United States | Economic Forecasts | 2014-2030 Outlook

Markets Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Currency 81.03 78.69 85 79.3 78.81 78.77 78.79 [+]
Government Bond 10Y 2.46 2.5 3 2.6 2.64 3.91 3.51 [+]
Stock Market 16960.57 17561 18363 19188 21762 19664 21745 [+]
GDP Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
GDP 16800.00 17602 18300 17900 19426 22000 25000 [+]
GDP Growth Rate -2.90 2.9 3 1.65 3 3.1 3.1 [+]
GDP Annual Growth Rate 1.50 2.8 3 2.68 3 2.22 2.22 [+]
GDP Constant Prices 15824.20 16060 16145 16250 17621 20662 24414 [+]
Gross National Product 16040.80 16292 16365 16372 20462 23057 28195 [+]
GDP per capita 45863.02 45901 45904 46215 49467 48000 53000 [+]
Gross Fixed Capital Formation 2499.90 2559 2173 2572 2173 2534 2531 [+]
GDP per capita PPP 45336.00 45500 45900 46100 49998 52000 65000 [+]
Labour Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Unemployment Rate 6.10 6.1 6 5.5 6.7 5.9 6 [+]
Non Farm Payrolls 288.00 234 300 205 300 184 184 [+]
Government Payrolls 26.00 -14.8 7.96 17.72 7.45 7.49 7.49 [+]
Nonfarm Payrolls - Private 262.00 260 242 255 233 230 230 [+]
Manufacturing Payrolls 16.00 14.71 17.91 14.9 14.36 15.48 15.61 [+]
Initial Jobless Claims 284.00 304 350 296 351 305 306 [+]
Continuing Jobless Claims 2500.00 2524 2420 2393 2545 2545 2404 [+]
Adp Employment Change 281.00 205 218 216 205 209 208 [+]
Employed Persons 146221.00 146629 147068 147615 157105 160426 180415 [+]
Unemployed Persons 9474.00 9079 8642 8337 8120 8902 9096 [+]
Job Vacancies 4694.00 4357 3960 4498 4061 3900 3876 [+]
Long Term Unemployment Rate 2.17 2.2 2.3 2.1 2.2 2 2 [+]
Youth Unemployment Rate 13.30 12.27 11.59 11.25 10.64 7.74 9.24 [+]
Productivity 106.12 108 108 108 115 128 140 [+]
Average Hourly Earnings 0.25 0.2 0.16 0.17 0.16 0.16 0.16 [+]
Average Weekly Hours 34.50 34.49 34.46 34.47 34.46 34.46 34.46 [+]
Labor Force Participation Rate 63.40 62.73 62.6 62.59 62.61 62.63 62.63 [+]
Challenger Job Cuts 31434.00 47323 49582 42389 49285 49049 49049 [+]
Wages 10.29 10.27 10.32 10.4 10.5 11.5 12.5 [+]
Wages in Manufacturing 19.52 19.69 19.82 19.79 20.08 20.96 21.55 [+]
Labour Costs 104.08 104 104 104 103 103 103 [+]
Population 317.30 319 320 320 322 332 351 [+]
Retirement Age Women 66.00 66 66 65.97 66 66 67 [+]
Retirement Age Men 66.00 66 66 66 66 66 67 [+]
Prices Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Inflation Rate 2.10 1.6 3 2.07 3 1.58 1.83 [+]
Inflation Rate Mom 0.26 0.3 0.2 0.24 0.5 0.46 0.71 [+]
Consumer Price Index (CPI) 237.69 238 239 240 303 339 425 [+]
Core Inflation Rate 1.93 1.9 1.61 1.87 1.69 1.96 2.21 [+]
Core Consumer Prices 238.08 239 240 241 307 367 491 [+]
Gdp Deflator 107.53 108 109 109 110 114 114 [+]
Producer Prices 111.20 111 112 112 131 142 165 [+]
Producer Prices Change 1.90 1.98 2.01 2.06 1.66 3.86 3.98 [+]
Export Prices 133.00 134 133 134 133 133 133 [+]
Import Prices 140.40 141 139 140 139 138 139 [+]
Food Inflation 2.25 1.92 2 2 1.68 2.02 1.52 [+]
Money Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Interest Rate 0.25 0.25 1 0.33 1 3 4 [+]
Money Supply M0 3948679.00 4228442 4380054 4452807 5496330 5808249 7279949 [+]
Money Supply M1 2834.80 2880 2955 3014 3999 4711 5876 [+]
Money Supply M2 11351.40 11498 11673 11834 15458 18315 15866 [+]
Central Bank Balance Sheet 4363625.00 4435253 4212502 4848026 3578196 1659860 1059860 [+]
Foreign Exchange Reserves 145176.00 145548 144709 143468 145237 145185 145197 [+]
Loans to Private Sector 7665.81 7638 7722 7769 7842 7828 7625 [+]
Trade Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Balance of Trade -44392.00 -46293 -46018 -46098 -47286 -51735 -56015 [+]
Exports 195456.00 195448 195812 196150 214043 225144 248191 [+]
Imports 239848.00 241741 241830 242248 261329 276879 304205 [+]
Current Account -111156.00 -97451 -97176 -97446 -99372 -98370 -98491 [+]
Current Account to GDP -2.30 -1.93 -2.25 -1.78 -1.65 -0.37 -0.08 [+]
External Debt -4782773.00 3826218 1373251 2295731 1373251 1098601 915501 [+]
Terms of Trade 2.00 98.77 98.28 98.23 98.1 98.24 98.2 [+]
Foreign Direct Investment -117086.00 93669 17379 56201 17379 28101 23417 [+]
