Australia’s 10-year government bond yield hovered below 4.8%, trading near fifteen-week lows as global oil prices declined on optimism over the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. An interim deal between the US and Iran to end the Middle East war allowed oil tankers to resume passage through the key waterway, helping ease inflation concerns and reduce pressure on central banks to maintain restrictive policy. Meanwhile, markets increasingly suspect the Reserve Bank of Australia has concluded its tightening cycle after leaving the cash rate unchanged this week, with the odds of another hike this year falling to around 50% and only a 25% chance priced in for August. While Governor Michele Bullock maintained that further tightening remains possible if inflation persists, markets expect it would take a sharply higher second-quarter inflation reading to trigger another move. Attention now turns to the upcoming May CPI report due next week, which will be pivotal for the policy outlook.
The yield on Australia 10Y Bond Yield held steady at 4.81% on June 22, 2026. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.08 points, though it remains 0.60 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. Historically, the Australia 10-Year Government Bond Yield reached an all time high of 16.50 in August of 1982. Australia 10-Year Government Bond Yield - data, forecasts, historical chart - was last updated on June 22 of 2026.
The yield on Australia 10Y Bond Yield held steady at 4.81% on June 22, 2026. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.08 points, though it remains 0.60 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. The Australia 10-Year Government Bond Yield is expected to trade at 4.80 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at 4.57 in 12 months time.