United States | Economic Forecasts | 2014-2050 Outlook


Markets Actual Q4/14 Q1/15 2020 2030 2050
Currency 89.60 84.39 86.9 87.18 90.26 95.92 [+]
Government Bond 10Y 2.17 2.8 2.9 4.5 4 2.18 [+]
Stock Market 17804.80 17500 17000 20000 25000 25000 [+]
GDP Actual Q4/14 Q1/15 2020 2030 2050
GDP 16800.00 18300 17444 22000 25000 21580 [+]
GDP Growth Rate 3.90 1.75 1.57 2.09 2.12 2.12 [+]
GDP Annual Growth Rate 2.40 2.27 2.55 2.68 2.68 2.68 [+]
GDP Constant Prices 16164.10 16276 16338 17275 18673 20792 [+]
Gross National Product 16341.60 16375 16449 17980 19477 20497 [+]
GDP per capita 45863.02 46349 46451 48619 50675 52046 [+]
Gross Fixed Capital Formation 2633.80 2665 2683 2712 2712 2712 [+]
GDP per capita PPP 51450.74 51996 52114 54547 56854 58386 [+]
Labour Actual Q4/14 Q1/15 2020 2030 2050
Unemployment Rate 5.80 5.75 5.33 5.83 6.03 6.04 [+]
Non Farm Payrolls 321.00 300 321 478 499 500 [+]
Government Payrolls 7.00 7.8 19.87 7.88 7.88 7.88 [+]
Nonfarm Payrolls Private 314.00 258 286 256 255 255 [+]
Manufacturing Payrolls 28.00 21.54 23.36 21.13 21.13 21.13 [+]
Initial Jobless Claims 289.00 350 268 275 276 276 [+]
Continuing Jobless Claims 2373.00 2290 2138 2203 2449 2938 [+]
Adp Employment Change 208.00 218 222 220 220 220 [+]
Employed Persons 147287.00 147068 148037 160426 180415 151404 [+]
Unemployed Persons 9110.00 9355 9290 8809 9001 8247 [+]
Job Vacancies 5109.00 4617 5365 12960 33464 93954 [+]
Long Term Unemployment Rate 1.80 1.67 1.74 1.5 1.3 1.61 [+]
Youth Unemployment Rate 12.80 12.56 12.32 13.44 12.72 12.89 [+]
Productivity 106.72 107 107 115 126 147 [+]
Average Hourly Earnings 0.40 0.21 0.23 0.21 0.21 0.21 [+]
Average Weekly Hours 34.60 34.54 34.58 34.53 34.54 34.54 [+]
Labor Force Participation Rate 62.80 62.68 62.69 62.84 62.85 62.85 [+]
Challenger Job Cuts 35940.00 45067 36844 43898 43917 43917 [+]
Wages 10.34 10.37 10.36 11.5 13.5 10.37 [+]
Wages in Manufacturing 19.63 19.73 19.68 20.43 20.78 20.87 [+]
Labour Costs 103.87 105 105 105 105 105 [+]
Population 317.30 320 320 332 351 381 [+]
Retirement Age Women 66.00 66 66 66 67 66 [+]
Retirement Age Men 66.00 66 66 66 67 66 [+]
Job Offers 4834.00 4994 5294 10315 16953 24743 [+]
Minimum Wages 7.25 7.23 7.22 15 17 5.72 [+]
Prices Actual Q4/14 Q1/15 2020 2030 2050
Inflation Rate 1.30 1.17 1.26 2.71 3.96 4.66 [+]
Inflation Rate Mom -0.30 0.2 -0.13 0.46 0.3 0.74 [+]
Consumer Price Index CPI 237.03 237 238 264 308 397 [+]
Core Inflation Rate 1.70 1.7 1.8 2.26 2.76 1.79 [+]
Core Consumer Prices 239.33 240 241 262 297 356 [+]
GDP Deflator 108.60 109 109 116 117 117 [+]
Producer Prices 111.20 111 111 111 111 111 [+]
Producer Prices Change 1.40 1.52 1.82 2.98 2.99 2.99 [+]
Export Prices 129.30 129 127 127 127 127 [+]
Import Prices 134.60 133 133 134 134 134 [+]
Food Inflation 3.10 3.23 3.62 3.18 3.13 3.13 [+]
Core Pce Price Index 108.14 108 109 117 128 141 [+]
Pce Price Index 109.22 109 110 112 112 112 [+]