Capital Flows 35478.00 37833 40147 25663 37669 78261 157252 [+]
Net Long-term Tic Flows 19413.00 15227 14283 19962 11136 11683 11683 [+]
Gold Reserves 8133.46 8133 8133 8133 8133 8133 8133 [+]
Crude Oil Production 8378.00 8411 8779 8910 9032 8954 8954 [+]
Government Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Government Budget -4.10 -0.9 -3.8 0.09 -3.8 2.74 2.82 [+]
Government Debt to GDP 101.53 101 102 101 101 101 101 [+]
Government Budget Value 70519.00 38794 11937 -50009 20631 20910 20910 [+]
Government Spending 2863.00 2840 2827 2807 3466 3518 4329 [+]
Credit Rating 96.89 [+]
Business Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Business Confidence 55.30 55.46 54.59 54.64 54.01 81.38 85.25 [+]
Manufacturing PMI 56.30 55.11 54.92 54.94 54.97 53.93 53.93 [+]
Services PMI 61.00 57.21 55.59 56.58 55.4 55.58 55.58 [+]
Industrial Production 4.32 4.43 4.59 4.6 3.83 4.13 4.05 [+]
Industrial Production Mom 0.22 0.25 0.37 0.39 0.34 3.95 3.65 [+]
Manufacturing Production 3.48 3.18 3.3 3.31 3.02 4.03 3.62 [+]
Capacity Utilization 79.08 79.38 79.71 79.68 79.38 79.17 79.23 [+]
Chicago Fed National Activity Index 0.12 0.04 0.11 0.05 0.08 0.09 0.09 [+]
Durable Goods Orders 0.74 1.32 -0.39 1.06 -0.36 -0.36 -0.36 [+]
Non Manufacturing PMI 56.00 54.96 54.59 54.4 54.62 54.57 54.57 [+]
Factory Orders -0.50 0.39 0.81 0.97 0.78 0.78 0.78 [+]
New Orders 965670.89 502660 502379 501925 496191 498340 497077 [+]
Business Inventories 0.50 0.62 0.54 0.56 0.46 0.49 0.49 [+]
Changes in Inventories 45.90 94.86 91.24 85.98 88.63 90.92 90.77 [+]
Wholesale Inventories 0.50 0.97 1.18 1.08 0.91 1 1 [+]
Bankruptcies 31671.00 29270 28534 28093 29526 7514 1640 [+]
Corporate Profits 1975.40 1992 1990 1989 1989 1989 1989 [+]
Nfib Business Optimism Index 95.00 95.38 95.67 94.93 94.85 95.07 95.09 [+]
Ny Empire State Manufacturing Index 25.60 17.74 17.62 22.14 12.42 13.56 13.8 [+]
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index 23.90 17.1 17.28 16.53 15.41 15.91 15.92 [+]
Total Vehicle Sales 16.98 16.7 17.15 17.09 16.54 17.21 16.17 [+]
Car Registrations 535.00 639 551 645 701 782 980 [+]
Consumer Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Consumer Confidence 81.30 80.67 81.01 80.9 81.03 89.36 93.61 [+]
Retail Sales MoM 0.25 0.33 0.43 0.64 0.41 4.01 3.71 [+]
Retail Sales YoY 4.30 3.27 3.21 3.35 3.52 4.03 3.98 [+]
Consumer Spending 10859.20 11013 11067 11104 14106 15837 19816 [+]
Disposable Personal Income 12877.20 12968 13096 13160 16838 19416 24362 [+]
Personal Spending 0.15 0.27 0.39 0.45 0.38 0.38 0.38 [+]
Personal Income 0.40 0.32 0.93 0.31 0.31 0.92 0.31 [+]
Personal Savings 4.80 4.15 4.52 4.13 4.5 1.39 0.41 [+]
Consumer Credit 19.60 20.62 25.14 20.89 24.25 24.4 24.4 [+]
Bank Lending Rate 3.25 3.43 3.38 3.34 3.58 5.92 17.08 [+]
Economic Optimism Index 45.60 46.35 47.85 47.14 47.19 47.33 47.34 [+]
Redbook Index 3.70 3.93 3.54 4.1 3.98 4 4 [+]
Housing Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Housing Index 0.40 0.15 0.18 0.18 0.17 0.17 0.17 [+]
Building Permits 973.00 1002 1027 1006 1026 1024 1024 [+]
Housing Starts 893.00 1002 1029 1008 1033 1018 1019 [+]
New Home Sales 406.00 452 475 465 489 490 490 [+]
Pending Home Sales -7.30 19.6 14.7 11.76 7.35 5.88 4.9 [+]
Existing Home Sales 5040.00 4458 4377 4271 4294 4350 4350 [+]
Construction Spending 0.11 0.13 -0.13 0.42 -0.05 -0.07 -0.07 [+]
Nahb Housing Market Index 53.00 46.36 45 43.87 43.57 45.19 45.13 [+]
Mortgage Rate 4.33 4.28 4.19 4.23 4.19 4.21 4.22 [+]
Mortgage Applications 2.40 4.69 -2.82 0.45 0.23 3.99 3.64 [+]
Taxes Last Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 2020 2030
Corporate Tax Rate 40.00 40 40 40 40 35 35 [+]
Personal Income Tax Rate 35.00 42 40 44 47 55 58 [+]
Sales Tax Rate 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 [+]
Social Security Rate 21.30 23 23 23 24 24 24 [+]
Social Security Rate For Companies 13.65 14 14 14 14 14 14 [+]
Social Security Rate For Employees 7.65 10 10 10 10 11 11 [+]






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This page includes economic forecasts for the United States. 7/29/2014