Actual
1.7200
Daily Change
0.0360
Monthly
0.02%
Yearly
-0.15%
Q3 Forecast
1.7159
China 10-Year Government Bond Yield - Summary

China’s 10-year government bond yield steadied around 1.68% on Friday, holding at its lowest level in a month as optimism over high-level US-China talks continued to support sentiment. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said he will meet Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng this weekend ahead of the September 24 Trump-Xi summit in Washington. Growing competition in AI and China’s access to advanced US chips are widely expected to feature prominently in the upcoming meeting, while investors look for progress on tariffs, China’s rare-earth export restrictions, the yuan and a possible extension of the trade truce set to expire in November. Adding to the positive tone, reports suggested the US is likely to delay any new tariff announcements targeting China and other trading partners until after next week’s summit.

China 10-Year Government Bond Yield - Stats

The yield on China 10Y Bond Yield eased to 1.68% on September 18, 2026, marking a 0.01 percentage points decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.02 points and is 0.19 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. Historically, the China 10-Year Government Bond Yield reached an all time high of 4.80 in September of 2007. China 10-Year Government Bond Yield - data, forecasts, historical chart - was last updated on September 19 of 2026.

China 10-Year Government Bond Yield - Forecast

The yield on China 10Y Bond Yield eased to 1.68% on September 18, 2026, marking a 0.01 percentage points decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.02 points and is 0.19 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. The China 10-Year Government Bond Yield is expected to trade at 1.72 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at 1.59 in 12 months time.



Bonds Yield Day Month Year Date
China 10Y 1.72 0.036% 0.019% -0.152% Sep/18
China 52W 1.25 -0.020% -0.009% -0.162% Sep/18
China 20Y 2.17 0.033% 0.024% -0.002% Sep/18
China 2Y 1.33 0.035% 0.015% -0.087% Sep/18
China 30Y 2.21 0.038% 0.006% 0.016% Sep/18
China 3Y 1.29 0.024% -0.041% -0.231% Sep/18
China 5Y 1.44 -0.012% -0.030% -0.165% Sep/18
China 7Y 1.54 -0.020% -0.049% -0.180% Sep/18



Related Last Previous Unit Reference
China Inflation Rate 0.80 0.50 percent Aug 2026
China Loan Prime Rate 3.00 3.00 percent Aug 2026
China Unemployment Rate 5.30 5.20 percent Aug 2026

China 10-Year Government Bond Yield
Generally, a government bond is issued by a national government and is denominated in the country`s own currency. Bonds issued by national governments in foreign currencies are normally referred to as sovereign bonds. The yield required by investors to loan funds to governments reflects inflation expectations and the likelihood that the debt will be repaid.
Actual Previous Highest Lowest Dates Unit Frequency
1.68 1.68 4.80 1.59 2000 - 2026 percent Daily

News Stream
China 10Y Yield Steady at One-Month Low
China’s 10-year government bond yield steadied around 1.68% on Friday, holding at its lowest level in a month as optimism over high-level US-China talks continued to support sentiment. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said he will meet Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng this weekend ahead of the September 24 Trump-Xi summit in Washington. Growing competition in AI and China’s access to advanced US chips are widely expected to feature prominently in the upcoming meeting, while investors look for progress on tariffs, China’s rare-earth export restrictions, the yuan and a possible extension of the trade truce set to expire in November. Adding to the positive tone, reports suggested the US is likely to delay any new tariff announcements targeting China and other trading partners until after next week’s summit.
2026-09-15
China 10Y Yield Approaches 2025 Low
China’s 10-year government bond yield traded around 1.68% on Monday, nearing its lowest level since mid-June 2025, as banks increasingly turned to government debt to boost returns amid weak demand for mortgages and consumer loans. Claims on the government rose to 16.4% of lenders’ total assets in July from 11.5% five years earlier, while claims on residents fell to 16.4% from 20.3%. The shift marked the first-ever reversal between the two categories, highlighting Beijing’s struggle to revive credit demand following an unprecedented property downturn and a prolonged consumption slump. On the economic front, annual consumer inflation rose to 0.8% in August, matching market expectations and accelerating from a six-month low of 0.5% in July. Producer price inflation also picked up to 3.8% from 3.5%, surpassing expectations of 3.7%. The renewed price pressures were driven largely by higher energy costs amid ongoing tensions in the Middle East.
2026-09-09
China 10Y Yield at Near 2-Month Low
China’s 10-year government bond yield fell to around 1.67% on Tuesday, nearing its lowest level since mid-July, as robust trade data strengthened expectations that external demand will support economic growth. Exports surged 25.0% year-on-year to USD 401.44 billion in August 2026, accelerating from 23.9% growth in July, while imports jumped 28.2% to USD 282.4 billion, up from 27.5% in the previous month and marking an eighth consecutive month of double-digit growth. The trade surplus widened to USD 119.09 billion in August from USD 101.09 billion a year earlier, matching expectations. The solid trade performance comes as Washington intensifies pressure on Beijing to narrow trade imbalances ahead of a planned Trump-Xi meeting, while trade frictions between Beijing and Brussels are also intensifying ahead of an October deadline to address imbalances that EU leaders increasingly regard as a strategic concern.
2026-09-08