Money Actual Q4/14 Q1/15 2020 2030 2050
Interest Rate 0.25 0.25 0.25 3 4.5 5.05 [+]
Money Supply M0 3830424.00 4380054 4452807 5486040 5537118 3470548 [+]
Money Supply M1 2852.80 2955 3014 3931 4767 4015 [+]
Money Supply M2 11561.90 11673 11834 14021 23881 12673 [+]
Central Bank Balance Sheet 4447760.00 4212502 4450747 1659860 1059860 4482009 [+]
Foreign Exchange Reserves 136285.00 138156 135209 138009 137883 137885 [+]
Loans to Private Sector 7872.10 7910 7994 9408 11556 15022 [+]
Banks Balance Sheet 15093.71 15068 15315 19260 25523 35771 [+]
Trade Actual Q4/14 Q1/15 2020 2030 2050
Balance of Trade -43400.00 -43005 -43192 -43069 -41834 -41889 [+]
Exports 197537.00 198215 199792 197186 197554 197568 [+]
Imports 240970.00 241220 242984 240255 239388 239457 [+]
Current Account -100255.00 -100953 -100891 -100621 -100583 -100581 [+]
Current Account to GDP -2.30 -2.04 -2 -1.81 -1.81 -1.81 [+]
External Debt -5445100.00 -4395731 -4083002 -1098601 -915501 -5457926 [+]
Terms of Trade 97.37 98.91 98.85 94.21 95.21 97.44 [+]
Foreign Direct Investment 40916.00 17379 40713 40846 40846 40846 [+]
Capital Flows 178358.00 40147 25663 -44140 38758 43594 [+]
Net Long Term Tic Flows -1353.00 51763 67195 62822 62822 62822 [+]
Gold Reserves 8133.46 8133 8133 8133 8133 8133 [+]
Crude Oil Production 8864.00 9145 9448 12229 19556 9924 [+]
Tourist Arrivals 8381604.00 6801824 6236178 4142351 4132265 4132264 [+]
Government Actual Q4/14 Q1/15 2020 2030 2050
Government Budget -2.80 -3.8 -3.7 -1.5 -1.5 -1.19 [+]
Government Debt to GDP 101.53 102 102 104 101 107 [+]
Government Budget Value -56818.00 -18028 -67185 -20837 -18697 -17802 [+]
Government Spending 2910.40 2895 2894 2920 2901 2948 [+]
Credit Rating 96.89 [+]
Business Actual Q4/14 Q1/15 2020 2030 2050
Business Confidence 58.70 55.12 55.32 56 60 52.51 [+]
Manufacturing PMI 53.70 53.7 54.77 55.72 55.72 55.72 [+]
Services PMI 53.60 53.6 54.9 55.57 55.57 55.57 [+]
Industrial Production 5.20 4.86 5.14 4.74 4.63 4.62 [+]
Industrial Production Mom 1.30 0.53 0.55 0.53 0.53 0.53 [+]
Manufacturing Production 4.80 4.42 4.78 4.35 4.2 4.19 [+]
Capacity Utilization 80.10 79.76 80.02 79.55 79.65 79.65 [+]
Chicago Fed National Activity Index 0.73 0.43 0.43 0.42 0.42 0.42 [+]
Durable Goods Orders 0.30 -0.4 0.79 -0.57 -0.57 -0.57 [+]
Non Manufacturing PMI 59.30 59.06 59.88 59.45 59.42 59.42 [+]
Factory Orders -0.70 -0.02 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 [+]
New Orders 496563.00 514427 517423 511947 510875 510875 [+]
Business Inventories 0.20 0.16 0.17 0.19 0.19 0.19 [+]
Changes in Inventories 79.10 65.69 68.53 71.86 71.53 71.53 [+]
Wholesale Inventories 0.40 0.37 0.27 0.58 0.36 0.45 [+]
Bankruptcies 28319.00 28534 28093 21000 23000 27709 [+]
Corporate Profits 2150.00 2161 1989 1989 1885 2168 [+]
NFIB Business Optimism Index 98.10 97.28 97.38 97.21 97.19 97.19 [+]
