 5.76 [+]
Consumer Credit 15.90 17.27 17.59 17.61 17.61 17.61 [+]
Bank Lending Rate 3.25 3.27 3.25 3.28 3.28 3.28 [+]
Economic Optimism Index 46.40 47.49 47.05 47.4 47.4 47.4 [+]
Redbook Index 3.90 4.3 4.47 4.36 4.36 4.36 [+]
Chain Store Sales 557.00 564 574 585 585 585 [+]
Retail Sales Ex Autos 0.30 0.01 0.19 0.04 0.04 0.04 [+]
Housing Actual Q4/14 Q1/15 2020 2030 2050
Housing Index 0.50 0.27 0.27 0.25 0.25 0.25 [+]
Building Permits 1080.00 1072 1064 1080 1081 1081 [+]
Housing Starts 1009.00 1054 1054 1059 1060 1060 [+]
New Home Sales 467.00 475 466 486 486 486 [+]
Pending Home Sales 1.00 19.6 14.7 7.35 5.88 4.9 [+]
Existing Home Sales 5260.00 5183 5226 5335 5335 5335 [+]
Construction Spending -0.40 -0.31 -0.15 -0.25 -0.25 -0.25 [+]
Nahb Housing Market Index 58.00 55.41 56.64 57.9 58 58 [+]
Mortgage Rate 4.18 4.07 4.08 4.08 4.09 4.09 [+]
Mortgage Applications 4.90 4.69 -2.82 0.23 3.99 3.64 [+]
Case Shiller Home Price Index 173.66 176 176 173 162 160 [+]
Taxes Actual Q4/14 Q1/15 2020 2030 2050
Corporate Tax Rate 40.00 40 40 40 40 40 [+]
Personal Income Tax Rate 35.00 35 35 35 35 35 [+]
Sales Tax Rate 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 [+]
Social Security Rate 21.30 23 23.86 25.16 25.24 25.24 [+]
Social Security Rate For Companies 13.65 14 13.55 13.36 13.19 13.09 [+]
Social Security Rate For Employees 7.65 10 9.96 10.73 10.75 10.75 [+]





This page includes economic forecasts for the United States. 11/24/2014