NY Empire State Manufacturing Index -3.58 11.99 16.13 15.7 15.82 15.82 [+]
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index 24.50 32.22 36.38 32.14 32.18 32.18 [+]
Total Vehicle Sales 17.20 17.37 17.52 17.88 17.88 17.88 [+]
Car Registrations 615.50 551 645 851 901 594 [+]
Chicago Pmi 60.80 62.71 62.96 62.1 61.63 61.41 [+]
Composite Pmi 53.80 53.8 55.64 57.33 57.33 57.33 [+]
Crude Oil Stocks Change -0.87 -0.81 3.39 -0.76 -0.76 -0.76 [+]
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index 10.50 12.43 13.24 12.29 12.23 12.23 [+]
Durable Goods Orders Ex Transportation -0.90 1.66 1.62 1.55 1.55 1.55 [+]
Ism New York Index 62.40 61.07 58.22 61.29 61.29 61.29 [+]
Leading Economic Index 160.12 160 162 205 315 647 [+]
Natural Gas Stocks Change -64.00 -82.34 -8.53 -85.16 -85.17 -85.17 [+]
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index 4.00 12.29 14.33 11.98 12.06 12.06 [+]
Small Business Sentiment 51.70 51.91 55.09 53.77 53.81 53.8 [+]
Consumer Actual Q4/14 Q1/15 2020 2030 2050
Consumer Confidence 93.80 93.8 93.21 87.69 87.67 87.67 [+]
Retail Sales MoM 0.70 0.34 0.64 0.7 0.6 0.45 [+]
Retail Sales YoY 5.10 5.05 5.47 5.03 5.01 5.01 [+]
Consumer Spending 10972.10 11025 11075 11485 11528 11529 [+]
Disposable Personal Income 13109.30 13096 13160 14808 14154 26433 [+]
Personal Spending 0.20 0.35 0.25 0.35 0.35 0.35 [+]
Personal Income 0.20 0.3 0.3 0.29 0.29 0.29 [+]
Personal Savings 5.00 5.69 5.72 5.7 5.7 5.7 [+]
Consumer Credit 13.20 16.19 16.94 16.65 16.65 16.65 [+]
Bank Lending Rate 3.25 3.38 3.34 5.92 5.5 3.31 [+]
Economic Optimism Index 48.40 47.49 47.29 46.44 46.45 46.45 [+]
Redbook Index 4.20 3.54 4.49 4.44 4.44 4.44 [+]
Chain Store Sales 550.80 570 571 601 601 601 [+]
Retail Sales Ex Autos 0.50 0.11 0.29 0.12 0.12 0.12 [+]
Housing Actual Q4/14 Q1/15 2020 2030 2050
Housing Index 0.00 0.16 0.14 0.1 0.1 0.1 [+]
Building Permits 1035.00 1074 1069 1090 1090 1090 [+]
Housing Starts 1028.00 1054 1057 1068 1068 1068 [+]
New Home Sales 458.00 469 462 485 485 485 [+]
Pending Home Sales 2.20 19.6 14.7 0.41 0.33 0.28 [+]
Existing Home Sales 4930.00 5153 5191 5288 5288 5288 [+]
Construction Spending 1.10 -0.03 0.12 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 [+]
Nahb Housing Market Index 57.00 55.41 57.99 57.9 58 58 [+]
Mortgage Rate 4.06 4.1 4.2 6 6 4.08 [+]
Mortgage Applications -3.30 4.69 -2.82 0.23 3.99 3.64 [+]
Case Shiller Home Price Index 173.72 175 175 172 164 161 [+]
Taxes Actual Q4/14 Q1/15 2020 2030 2050
Corporate Tax Rate 40.00 40 40 35 35 40 [+]
Personal Income Tax Rate 35.00 35 35 33 33 35 [+]
Sales Tax Rate 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 [+]
Social Security Rate 21.30 23.69 23.86 25.16 25.24 25.24 [+]
Social Security Rate For Companies 13.65 13.56 13.55 13.36 13.19 13.09 [+]
Social Security Rate For Employees 7.65 9.82 9.96 10.73 10.75 10.75 [+]





This page includes economic forecasts for the United States. 12/23/2014